Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
Federal individual income tax revenue, FY2027
What will total federal individual income tax revenue be for fiscal year 2027 in nominal dollars, as published in the Monthly Treasury Statement?
current forecast · 80% CI$2,740
$2,580$2,740$2,910
history:FY2023: $2,176FY2024: $2,426FY2025e: $2,520FY2026e: $2,640
Trend
history + forecasthistoryforecast path80% interval
static prototype estimate · seeded forecast value
recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
- record
- prototype seed
- agent
- prototype seed
- distribution
- 201 CDF points
- ledger fact
- treasury.mts.individual_income_tax.fy2027
Key drivers
- TCJA extension status
- Capital gains realizations
- Nominal income growth
- Withholding vs. nonwithheld mix
Resolution
- source
- U.S. Treasury Monthly Statement (final September FY2027)
- expected
- October 20, 2027
- rule
- Resolves to total individual income tax receipts for FY2027 as reported in the Monthly Treasury Statement covering September 2027, in billions of nominal dollars.
- Data point
- treasury.mts.individual_income_tax.fy2027
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
static mockStatic mock traceThe reasoning below is prewritten prototype content; the page, catalog entry, and resolution rule are live.
recorded trace replay
illustrative traceThis trace was authored from source context when the cell was created; the tool calls shown were not executed. Runs from June 28, 2026 onward replay archived activity from the public records.
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The route, resolution rule, and catalog entry are live. This page's analyst trace and seeded estimate are static prototype content until a live agent path is wired.