{"schemaVersion":"thesis_log_v3","source":{"name":"Thesis Log","url":"https://app.thesisinstitute.org/log","jsonUrl":"https://app.thesisinstitute.org/log.json","factLedger":{"name":"PolicyEngine Ledger","url":"https://github.com/PolicyEngine/ledger","jsonUrl":"https://app.thesisinstitute.org/ledger.json"}},"counts":{"predictions":1188,"specs":750,"runs":1188,"resolutions":160,"scored":8,"scoredClaimedTimeChronology":201,"scoredUnverifiedChronology":62,"scoredViolatedChronology":0,"resolutionLinks":750,"resolutionEvents":160,"pendingResolution":590,"preSubmitReviews":214,"judgeTraceEvals":1188,"judgePairwiseEvals":438,"judgePostResolutionEvals":271},"resolutionLinks":[{"resolutionRef":"resolution.spm-child-poverty-2025","specVersionId":"spec.spm-child-poverty-2025.v20260609","predictionId":"spm-child-poverty-2025","forecastSlug":"spm-child-poverty-2025","targetFactRef":"census.spm.child_poverty_rate.2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the official SPM child poverty rate (children under 18) for calendar year 2025 in the Census Poverty in the United States report, expected in September 2026. If Census publishes multiple SPM variants, this uses the main published SPM table.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.official-poverty-rate-2025","specVersionId":"spec.official-poverty-rate-2025.v20260609","predictionId":"official-poverty-rate-2025","forecastSlug":"official-poverty-rate-2025","targetFactRef":"census.official_poverty_rate.2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the official poverty rate for all people in calendar year 2025 in the Census Poverty in the United States report, expected in September 2026. This uses the official poverty measure, not the Supplemental Poverty Measure.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.median-household-income-2025","specVersionId":"spec.median-household-income-2025.v20260609","predictionId":"median-household-income-2025","forecastSlug":"median-household-income-2025","targetFactRef":"census.asec.median_household_income.2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the real median household income for calendar year 2025 in the Census Income in the United States report, expected in September 2026, expressed in 2025 dollars or the headline real-dollar basis used by Census.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.spm-child-poverty-2027","specVersionId":"spec.spm-child-poverty-2027.v20260609","predictionId":"spm-child-poverty-2027","forecastSlug":"spm-child-poverty-2027","targetFactRef":"census.spm.child_poverty_rate.2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the official SPM child poverty rate (children under 18) published in the Census Poverty in the United States report covering CY2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.unemployment-dec-2026","specVersionId":"spec.unemployment-dec-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"unemployment-dec-2026","forecastSlug":"unemployment-dec-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.lns14000000.2026-12","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-print seasonally-adjusted U-3 unemployment rate for December 2026, released on the first Friday of January 2027 (subject to revision; first print is the resolution value).","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.cpi-u-annual-2026","specVersionId":"spec.cpi-u-annual-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"cpi-u-annual-2026","forecastSlug":"cpi-u-annual-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cpi.u.annual_pct_change.2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the percent change in CPI-U annual average for 2026 over 2025 (BLS series CUUR0000SA0, annual average), first-published value.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.median-household-income-2026","specVersionId":"spec.median-household-income-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"median-household-income-2026","forecastSlug":"median-household-income-2026","targetFactRef":"census.asec.median_household_income.2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the real median household income for 2026 as published in the Census income report, expressed in 2026 dollars.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.irs-individual-income-tax-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.irs-individual-income-tax-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"irs-individual-income-tax-fy2027","forecastSlug":"irs-individual-income-tax-fy2027","targetFactRef":"treasury.mts.individual_income_tax.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to total individual income tax receipts for FY2027 as reported in the Monthly Treasury Statement covering September 2027, in billions of nominal dollars.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.real-gdp-growth-2026","specVersionId":"spec.real-gdp-growth-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"real-gdp-growth-2026","forecastSlug":"real-gdp-growth-2026","targetFactRef":"bea.gdpc1.q4q4.2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the Q4/Q4 real GDP growth rate for 2026 as published in the BEA Q4 2026 advance estimate (late January 2027).","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.uninsured-rate-2026","specVersionId":"spec.uninsured-rate-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"uninsured-rate-2026","forecastSlug":"uninsured-rate-2026","targetFactRef":"census.asec.uninsured_rate_under_65.2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the uninsured rate (any point during the year) for the population under 65 as published in the Census ASEC health insurance coverage report covering CY2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.labor-force-participation-dec-2026","specVersionId":"spec.labor-force-participation-dec-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"labor-force-participation-dec-2026","forecastSlug":"labor-force-participation-dec-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.lns11300000.2026-12","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-print seasonally-adjusted civilian labor force participation rate for December 2026 (BLS series LNS11300000).","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.ctc-monthly-max-ty2027","specVersionId":"spec.ctc-monthly-max-ty2027.v20260609","predictionId":"ctc-monthly-max-ty2027","forecastSlug":"ctc-monthly-max-ty2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the maximum federal CTC per qualifying child in effect for TY2027, divided by 12. Resolution snapshot is taken as of the IRS Form 1040 instructions published for TY2027 returns (April 2028).","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.ctc-expansion-cost-ty2026","specVersionId":"spec.ctc-expansion-cost-ty2026.v20260609","predictionId":"ctc-expansion-cost-ty2026","forecastSlug":"ctc-expansion-cost-ty2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first official JCT or CBO estimate, in billions of nominal dollars, for the tax-year 2026 federal budget effect of a materially equivalent $3,000 fully refundable Child Tax Credit scored against current law.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.ctc-current-law-outlays-ty2026","specVersionId":"spec.ctc-current-law-outlays-ty2026.v20260609","predictionId":"ctc-current-law-outlays-ty2026","forecastSlug":"ctc-current-law-outlays-ty2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to federal outlays/refundable-credit cost attributable to the Child Tax Credit for tax year 2026, in billions of nominal dollars, using the first official IRS/Treasury table that separately identifies the CTC.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.eitc-outlays-ty2026","specVersionId":"spec.eitc-outlays-ty2026.v20260609","predictionId":"eitc-outlays-ty2026","forecastSlug":"eitc-outlays-ty2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to federal outlays/refundable-credit cost attributable to the Earned Income Tax Credit for tax year 2026, in billions of nominal dollars, using the first official IRS/Treasury table that separately identifies the EITC.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.salt-40k-cap-revenue-cost-ty2027","specVersionId":"spec.salt-40k-cap-revenue-cost-ty2027.v20260609","predictionId":"salt-40k-cap-revenue-cost-ty2027","forecastSlug":"salt-40k-cap-revenue-cost-ty2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first official JCT or CBO estimate of the federal individual-income-tax revenue loss, in billions of nominal dollars, from raising the TY2027 joint SALT cap from $10,000 to $40,000 under otherwise comparable law.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.federal-minimum-wage-jan-2027","specVersionId":"spec.federal-minimum-wage-jan-2027.v20260609","predictionId":"federal-minimum-wage-jan-2027","forecastSlug":"federal-minimum-wage-jan-2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the cash wage value of the federal minimum wage on January 1, 2027 under the Fair Labor Standards Act, regardless of any tipped-credit or sub-minimum provisions.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.standard-deduction-joint-ty2027","specVersionId":"spec.standard-deduction-joint-ty2027.v20260609","predictionId":"standard-deduction-joint-ty2027","forecastSlug":"standard-deduction-joint-ty2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the standard deduction for married couples filing jointly for TY2027 as published by the IRS in the official inflation-adjusted tax parameter release.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.top-marginal-income-tax-rate-ty2027","specVersionId":"spec.top-marginal-income-tax-rate-ty2027.v20260609","predictionId":"top-marginal-income-tax-rate-ty2027","forecastSlug":"top-marginal-income-tax-rate-ty2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the highest statutory federal individual income tax marginal rate applicable for TY2027, excluding surtaxes such as NIIT or Medicare taxes.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.salt-cap-ty2027","specVersionId":"spec.salt-cap-ty2027.v20260609","predictionId":"salt-cap-ty2027","forecastSlug":"salt-cap-ty2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the cap on the deduction for state and local taxes under IRC §164(b)(6) applicable to joint filers in TY2027. If no cap is in force, resolves at the projected average itemizer SALT amount in the SOI distribution (functionally 'no cap').","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-max-allotment-family-4-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.snap-max-allotment-family-4-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-max-allotment-family-4-fy2027","forecastSlug":"snap-max-allotment-family-4-fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the FY2027 maximum allotment for a 4-person household in the 48 contiguous states and DC, as published by USDA in the annual Cost-of-Living Adjustment notice (typically August preceding the fiscal year).","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-benefit-outlays-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.snap-benefit-outlays-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-benefit-outlays-fy2027","forecastSlug":"snap-benefit-outlays-fy2027","targetFactRef":"usda.fns.snap.benefit_outlays.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to federal SNAP benefit outlays for FY2027, excluding administrative costs, in billions of nominal dollars, using the first official USDA FNS or Treasury fiscal-year table that identifies SNAP benefits.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.aca-premium-tax-credit-outlays-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.aca-premium-tax-credit-outlays-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"aca-premium-tax-credit-outlays-fy2027","forecastSlug":"aca-premium-tax-credit-outlays-fy2027","targetFactRef":"treasury.mts.aca_premium_tax_credit_outlays.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to federal outlays for refundable premium tax credits under the Affordable Care Act for FY2027, in billions of nominal dollars, using the first official Treasury or CBO table that separately identifies the credit.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-chip-enrollment-dec-2027","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-chip-enrollment-dec-2027.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-chip-enrollment-dec-2027","forecastSlug":"medicaid-chip-enrollment-dec-2027","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_chip.enrollment.2027-12","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to total Medicaid and CHIP enrollment for December 2027 in the CMS monthly enrollment report, in millions of people, using the first report that includes all-state December data.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.spm-poverty-rate-2025","specVersionId":"spec.spm-poverty-rate-2025.v20260609","predictionId":"spm-poverty-rate-2025","forecastSlug":"spm-poverty-rate-2025","targetFactRef":"census.spm.all_people_poverty_rate.2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the official Supplemental Poverty Measure poverty rate for all people in calendar year 2025, as published in the Census Poverty in the United States report expected in September 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.unemployment-insurance-outlays-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.unemployment-insurance-outlays-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"unemployment-insurance-outlays-fy2027","forecastSlug":"unemployment-insurance-outlays-fy2027","targetFactRef":"treasury.mts.unemployment_insurance_outlays.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to federal unemployment insurance benefit outlays for FY2027, in billions of nominal dollars, using the first official Treasury or Department of Labor fiscal-year table that reports UI benefits.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.ssi-federal-payments-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.ssi-federal-payments-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"ssi-federal-payments-fy2027","forecastSlug":"ssi-federal-payments-fy2027","targetFactRef":"ssa.ssi.federal_payments.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to federal SSI benefit payments for FY2027, excluding state supplements, in billions of nominal dollars, using the first official SSA or Treasury fiscal-year table that reports SSI federal payments.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-federal-outlays-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-federal-outlays-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-federal-outlays-fy2027","forecastSlug":"medicaid-federal-outlays-fy2027","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid.federal_outlays.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to federal Medicaid outlays for FY2027, in billions of nominal dollars, using the first official Treasury or CMS fiscal-year table that reports federal Medicaid payments.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.ctc-recipient-children-ty2026","specVersionId":"spec.ctc-recipient-children-ty2026.v20260609","predictionId":"ctc-recipient-children-ty2026","forecastSlug":"ctc-recipient-children-ty2026","targetFactRef":"irs.soi.ctc.qualifying_children.ty2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the number of qualifying children claimed for the federal Child Tax Credit for tax year 2026, in millions, using the first IRS Statistics of Income table that reports CTC child counts or the closest directly comparable official count.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.housing-choice-voucher-outlays-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.housing-choice-voucher-outlays-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"housing-choice-voucher-outlays-fy2027","forecastSlug":"housing-choice-voucher-outlays-fy2027","targetFactRef":"hud.hcv.outlays.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to federal tenant-based rental assistance outlays for the Housing Choice Voucher program for FY2027, in billions of nominal dollars, using the first official HUD or Treasury table that separately identifies the program.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.payroll-tax-receipts-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.payroll-tax-receipts-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"payroll-tax-receipts-fy2027","forecastSlug":"payroll-tax-receipts-fy2027","targetFactRef":"treasury.mts.social_insurance_receipts.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to total federal social insurance and retirement receipts for FY2027, in billions of nominal dollars, as reported in the final September FY2027 Monthly Treasury Statement.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oasdi-benefit-outlays-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.oasdi-benefit-outlays-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"oasdi-benefit-outlays-fy2027","forecastSlug":"oasdi-benefit-outlays-fy2027","targetFactRef":"ssa.oasdi.benefit_outlays.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to OASDI benefit payments for FY2027, in billions of nominal dollars, using the first official SSA or Treasury fiscal-year table that reports Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance benefits.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.aotc-refundable-outlays-ty2026","specVersionId":"spec.aotc-refundable-outlays-ty2026.v20260609","predictionId":"aotc-refundable-outlays-ty2026","forecastSlug":"aotc-refundable-outlays-ty2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to refundable American Opportunity Tax Credit outlays for TY2026, in billions of nominal dollars, using the first official IRS SOI or Treasury table that separately identifies the refundable AOTC amount.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.wic-average-monthly-participation-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.wic-average-monthly-participation-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"wic-average-monthly-participation-fy2027","forecastSlug":"wic-average-monthly-participation-fy2027","targetFactRef":"usda.fns.wic.average_monthly_participation.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to average monthly WIC participation for FY2027, in millions of participants, using the first USDA FNS annual WIC participation and costs table that reports FY2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.national-school-lunch-participation-sy2026-27","specVersionId":"spec.national-school-lunch-participation-sy2026-27.v20260609","predictionId":"national-school-lunch-participation-sy2026-27","forecastSlug":"national-school-lunch-participation-sy2026-27","targetFactRef":"usda.fns.nslp.average_daily_participation.sy2026_27","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to average daily participation in the National School Lunch Program for school year 2026-27, in millions of students, using the first USDA FNS annual child nutrition table that reports the school-year total.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.aca-exchange-plan-selections-oep-2027","specVersionId":"spec.aca-exchange-plan-selections-oep-2027.v20260609","predictionId":"aca-exchange-plan-selections-oep-2027","forecastSlug":"aca-exchange-plan-selections-oep-2027","targetFactRef":"cms.aca.exchange_qhp_selections.oep_2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to total Qualified Health Plan selections across HealthCare.gov and state-based exchanges during the 2027 Open Enrollment Period, in millions, using the first final CMS Open Enrollment report for plan year 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicare-benefit-outlays-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.medicare-benefit-outlays-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"medicare-benefit-outlays-fy2027","forecastSlug":"medicare-benefit-outlays-fy2027","targetFactRef":"cms.medicare.benefit_outlays.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to federal Medicare benefit outlays for FY2027, in billions of nominal dollars, using the first official Treasury, CMS, or CBO fiscal-year table that reports Medicare benefit payments.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.tanf-federal-outlays-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.tanf-federal-outlays-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"tanf-federal-outlays-fy2027","forecastSlug":"tanf-federal-outlays-fy2027","targetFactRef":"acf.tanf.federal_outlays.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to federal TANF outlays for FY2027, in billions of nominal dollars, using the first official HHS ACF or Treasury table that reports federal TANF fiscal-year spending.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.ccdf-outlays-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.ccdf-outlays-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"ccdf-outlays-fy2027","forecastSlug":"ccdf-outlays-fy2027","targetFactRef":"acf.ccdf.outlays.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to total Child Care and Development Fund expenditures for FY2027, in billions of nominal dollars, using the first official ACF-696-based HHS ACF expenditure data release for FY2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.estate-gift-tax-receipts-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.estate-gift-tax-receipts-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"estate-gift-tax-receipts-fy2027","forecastSlug":"estate-gift-tax-receipts-fy2027","targetFactRef":"treasury.mts.estate_gift_tax_receipts.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to federal estate and gift tax receipts for FY2027, in billions of nominal dollars, as reported in the final September FY2027 Monthly Treasury Statement.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.eitc-claimant-returns-ty2027","specVersionId":"spec.eitc-claimant-returns-ty2027.v20260609","predictionId":"eitc-claimant-returns-ty2027","forecastSlug":"eitc-claimant-returns-ty2027","targetFactRef":"irs.soi.eitc_claimant_returns.ty2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the number of TY2027 individual income tax returns claiming the Earned Income Tax Credit, in millions, using the first official IRS Statistics of Income table covering TY2027 individual returns.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.corporate-income-tax-receipts-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.corporate-income-tax-receipts-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"corporate-income-tax-receipts-fy2027","forecastSlug":"corporate-income-tax-receipts-fy2027","targetFactRef":"treasury.mts.corporation_income_tax_receipts.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to total corporation income tax receipts for FY2027, in billions of nominal dollars, as reported in the final September FY2027 Monthly Treasury Statement.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-average-monthly-participation-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.snap-average-monthly-participation-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-average-monthly-participation-fy2027","forecastSlug":"snap-average-monthly-participation-fy2027","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.average_monthly_persons.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to average monthly SNAP persons for FY2027, in millions, using the first USDA FNS national annual participation table that includes all months of fiscal year 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.pell-grant-recipients-ay2027","specVersionId":"spec.pell-grant-recipients-ay2027.v20260609","predictionId":"pell-grant-recipients-ay2027","forecastSlug":"pell-grant-recipients-ay2027","targetFactRef":"ed.pell.recipients.award_year_2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to unduplicated Federal Pell Grant recipients for award year 2027-28, in millions, using the first official Department of Education Pell Grant program data table or budget justification table with final award-year recipients.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.head-start-funded-enrollment-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.head-start-funded-enrollment-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"head-start-funded-enrollment-fy2027","forecastSlug":"head-start-funded-enrollment-fy2027","targetFactRef":"acf.head_start.funded_enrollment.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to funded enrollment for Head Start and Early Head Start in FY2027, in millions of slots, using the first ACF Office of Head Start Program Information Report or annual fact sheet covering fiscal year 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.tanf-average-monthly-families-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.tanf-average-monthly-families-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"tanf-average-monthly-families-fy2027","forecastSlug":"tanf-average-monthly-families-fy2027","targetFactRef":"acf.tanf.average_monthly_families.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the fiscal-year average number of families receiving TANF or Separate State Program Maintenance-of-Effort cash assistance in FY2027, in millions, using the first ACF TANF caseload table covering all FY2027 months.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.ccdf-average-monthly-children-served-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.ccdf-average-monthly-children-served-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"ccdf-average-monthly-children-served-fy2027","forecastSlug":"ccdf-average-monthly-children-served-fy2027","targetFactRef":"acf.ccdf.average_monthly_children_served.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the average monthly adjusted number of children served by CCDF in FY2027, in millions, using the first ACF-800/ACF-801 CCDF data table covering fiscal year 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.liheap-households-assisted-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.liheap-households-assisted-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"liheap-households-assisted-fy2027","forecastSlug":"liheap-households-assisted-fy2027","targetFactRef":"acf.liheap.households_assisted.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to total households receiving at least one type of LIHEAP assistance for FY2027, in millions, using the first ACF LIHEAP Household Report or LIHEAP data warehouse release covering fiscal year 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.school-breakfast-participation-sy2026-27","specVersionId":"spec.school-breakfast-participation-sy2026-27.v20260609","predictionId":"school-breakfast-participation-sy2026-27","forecastSlug":"school-breakfast-participation-sy2026-27","targetFactRef":"fns.sbp.average_daily_participation.sy2026_27","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to average daily School Breakfast Program participation for school year 2026-27, in millions, using USDA FNS participation data with summer months excluded where FNS publishes a school-year table.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.ssi-recipients-dec-2027","specVersionId":"spec.ssi-recipients-dec-2027.v20260609","predictionId":"ssi-recipients-dec-2027","forecastSlug":"ssi-recipients-dec-2027","targetFactRef":"ssa.ssi.recipients.2027-12","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to total SSI recipients in December 2027, in millions, as reported in the Social Security Administration Monthly Statistical Snapshot or SSI Monthly Statistics release for December 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-average-monthly-households-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.snap-average-monthly-households-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-average-monthly-households-fy2027","forecastSlug":"snap-average-monthly-households-fy2027","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.average_monthly_households.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to average monthly SNAP households for FY2027, in millions, using the first USDA FNS national annual participation table that includes all months of fiscal year 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-chip-child-enrollment-dec-2027","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-chip-child-enrollment-dec-2027.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-chip-child-enrollment-dec-2027","forecastSlug":"medicaid-chip-child-enrollment-dec-2027","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_chip.child_enrollment.2027-12","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Medicaid child and CHIP enrollment for December 2027, in millions, using the first CMS monthly Medicaid and CHIP enrollment report or data.Medicaid.gov release that reports the child-enrollment series for that month.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.housing-choice-voucher-households-leased-dec-2027","specVersionId":"spec.housing-choice-voucher-households-leased-dec-2027.v20260609","predictionId":"housing-choice-voucher-households-leased-dec-2027","forecastSlug":"housing-choice-voucher-households-leased-dec-2027","targetFactRef":"hud.hcv.households_leased.2027-12","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Housing Choice Voucher households leased for December 2027, in millions, using the HUD HCV Data Dashboard or the first official HUD utilization table that reports national leased households for that month.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.school-breakfast-federal-outlays-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.school-breakfast-federal-outlays-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"school-breakfast-federal-outlays-fy2027","forecastSlug":"school-breakfast-federal-outlays-fy2027","targetFactRef":"fns.sbp.federal_cost.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to federal School Breakfast Program cost for FY2027, in billions of nominal dollars, using the first USDA FNS child nutrition program table that reports fiscal-year federal cost.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.child-support-distributed-collections-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.child-support-distributed-collections-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"child-support-distributed-collections-fy2027","forecastSlug":"child-support-distributed-collections-fy2027","targetFactRef":"acf.ocss.distributed_collections.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to total distributed child support collections for FY2027, in billions of nominal dollars, using the first ACF Office of Child Support Services preliminary or annual report covering fiscal year 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.pell-grant-outlays-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.pell-grant-outlays-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"pell-grant-outlays-fy2027","forecastSlug":"pell-grant-outlays-fy2027","targetFactRef":"ed.pell.outlays.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Federal Pell Grant program outlays or obligations for FY2027, in billions of nominal dollars, using the first official Department of Education Federal Student Aid annual report, budget justification, or Pell Grant program data table that reports fiscal-year spending.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.wic-federal-outlays-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.wic-federal-outlays-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"wic-federal-outlays-fy2027","forecastSlug":"wic-federal-outlays-fy2027","targetFactRef":"usda.fns.wic.federal_cost.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to total federal WIC program cost for FY2027, in billions of nominal dollars, using the first USDA FNS WIC participation and cost table that reports fiscal-year total cost.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.liheap-federal-funding-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.liheap-federal-funding-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"liheap-federal-funding-fy2027","forecastSlug":"liheap-federal-funding-fy2027","targetFactRef":"acf.liheap.federal_funding.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to total federal LIHEAP funding made available for FY2027, including regular block grant and contingency or supplemental funding, in billions of nominal dollars, using ACF Office of Community Services funding tables or LIHEAP Clearinghouse funding history.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oasdi-beneficiaries-dec-2027","specVersionId":"spec.oasdi-beneficiaries-dec-2027.v20260609","predictionId":"oasdi-beneficiaries-dec-2027","forecastSlug":"oasdi-beneficiaries-dec-2027","targetFactRef":"ssa.oasdi.beneficiaries.2027-12","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to total OASDI beneficiaries in current-payment status for December 2027, in millions, as reported in the Social Security Administration Monthly Statistical Snapshot or comparable SSA monthly beneficiary data.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.dependent-care-credit-claimant-returns-ty2026","specVersionId":"spec.dependent-care-credit-claimant-returns-ty2026.v20260609","predictionId":"dependent-care-credit-claimant-returns-ty2026","forecastSlug":"dependent-care-credit-claimant-returns-ty2026","targetFactRef":"irs.soi.child_dependent_care_credit_returns.ty2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the number of TY2026 individual income tax returns claiming the federal child and dependent care credit, in millions, using the first official IRS Statistics of Income individual income tax table that reports this credit.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.premium-tax-credit-claimant-returns-ty2026","specVersionId":"spec.premium-tax-credit-claimant-returns-ty2026.v20260609","predictionId":"premium-tax-credit-claimant-returns-ty2026","forecastSlug":"premium-tax-credit-claimant-returns-ty2026","targetFactRef":"irs.soi.premium_tax_credit_claimant_returns.ty2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the number of TY2026 individual income tax returns claiming the premium tax credit or reconciling advance premium tax credits on Form 8962, in millions, using the first official IRS Statistics of Income table covering TY2026 individual returns.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.additional-child-tax-credit-claimant-returns-ty2026","specVersionId":"spec.additional-child-tax-credit-claimant-returns-ty2026.v20260609","predictionId":"additional-child-tax-credit-claimant-returns-ty2026","forecastSlug":"additional-child-tax-credit-claimant-returns-ty2026","targetFactRef":"irs.soi.additional_child_tax_credit_returns.ty2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the number of TY2026 individual income tax returns claiming the refundable Additional Child Tax Credit, in millions, using the first official IRS Statistics of Income table covering TY2026 individual returns.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.charitable-contributions-deduction-ty2026","specVersionId":"spec.charitable-contributions-deduction-ty2026.v20260609","predictionId":"charitable-contributions-deduction-ty2026","forecastSlug":"charitable-contributions-deduction-ty2026","targetFactRef":"irs.soi.itemized_charitable_contributions.ty2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to total charitable contributions deducted on TY2026 itemized individual income tax returns, in billions of nominal dollars, using the first official IRS Statistics of Income Schedule A or itemized-deductions table covering TY2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicare-total-enrollment-dec-2027","specVersionId":"spec.medicare-total-enrollment-dec-2027.v20260609","predictionId":"medicare-total-enrollment-dec-2027","forecastSlug":"medicare-total-enrollment-dec-2027","targetFactRef":"cms.medicare.total_beneficiaries.2027-12","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to total Medicare beneficiaries for December 2027, in millions, using the first CMS Medicare Monthly Enrollment dataset or Medicare Enrollment Report that includes national December 2027 enrollment.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.retired-worker-average-benefit-dec-2027","specVersionId":"spec.retired-worker-average-benefit-dec-2027.v20260609","predictionId":"retired-worker-average-benefit-dec-2027","forecastSlug":"retired-worker-average-benefit-dec-2027","targetFactRef":"ssa.oasdi.retired_worker_average_benefit.2027-12","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the average monthly benefit for retired workers in current-payment status for December 2027, in nominal dollars, as reported in the Social Security Administration Monthly Statistical Snapshot.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.ctc-refundable-amount-ty2027","specVersionId":"spec.ctc-refundable-amount-ty2027.v20260609","predictionId":"ctc-refundable-amount-ty2027","forecastSlug":"ctc-refundable-amount-ty2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the maximum refundable federal Child Tax Credit amount per qualifying child for TY2027, using IRC section 24 and the first IRS Form 1040 instructions or inflation-adjusted tax parameter release that identifies the refundable amount.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.eitc-max-credit-three-children-ty2027","specVersionId":"spec.eitc-max-credit-three-children-ty2027.v20260609","predictionId":"eitc-max-credit-three-children-ty2027","forecastSlug":"eitc-max-credit-three-children-ty2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the maximum EITC for taxpayers with three or more qualifying children for TY2027, using the IRS annual inflation-adjusted tax parameter release or equivalent official IRS table.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-average-benefit-per-person-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.snap-average-benefit-per-person-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-average-benefit-per-person-fy2027","forecastSlug":"snap-average-benefit-per-person-fy2027","targetFactRef":"usda.fns.snap.average_benefit_per_person.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to average monthly SNAP benefits per person for FY2027, in nominal dollars, using the first USDA FNS national SNAP annual table that reports benefits per person for all months of fiscal year 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.ptc-average-subsidy-per-enrollee-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.ptc-average-subsidy-per-enrollee-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"ptc-average-subsidy-per-enrollee-fy2027","forecastSlug":"ptc-average-subsidy-per-enrollee-fy2027","targetFactRef":"cms.marketplace.ptc.average_subsidy_per_enrollee.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to average monthly premium tax credit subsidy per subsidized marketplace enrollee for FY2027, computed from official CMS enrollment and Treasury/CMS PTC outlay tables when both are available.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.initial-jobless-claims-week-ending-2026-06-06","specVersionId":"spec.initial-jobless-claims-week-ending-2026-06-06.v20260609","predictionId":"initial-jobless-claims-week-ending-2026-06-06","forecastSlug":"initial-jobless-claims-week-ending-2026-06-06","targetFactRef":"dol.eta.initial_claims.sa.week_ending_2026_06_06","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published seasonally adjusted initial claims count for the week ending June 6, 2026 in the Department of Labor weekly claims release. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.nonfarm-payrolls-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.nonfarm-payrolls-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"nonfarm-payrolls-may-2026","forecastSlug":"nonfarm-payrolls-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.ces.total_nonfarm_payroll_change.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published May 2026 over-the-month change in total nonfarm payroll employment in the BLS Employment Situation release. Benchmark revisions and later monthly revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.unemployment-rate-may-2026-first-print","specVersionId":"spec.unemployment-rate-may-2026-first-print.v20260609","predictionId":"unemployment-rate-may-2026-first-print","forecastSlug":"unemployment-rate-may-2026-first-print","targetFactRef":"bls.cps.unemployment_rate.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate for May 2026. Later population-control or seasonal-adjustment revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.cpi-headline-mom-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.cpi-headline-mom-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"cpi-headline-mom-may-2026","forecastSlug":"cpi-headline-mom-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cpi.u.headline_mom.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published seasonally adjusted month-over-month percent change in CPI-U for May 2026. Later seasonal-adjustment revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.retail-sales-mom-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.retail-sales-mom-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"retail-sales-mom-may-2026","forecastSlug":"retail-sales-mom-may-2026","targetFactRef":"census.marts.adv44x72.may_2026.monthly_change.advance","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first advance estimate of the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percent change in total retail and food services sales for May 2026. Use the rounded headline value; if only levels are available, compute from Census adv44X72 seasonally adjusted levels in the same release and round to one decimal. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.core-pce-mom-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.core-pce-mom-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"core-pce-mom-may-2026","forecastSlug":"core-pce-mom-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bea.pce.core_mom.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published month-over-month percent change in the PCE price index excluding food and energy for May 2026. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-participation-april-2026","specVersionId":"spec.snap-participation-april-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-participation-april-2026","forecastSlug":"snap-participation-april-2026","targetFactRef":"usda.fns.snap.persons.april_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the April 2026 average monthly SNAP persons count in USDA FNS national program data. If USDA updates the monthly table, the first version available by August 31, 2026 governs.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-chip-enrollment-april-2026","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-chip-enrollment-april-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-chip-enrollment-april-2026","forecastSlug":"medicaid-chip-enrollment-april-2026","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_chip.enrollment.april_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the national Medicaid and CHIP enrollment total for April 2026 in CMS monthly enrollment data. If CMS posts preliminary and updated versions, the first updated national file available by September 30, 2026 governs.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-employment-cost-index-total-compensation-q2-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-employment-cost-index-total-compensation-q2-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-employment-cost-index-total-compensation-q2-2026","forecastSlug":"us-employment-cost-index-total-compensation-q2-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.eci.total_compensation_private_industry_qoq.2026_q2.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first-print value for 2026-Q2 under the bound ALFRED/FRED ECICOM sourceBinding, which mirrors the BLS Employment Cost Index private industry total compensation seasonally adjusted quarterly index from Table 1. The forecast unit is the BLS rounded seasonally adjusted 3-month percent change for private industry workers, all workers, total compensation; use the initial BLS/ALFRED first vintage consistent with that print and ignore later revisions.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-eci-private-wages-salaries-q2-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-eci-private-wages-salaries-q2-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-eci-private-wages-salaries-q2-2026","forecastSlug":"us-eci-private-wages-salaries-q2-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.eci.private_wages_salaries_qoq.2026_q2.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first vintage published for ALFRED/FRED series ECIWAG for 2026 Q2, which mirrors the BLS Employment Cost Index Table 2 first print for seasonally adjusted wages and salaries, private industry workers, all workers, 3-month percent change in current dollars. Use the first-print value available for the 2026-07-31 release, rounded as reported, and ignore later revisions or corrections unless the target binding itself is amended.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.u6-underemployment-rate-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.u6-underemployment-rate-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"u6-underemployment-rate-july-2026","forecastSlug":"u6-underemployment-rate-july-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cps.u6_underemployment_rate.2026_07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the July 2026 first-print U6RATE value captured by the ledger ALFRED binding, corresponding to the BLS-published seasonally adjusted U-6 value in Employment Situation Table A-15, in percent, as released on August 7, 2026. Use the first print rounded to one decimal place; do not apply later revisions or same-day correction exceptions unless the target binding itself records that first public vintage.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-cpi-primary-rent-mom-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-cpi-primary-rent-mom-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-cpi-primary-rent-mom-july-2026","forecastSlug":"us-cpi-primary-rent-mom-july-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cpi.rent_primary_residence_mom.2026_07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve using the ledger-bound ALFRED/FRED first-vintage record for BLS CPI-U rent of primary residence, U.S. city average, seasonally adjusted series CUSR0000SEHA. Compute percent growth as 100*(July 2026 first-vintage index / June 2026 first-vintage index - 1), in percentage points. The underlying official statistic is the first BLS CPI print; do not use later revisions or same-day correction grace unless the published first-vintage record itself is replaced under the target policy.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-cpi-owners-equivalent-rent-mom-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-cpi-owners-equivalent-rent-mom-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-cpi-owners-equivalent-rent-mom-july-2026","forecastSlug":"us-cpi-owners-equivalent-rent-mom-july-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cpi.owners_equivalent_rent_mom.2026_07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first-print July 2026 seasonally adjusted CPI-U Owners' equivalent rent of residences index for U.S. city average, series CUSR0000SEHC, as captured by the ledger's ALFRED first-print source binding after the BLS Consumer Price Index release on August 12, 2026. Compute percent_growth as (July 2026 index / June 2026 index - 1) * 100 using the first published index values, rounded to two decimals for this forecast cell; ignore later revisions, annual seasonal-adjustment revisions, and non-first-vintage backfills.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-cpi-services-less-energy-mom-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-cpi-services-less-energy-mom-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-cpi-services-less-energy-mom-july-2026","forecastSlug":"us-cpi-services-less-energy-mom-july-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cpi.services_less_energy_mom.2026_07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve against the registered ledger sourceBinding: ALFRED/FRED source series CUSR0000SASLE, Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Services Less Energy Services in U.S. City Average, seasonally adjusted, table Consumer Price Index, U.S. city average, monthly seasonally adjusted, first-print policy, expected release window August 12, 2026. Use the first vintage available for the July 2026 observation from the ALFRED CSV and do not use later revised seasonally adjusted index values. Because the registered targetUnit is percent_growth while the ledger sourceBinding exposes an index series with a multiply-by-1 transform, the intended target is the July 2026 month-over-month percent change for CUSR0000SASLE, computed from first-print index values if the resolver converts the index to MoM growth.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-cpi-services-less-rent-shelter-mom-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-cpi-services-less-rent-shelter-mom-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-cpi-services-less-rent-shelter-mom-july-2026","forecastSlug":"us-cpi-services-less-rent-shelter-mom-july-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cpi.services_less_rent_shelter_mom.2026_07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the July 2026 first official vintage available through the ledger-bound ALFRED-FRED adapter for BLS CPI-U Services Less Rent of Shelter, U.S. city average, seasonally adjusted, series CUSR0000SASL2RS, which mirrors the official BLS series. Compute the month-over-month percent growth from the first-print June 2026 and July 2026 CUSR0000SASL2RS index values as 100*(July index/June index - 1), rounded to two decimals for the forecast cell; do not use later revised vintages.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-manufacturing-production-mom-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-manufacturing-production-mom-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-manufacturing-production-mom-july-2026","forecastSlug":"us-manufacturing-production-mom-july-2026","targetFactRef":"fed.g17.manufacturing_production_mom.2026_07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve under the ledger sourceBinding to the first-print ALFRED/FRED vintage of IPMAN for the Federal Reserve G.17 Manufacturing (NAICS) industrial production index released on August 18, 2026. Because the ledger binds sourceSeriesId IPMAN, an index level, while targetUnit is percent_growth, compute the July 2026 month-over-month percent growth from the first-vintage IPMAN index level relative to the June 2026 level when needed; use the first official/ALFRED vintage and ignore later revisions. The Federal Reserve Table 1 one-decimal Manufacturing (NAICS) monthly percent change is the same G.17 variant used for public display context.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-manufacturing-capacity-utilization-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-manufacturing-capacity-utilization-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-manufacturing-capacity-utilization-july-2026","forecastSlug":"us-manufacturing-capacity-utilization-july-2026","targetFactRef":"fed.g17.capacity_utilization.manufacturing.2026_07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first-print July 2026 value for Capacity Utilization: Manufacturing (NAICS), seasonally adjusted, percent of capacity, source series MCUMFN, as first available in the 2026-08-18 Federal Reserve G.17 release vintage through the ledger ALFRED/FRED adapter. Transform by factor 1 and report in percent. Do not use later revisions or same-day correction grace unless encoded in the official first-print vintage.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-building-permits-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-building-permits-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-building-permits-july-2026","forecastSlug":"us-building-permits-july-2026","targetFactRef":"census.housing.permits_saar.2026_07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first ALFRED vintage for FRED series PERMIT for observation month 2026-07, in thousands of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits at a seasonally adjusted annual rate. Use the first print released with the Census New Residential Construction report on 2026-08-18; ignore later revisions, benchmarks, and revised-building-permits releases.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-durable-goods-orders-mom-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-durable-goods-orders-mom-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-durable-goods-orders-mom-june-2026","forecastSlug":"us-durable-goods-orders-mom-june-2026","targetFactRef":"census.m3.durable_goods_new_orders_mom.2026_06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Use the first-print June 2026 seasonally adjusted DGORDER observation released with the Census M3 Advance Report on July 27, 2026, as mirrored by the first applicable ALFRED DGORDER vintage for that release. Convert the first-print level to month-over-month percent growth versus the May 2026 first-print DGORDER level as 100*(June/May - 1), reported in percentage points. Later M3 full-report values, benchmark revisions, and subsequent ALFRED vintages do not replace the first print.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-durable-goods-shipments-mom-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-durable-goods-shipments-mom-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-durable-goods-shipments-mom-june-2026","forecastSlug":"us-durable-goods-shipments-mom-june-2026","targetFactRef":"census.m3.durable_goods_shipments_mom.2026_06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Use the first official June 2026 print released with the Census M3 Advance Report on Durable Goods at 8:30 a.m. on 2026-07-27. Resolve as 100*(June 2026 seasonally adjusted AMDMVS level minus May 2026 seasonally adjusted AMDMVS level)/(May 2026 seasonally adjusted AMDMVS level), in percent, using the first-print June 2026 vintage for both June and May levels; later revisions do not change resolution. The ledger sourceBinding points to AMDMVS with a multiply transform even though the target unit is percent_growth, so the forecast is tied to the same target and interprets the target as the month-over-month percent growth implied by AMDMVS levels.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-construction-spending-mom-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-construction-spending-mom-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-construction-spending-mom-june-2026","forecastSlug":"us-construction-spending-mom-june-2026","targetFactRef":"census.construction_spending.total_mom.2026_06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first Census Monthly Construction Spending print for June 2026 total construction spending, seasonally adjusted annual rate, as mechanically captured by the ALFRED TTLCONS first vintage. Use the headline month-over-month percent change versus the revised May 2026 estimate in that first release; if resolving from TTLCONS levels, compute 100*(June 2026 first-print SAAR / revised May 2026 SAAR in the same first-print release - 1), round to one decimal percentage point for the reported print, and ignore later revisions.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.jolts-hires-rate-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.jolts-hires-rate-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"jolts-hires-rate-june-2026","forecastSlug":"jolts-hires-rate-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.jolts.hires_rate.2026_06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to source series JTSHIR under the ledger's ALFRED/FRED first-print policy for observation 2026-06: use the original vintage first published in the Aug. 4, 2026 release window, in percent and with factor 1. Ignore later ALFRED/FRED vintages, BLS revisions, or annual updates.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-unit-labor-costs-q2-2026-prelim","specVersionId":"spec.us-unit-labor-costs-q2-2026-prelim.v20260609","predictionId":"us-unit-labor-costs-q2-2026-prelim","forecastSlug":"us-unit-labor-costs-q2-2026-prelim","targetFactRef":"bls.productivity.nonfarm_unit_labor_costs_qoq_prelim.2026_q2.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first ALFRED/FRED vintage for PRS85006112 reflecting the BLS Productivity and Costs preliminary second-quarter 2026 value for nonfarm business sector unit labor costs, seasonally adjusted percent change from previous quarter at an annual rate, rounded to one decimal place as published for the August 6, 2026 first print; ignore later revised releases and later data-vintage changes.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-consumer-credit-annual-rate-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-consumer-credit-annual-rate-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-consumer-credit-annual-rate-june-2026","forecastSlug":"us-consumer-credit-annual-rate-june-2026","targetFactRef":"fed.g19.consumer_credit_total_annual_rate.2026_06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve mechanically to ALFRED/FRED field TOTALSLAR for observation period 2026-06, using the first vintage corresponding to the Federal Reserve G.19 Consumer Credit first official June 2026 print released on 2026-08-07; use the published percent change at annual rate, seasonally adjusted value rounded to two decimals and do not incorporate later revisions.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-revolving-consumer-credit-annual-rate-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-revolving-consumer-credit-annual-rate-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-revolving-consumer-credit-annual-rate-june-2026","forecastSlug":"us-revolving-consumer-credit-annual-rate-june-2026","targetFactRef":"fed.g19.consumer_credit_revolving_annual_rate.2026_06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first-vintage ALFRED observation for REVOLSLAR dated 2026-06, corresponding to the first official Federal Reserve G.19 Consumer Credit print for June 2026 in the Consumer Credit Outstanding table, seasonally adjusted, row Revolving under Total percent change (annual rate). Use the value first available for the August 7, 2026 release vintage; ignore later revisions. Record in percent growth at annual rate, using the official displayed precision or the unrounded first-vintage REVOLSLAR value if the ALFRED/FRED file exposes more precision.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-nonrevolving-consumer-credit-annual-rate-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-nonrevolving-consumer-credit-annual-rate-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-nonrevolving-consumer-credit-annual-rate-june-2026","forecastSlug":"us-nonrevolving-consumer-credit-annual-rate-june-2026","targetFactRef":"fed.g19.consumer_credit_nonrevolving_annual_rate.2026_06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first official Federal Reserve G.19 print for June 2026, table Consumer Credit Outstanding, seasonally adjusted, Nonrevolving percent change at annual rate / NONREVSLAR, in percent at annual rate. Use the original vintage for the June 2026 observation released on 2026-08-07 in the ledger-bound ALFRED source series; do not incorporate later revisions or corrected vintages unless the original release itself is withdrawn before publication.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-cpi-shelter-mom-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-cpi-shelter-mom-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-cpi-shelter-mom-july-2026","forecastSlug":"us-cpi-shelter-mom-july-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cpi.shelter_mom.2026_07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first-print July 2026 value for the seasonally adjusted CPI-U shelter series for U.S. city average, CUSR0000SAH1, as mirrored by ALFRED/FRED under the registered first-print binding. The underlying official economic release is the BLS Consumer Price Index release scheduled for August 12, 2026. Compute month-over-month percent growth from the first-print July 2026 and June 2026 seasonally adjusted index levels as 100*(July/June - 1), or use the BLS first-print seasonally adjusted percent-change table if exact first-print index levels are not exposed at resolution time. Do not revise for later seasonal-adjustment revisions or subsequent corrections unless the first-print file itself is replaced before ordinary publication.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.bls-ppi-final-demand-monthly-change-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.bls-ppi-final-demand-monthly-change-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"bls-ppi-final-demand-monthly-change-july-2026","forecastSlug":"bls-ppi-final-demand-monthly-change-july-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.wp.WPSFD4.2026-07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first BLS-published seasonally adjusted 1-month percent change for Final demand, group code FD item code 4, in the Producer Price Index news release for July 2026, scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 8:30 a.m. ET. Use the first print as published, in percent, rounded to the BLS one-decimal release value; do not replace it with later revisions. The decimal point estimate and interval here are forecast values, while resolution uses the BLS one-decimal first print.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.canada-cpi-annual-rate-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.canada-cpi-annual-rate-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"canada-cpi-annual-rate-july-2026","forecastSlug":"canada-cpi-annual-rate-july-2026","targetFactRef":"statcan.cpi.allitems.yoy.2026_07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first Statistics Canada print for July 2026 all-items CPI, Canada, not seasonally adjusted, vector v41690973 in Table 18-10-0004-01, transformed as 100*(July 2026 index / July 2025 index - 1) and reported to one decimal percent. Ignore later revisions or corrections after the first official print.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.abs-labour-employment-change-australia-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.abs-labour-employment-change-australia-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"abs-labour-employment-change-australia-july-2026","forecastSlug":"abs-labour-employment-change-australia-july-2026","targetFactRef":"abs.labour.employment_change.australia.july_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first observed July 2026 API observation for ABS Labour Force series LF/M3.3.1599.20.AUS.M: seasonally adjusted employed persons, Australia, month-over-month change, in thousands. Use the value published in the first official ABS release/API print on 2026-08-20, rounded to one decimal thousand if the source presents one decimal; ignore later revisions.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.initial-claims-week-2026-08-01","specVersionId":"spec.initial-claims-week-2026-08-01.v20260609","predictionId":"initial-claims-week-2026-08-01","forecastSlug":"initial-claims-week-2026-08-01","targetFactRef":"us.dol.initial_claims.sa.week_2026-08-01","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the advance seasonally adjusted initial claims figure for the week ending August 1, 2026, in thousands, in the U.S. Department of Labor Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report first released on August 6, 2026. Use the first print as reported, rounded to the nearest 1,000 claims, and ignore later revisions.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.continued-claims-week-2026-08-01","specVersionId":"spec.continued-claims-week-2026-08-01.v20260609","predictionId":"continued-claims-week-2026-08-01","forecastSlug":"continued-claims-week-2026-08-01","targetFactRef":"dol.eta.continued_claims.sa.week_2026-08-01.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve through the ledger-bound ALFRED advance vintage for CCSA, which mirrors the first official DOL ETA UI Weekly Claims print for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending August 1, 2026. Use the advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment count for regular state programs, divide the persons count by 1,000,000 to express millions, and ignore later revisions. The canonical expected release window is 2026-08-11 through 2026-08-15; the official DOL schedule indicates the relevant weekly release date is Thursday, 2026-08-13.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.fed-g17-industrial-production-total-index-mom-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.fed-g17-industrial-production-total-index-mom-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"fed-g17-industrial-production-total-index-mom-july-2026","forecastSlug":"fed-g17-industrial-production-total-index-mom-july-2026","targetFactRef":"fed.g17.industrial_production.total_index_mom.2026-07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first Federal Reserve G.17 monthly release for July 2026, Table 11 IP percent change / Total IP monthly rate, seasonally adjusted, preliminary first print. Use the one-decimal percent change printed by the agency on the initial August 18, 2026 release; ignore later revisions, same-day corrections not included in the first posted release, and the planned autumn 2026 annual revision.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.fed-g17-capacity-utilization-total-industry-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.fed-g17-capacity-utilization-total-industry-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"fed-g17-capacity-utilization-total-industry-july-2026","forecastSlug":"fed-g17-capacity-utilization-total-industry-july-2026","targetFactRef":"fed.g17.capacity_utilization.total_industry.2026-07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first official Federal Reserve G.17 July 2026 value for Table 7 Capacity Utilization, Total industry, seasonally adjusted percent of capacity, as first published on the August 18, 2026 release. Use the first-print value in percent, without later revisions; if only the one-decimal table value is available, use that official rounded value, otherwise use the corresponding first-print TCU value from the official/FRED-ALFRED release binding.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.census-housing-starts-saar-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.census-housing-starts-saar-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"census-housing-starts-saar-july-2026","forecastSlug":"census-housing-starts-saar-july-2026","targetFactRef":"census.housing_starts.saar.2026-07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first officially published Census/HUD New Residential Construction estimate for July 2026 privately owned housing starts, total units, seasonally adjusted annual rate, Table 3. Convert thousands of units to millions by multiplying by 0.001 and round to the nearest 0.001 million. Use the initial August 18, 2026 print only; ignore later revisions and benchmark updates.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.bls-import-price-index-all-imports-mom-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.bls-import-price-index-all-imports-mom-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"bls-import-price-index-all-imports-mom-july-2026","forecastSlug":"bls-import-price-index-all-imports-mom-july-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.import_price_index.all_imports_mom.2026-07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first BLS U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes news release for July 2026, Table 1, row 'All commodities', monthly percent change for June 2026 to July 2026, reported in percent to one decimal. Use the first official print only and ignore later revisions.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-new-home-sales-saar-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-new-home-sales-saar-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-new-home-sales-saar-july-2026","forecastSlug":"us-new-home-sales-saar-july-2026","targetFactRef":"census.new_residential_sales.new_single_family_houses_sold_saar.2026_07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first published July 2026 value for New Houses Sold, United States, seasonally adjusted annual rate, Table 1a/New Residential Sales series HSN1F, in thousands. Use the first official print only; ignore later revisions and seasonal-revision changes unless the original release is formally withdrawn before publication.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-goods-services-trade-deficit-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-goods-services-trade-deficit-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-goods-services-trade-deficit-july-2026","forecastSlug":"us-goods-services-trade-deficit-july-2026","targetFactRef":"bea.trade.goods_services_deficit.2026_07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first-print seasonally adjusted goods and services balance in Exhibit 1 of the U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services release for July 2026, balance of payments basis, converted to a positive deficit in usd_billions and rounded to one decimal place. Use the initially released July 2026 value only; ignore later monthly, annual, benchmark, or same-series revisions.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.initial-claims-week-2026-07-25","specVersionId":"spec.initial-claims-week-2026-07-25.v20260609","predictionId":"initial-claims-week-2026-07-25","forecastSlug":"initial-claims-week-2026-07-25","targetFactRef":"us.dol.initial_claims.sa.week_2026-07-25","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims for the week ending July 25, 2026, published by the U.S. Department of Labor on July 30, 2026, expressed in thousands and rounded to the nearest thousand. Use that first official print only; ignore subsequent revisions.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.continued-claims-week-2026-07-25","specVersionId":"spec.continued-claims-week-2026-07-25.v20260609","predictionId":"continued-claims-week-2026-07-25","forecastSlug":"continued-claims-week-2026-07-25","targetFactRef":"dol.eta.continued_claims.sa.week_2026-07-25.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve through the canonical ALFRED CCSA source binding to the advance (first-print) seasonally adjusted insured unemployment level published by DOL ETA for the week ending July 25, 2026, converted from claims to millions by multiplying by 0.000001 and rounded to 0.001 million. Ignore all subsequent revisions. The expected ETA release date is August 6, 2026, within the ledger release window of August 4–8, 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.cps-production-employment-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.cps-production-employment-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"cps-production-employment-july-2026","forecastSlug":"cps-production-employment-july-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cps.employed_people_by_occupation.production.july_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first BLS-published July 2026 value for Production occupations in CPS Employment Situation Table A-19, not seasonally adjusted, reported in thousands and multiplied by 0.001 to millions. Preserve the first print despite later revisions and round to three decimal places. Keep the registered resolutionDate of 2026-08-06, although the official BLS calendar schedules the release for 2026-08-07.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.cps-transport-material-moving-employment-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.cps-transport-material-moving-employment-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"cps-transport-material-moving-employment-july-2026","forecastSlug":"cps-transport-material-moving-employment-july-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cps.employed_people_by_occupation.transportation_material_moving.july_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first value published for July 2026 in BLS CPS Employment Situation Table A-19, row 'Transportation and material moving occupations,' Total, 16 years and over, not seasonally adjusted, reported in thousands and multiplied by 0.001 to millions. Retain that first print despite later revisions. The registered target uses resolutionDate 2026-08-06, while official BLS sources schedule the July 2026 Employment Situation release for 2026-08-07.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.cps-business-financial-employment-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.cps-business-financial-employment-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"cps-business-financial-employment-july-2026","forecastSlug":"cps-business-financial-employment-july-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cps.employed_people_by_occupation.business_financial_operations.july_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first value published by BLS for July 2026 in CPS Employment Situation Table A-19, row 'Business and financial operations occupations,' Total age 16 years and over, not seasonally adjusted, reported in thousands and multiplied by 0.001 to millions. Use the first official print without later revisions. The official BLS calendar schedules the July release for August 7, 2026; this conflicts with the registered sourceBinding window ending August 6 but does not change the target.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.cps-computer-math-employment-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.cps-computer-math-employment-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"cps-computer-math-employment-july-2026","forecastSlug":"cps-computer-math-employment-july-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cps.employed_people_by_occupation.computer_mathematical.july_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the total number of employed people age 16 and over in the 'Computer and mathematical occupations' row of CPS Employment Situation Table A-19 for July 2026, not seasonally adjusted, as first published by BLS on August 7, 2026. Convert thousands to millions by multiplying by 0.001 and retain three decimal places. Ignore subsequent revisions. The registered source window ending August 6 conflicts with the official BLS calendar and June release notice, both of which specify August 7.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.cps-healthcare-support-employment-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.cps-healthcare-support-employment-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"cps-healthcare-support-employment-july-2026","forecastSlug":"cps-healthcare-support-employment-july-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cps.employed_people_by_occupation.healthcare_support.july_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first value published for July 2026 in BLS CPS Employment Situation Table A-19, row 'Healthcare support occupations,' Total, 16 years and over, not seasonally adjusted. Multiply the published thousands value by 0.001 and retain three decimal places in millions. Ignore all later revisions; no correction or release-day grace exception applies.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.cps-office-admin-employment-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.cps-office-admin-employment-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"cps-office-admin-employment-july-2026","forecastSlug":"cps-office-admin-employment-july-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cps.employed_people_by_occupation.office_administrative_support.july_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the July 2026 total employed value for “Office and administrative support occupations” in CPS Employment Situation Table A-19, not seasonally adjusted, as first published by BLS on August 7, 2026. Convert the reported thousands to millions by multiplying by 0.001 and retain three decimal places. Ignore subsequent revisions.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.bls-bed-opening-establishment-gross-job-gains-q4-2025","specVersionId":"spec.bls-bed-opening-establishment-gross-job-gains-q4-2025.v20260609","predictionId":"bls-bed-opening-establishment-gross-job-gains-q4-2025","forecastSlug":"bls-bed-opening-establishment-gross-job-gains-q4-2025","targetFactRef":"bls.bed.private_gross_job_gains.opening_establishments.2025_q4.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first value published for 2025 Q4 in BLS Business Employment Dynamics Table 1, Gross job gains—Opening establishments—Total private, seasonally adjusted, in thousands. Use the displayed integer value, equivalent to rounding to the nearest thousand jobs, and ignore all subsequent revisions.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.bls-ecec-private-total-compensation-hourly-cost-q2-2026","specVersionId":"spec.bls-ecec-private-total-compensation-hourly-cost-q2-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"bls-ecec-private-total-compensation-hourly-cost-q2-2026","forecastSlug":"bls-ecec-private-total-compensation-hourly-cost-q2-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.ecec.private_total_compensation.hourly_cost.2026_q2.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first value published on September 9, 2026 for “Private industry workers; Total compensation; Cost per hour worked” in Employer Costs for Employee Compensation Table 1 for June 2026. Use the current-dollar value as printed to the nearest cent; ignore all later revisions.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-defense-capital-goods-inventories-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-defense-capital-goods-inventories-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-defense-capital-goods-inventories-june-2026","forecastSlug":"us-defense-capital-goods-inventories-june-2026","targetFactRef":"census.m3.defense_capital_goods.inventories.2026_06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the preliminary June 2026 value for Defense capital goods; Total Inventories in Table 2 of the first U.S. Census Bureau June 2026 Advance Report, using the seasonally adjusted estimate in millions of dollars multiplied by 0.001 and rounded to three decimal places in USD billions. Ignore all later revisions and corrections not contained in that first print.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.bea-pce-price-index-monthly-change-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.bea-pce-price-index-monthly-change-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"bea-pce-price-index-monthly-change-june-2026","forecastSlug":"bea-pce-price-index-monthly-change-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bea.pce_price_index.monthly_change.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the seasonally adjusted percent change from May to June 2026 in the headline PCE price index (PCEPI), as first published by BEA in Personal Income and Outlays, June 2026, rounded to BEA's published one-decimal precision; ignore subsequent revisions. The JSON point and interval retain additional decimals for forecast scoring.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.bea-personal-current-taxes-level-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.bea-personal-current-taxes-level-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"bea-personal-current-taxes-level-june-2026","forecastSlug":"bea-personal-current-taxes-level-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bea.personal_current_taxes.level.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the June 2026 first-published value for BEA personal current taxes series W055RC1, monthly seasonally adjusted annual rate, billions of dollars, rounded to one decimal, using the registered source binding and ignoring subsequent revisions. The registered ALFRED vintage predates the June observation and BEA schedules the first print for July 30, so the binding and registered July 29 resolution date require target-contract review; this forecast remains tied to the registered slug, dataPointId, URL, and date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.bea-government-social-benefits-medicaid-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.bea-government-social-benefits-medicaid-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"bea-government-social-benefits-medicaid-june-2026","forecastSlug":"bea-government-social-benefits-medicaid-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bea.government_social_benefits.medicaid.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first-print June 2026 value for BEA series W729RC1, government social benefits to persons: Medicaid, in billions of dollars at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, as published for Personal Income and Outlays Table 1 and mirrored at the registered ALFRED URL. Use the originally released value, not later revisions; record to one decimal billion dollars. The registered source URL and dataPointId remain controlling even though the ledger vintage_date=2026-06-25 and expected release window through 2026-07-29 appear inconsistent with the BEA schedule showing the June 2026 release on 2026-07-30.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.bea-government-social-benefits-medicare-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.bea-government-social-benefits-medicare-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"bea-government-social-benefits-medicare-june-2026","forecastSlug":"bea-government-social-benefits-medicare-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bea.government_social_benefits.medicare.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first published value for W824RC1, personal current transfer receipts: government social benefits to persons: Medicare, for 2026-06, in billions of dollars at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, rounded to one decimal. Use the first print from the BEA Personal Income and Outlays June 2026 release and ignore later revisions. The registered ALFRED URL is retained as target contract, but its vintage_date=2026-06-25 is before the verified July 30, 2026 BEA release date and therefore is not itself a valid June first-print outcome vintage.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.bea-pce-core-mom-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.bea-pce-core-mom-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"bea-pce-core-mom-june-2026","forecastSlug":"bea-pce-core-mom-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bea.pce.core_mom.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first-print June 2026 seasonally adjusted month-over-month percent change in BEA's PCE price index excluding food and energy, series PCEPILFE / BEA account DPCCRG, from the Personal Income and Outlays release. Use the first official print only; do not use later revisions. If using PCEPILFE index levels, compute 100*(June 2026 index / May 2026 index - 1) and round consistently with BEA's published one-decimal percent-change presentation.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.bea-government-social-benefits-social-security-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.bea-government-social-benefits-social-security-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"bea-government-social-benefits-social-security-june-2026","forecastSlug":"bea-government-social-benefits-social-security-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bea.government_social_benefits.social_security.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Binding resolver is the registered ALFRED CSV URL exactly as recorded, id=W823RC1 with vintage_date=2026-06-25, for the 2026-06 observation in usd_billions. This registered vintage appears inconsistent with the verified BEA June 2026 Personal Income and Outlays first-print release date of 2026-07-31; do not substitute a later ALFRED vintage unless the ledger target is corrected. If the binding vintage contains the 2026-06 value, use that first-vintage value; later revisions do not change resolution.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.uk-claimant-count-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.uk-claimant-count-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"uk-claimant-count-june-2026","forecastSlug":"uk-claimant-count-june-2026","targetFactRef":"ons.labour.claimant_count.2026_06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first value published by ONS for June 2026 for series BCJD, People claiming unemployment-related benefits: United Kingdom: all aged 16+: seasonally adjusted, expressed in thousands and recorded to one decimal place. Ignore subsequent revisions. The registered target specifies 14 July 2026, although the ONS release calendar inspected during this run schedules UK Labour Market: July 2026 for 21 July 2026 at 7:00am; this forecast retains the registered resolutionDate rather than silently altering the target.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.euro-area-construction-production-index-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.euro-area-construction-production-index-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"euro-area-construction-production-index-may-2026","forecastSlug":"euro-area-construction-production-index-may-2026","targetFactRef":"eurostat.construction.production_index.2026_05.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first value Eurostat publishes on 20 July 2026 for May 2026 in sts_copr_m, series freq=M, unit=I21, s_adj=SCA, indic_bt=PRD, nace_r2=F, geo=EA20. Use the calendar-and-seasonally-adjusted production-in-construction index, 2021=100, as printed to one decimal. Do not substitute monthly growth, calendar-adjusted data, EU data, or a later revision. The ledger unit is index_points, although that value is absent from the prompt's enumerated unit examples.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.abs-labour-employment-change-australia-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.abs-labour-employment-change-australia-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"abs-labour-employment-change-australia-june-2026","forecastSlug":"abs-labour-employment-change-australia-june-2026","targetFactRef":"abs.labour.employment_change.australia.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first value published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics for June 2026 in series LF/M3.3.1599.20.AUS.M: employed persons, seasonally adjusted, Australia, month-over-month change, in thousands. Use the first-print value as published, including its published precision; ignore all later revisions or corrections.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.abs-cpi-all-groups-annual-rate-australia-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.abs-cpi-all-groups-annual-rate-australia-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"abs-cpi-all-groups-annual-rate-australia-june-2026","forecastSlug":"abs-cpi-all-groups-annual-rate-australia-june-2026","targetFactRef":"abs.cpi.all_groups_annual_rate.australia.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first value published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics for June 2026 annual change in the original All groups CPI, weighted average of eight capital cities, series CPI/3.10001.10.50.M. Use the first print as displayed to one decimal percentage point; later revisions do not change resolution.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.abs-building-approvals-total-dwellings-mom-australia-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.abs-building-approvals-total-dwellings-mom-australia-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"abs-building-approvals-total-dwellings-mom-australia-june-2026","forecastSlug":"abs-building-approvals-total-dwellings-mom-australia-june-2026","targetFactRef":"abs.building_approvals.total_dwellings_mom.australia.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the month-over-month percentage change for seasonally adjusted total dwelling units approved for June 2026 shown on the first ABS Building Approvals, Australia release scheduled for 30 July 2026 at 11:30am AEST. Use the published one-decimal percentage value without incorporating later revisions or the 6 August additional-information release.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.bea-government-social-benefits-level-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.bea-government-social-benefits-level-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"bea-government-social-benefits-level-june-2026","forecastSlug":"bea-government-social-benefits-level-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bea.government_social_benefits.level.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first-published June 2026 value of BEA series A063RC1, personal current transfer receipts: government social benefits to persons, monthly seasonally adjusted at an annual rate in billions of dollars, using the displayed one-decimal value and ignoring later revisions.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.canada-ei-regular-beneficiaries-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.canada-ei-regular-beneficiaries-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"canada-ei-regular-beneficiaries-july-2026","forecastSlug":"canada-ei-regular-beneficiaries-july-2026","targetFactRef":"statcan.employment_insurance.regular_beneficiaries.canada.july_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first Statistics Canada publication for July 2026 of vector v64549350 in Table 14-10-0011-01: regular Employment Insurance beneficiaries, Canada, both sexes, age 15 years and over, seasonally adjusted, persons. Multiply the first-published persons value by 0.001 to express thousands. Ignore all subsequent revisions or corrections and apply no release-day grace exception.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.canada-monthly-gdp-growth-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.canada-monthly-gdp-growth-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"canada-monthly-gdp-growth-july-2026","forecastSlug":"canada-monthly-gdp-growth-july-2026","targetFactRef":"statcan.36-10-0434-01.all_industries.month_to_month_percent_change.2026-07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first Statistics Canada print for July 2026 using vector v65201210 in Table 36-10-0434-01, all industries, chained 2017 dollars, seasonally adjusted at annual rates. Compute the month-over-month percent change from the June and July levels at that release vintage; retain the computed value without substituting later revisions.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.initial-claims-week-2026-07-18","specVersionId":"spec.initial-claims-week-2026-07-18.v20260609","predictionId":"initial-claims-week-2026-07-18","forecastSlug":"initial-claims-week-2026-07-18","targetFactRef":"us.dol.initial_claims.sa.week_2026-07-18","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the advance first-print seasonally adjusted US initial claims figure for the week ending July 18, 2026, in the DOL release scheduled for July 23, 2026, expressed in thousands and rounded to the nearest thousand. The catalog's ALFRED ICSA advance-vintage binding may retrieve that print mechanically; DOL remains the official resolution authority. Ignore all subsequent revisions.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.continued-claims-week-2026-07-18","specVersionId":"spec.continued-claims-week-2026-07-18.v20260609","predictionId":"continued-claims-week-2026-07-18","forecastSlug":"continued-claims-week-2026-07-18","targetFactRef":"dol.eta.continued_claims.sa.week_2026-07-18.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the advance first-print seasonally adjusted insured unemployment level for the week ending July 18, 2026, published in the U.S. Department of Labor release scheduled for July 30, 2026 and preserved as the ALFRED CCSA advance vintage; convert persons to millions and round to 0.001 million. Ignore all subsequent revisions.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.australia-unemployment-rate-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.australia-unemployment-rate-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"australia-unemployment-rate-july-2026","forecastSlug":"australia-unemployment-rate-july-2026","targetFactRef":"abs.labour.unemployment_rate.australia.july_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the unemployment rate for persons, Australia, seasonally adjusted, series LF/M13.3.1599.20.AUS.M (field M13), for July 2026 in the first ABS Labour Force, Australia print released on 20 August 2026. Use the value as published to one decimal place; ignore all subsequent revisions.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.wic-participation-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.wic-participation-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"wic-participation-july-2026","forecastSlug":"wic-participation-july-2026","targetFactRef":"fns.wic.total_participation.2026-07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first national total-participation value published by USDA FNS for July 2026 in the WIC monthly data table, converting the official count in thousands to millions by multiplying by 0.001. Use the first published value even if FNS later revises it; round the converted result to three decimal places. The registered expected release window is October 14-22, 2026, with October 22 as the resolution date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-participation-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.snap-participation-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-participation-july-2026","forecastSlug":"snap-participation-july-2026","targetFactRef":"usda.fns.snap.persons.july_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the Persons value for July 2026 in the first official FNS SNAP national monthly participation table published for that month. Convert the table value from thousands to millions by multiplying by 0.001 and round to three decimals; ignore all subsequent revisions. No release-day correction or grace exception applies.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.wic-participation-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.wic-participation-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"wic-participation-june-2026","forecastSlug":"wic-participation-june-2026","targetFactRef":"fns.wic.total_participation.2026-06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the total participants value for June 2026 in the first official USDA FNS WIC monthly national-level table published on the WIC Data Tables page. Apply the ledger conversion from thousands of participants to millions by multiplying by 0.001. Use that first print without incorporating later revisions or corrections, and round only the resolved millions value to six decimal places.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-participation-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.snap-participation-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-participation-june-2026","forecastSlug":"snap-participation-june-2026","targetFactRef":"usda.fns.snap.persons.june_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first value published for Persons for June 2026 in the USDA FNS SNAP national monthly participation table, reported in thousands and multiplied by 0.001 to millions. Use the first print available on the specified SNAP Data Tables page; disregard later revisions. Round the resolved value to three decimal places in millions.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.bea-disposable-personal-income-level-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.bea-disposable-personal-income-level-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"bea-disposable-personal-income-level-june-2026","forecastSlug":"bea-disposable-personal-income-level-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bea.disposable_personal_income.level.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve through the canonical ledger generic-url binding at the supplied ALFRED DSPI CSV URL, field DSPI, with first_print policy, to the BEA disposable personal income series DSPI / account code A067RC for June 2026, in billions of dollars at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, rounded to one decimal. Ignore later revisions. BEA provenance is the Personal Income and Outlays first release; the supplied ALFRED vintage_date appears to correspond to the prior May 2026 print, so this discrepancy is noted but the forecast remains tied to the retained ledger binding.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.ons-cpi-annual-rate-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.ons-cpi-annual-rate-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"ons-cpi-annual-rate-june-2026","forecastSlug":"ons-cpi-annual-rate-june-2026","targetFactRef":"ons.cpi.annual_rate.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve according to the registered ledger target: use the first ONS-published CPI all-items 12-month rate tied to dataPointId ons.cpi.annual_rate.june_2026.first_print, in percent rounded to one decimal place, with first-print policy and no later revisions. The registered sourceBinding points to the May 2026 CPI bulletin and field official_release:ons:cpi:2026-05:cpi_annual_rate despite the June 2026 target identity; this forecast preserves the ledger resolver fields and states the apparent May/June discrepancy for audit.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.ons-hmrc-paye-payrolled-employees-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.ons-hmrc-paye-payrolled-employees-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"ons-hmrc-paye-payrolled-employees-june-2026","forecastSlug":"ons-hmrc-paye-payrolled-employees-june-2026","targetFactRef":"ons.hmrc.paye_payrolled_employees.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first official ONS/HMRC print of seasonally adjusted UK PAYE payrolled employees for June 2026, in millions, using the headline payrolled employees series in the Earnings and employment from Pay As You Earn Real Time Information bulletin/table. Use the first published estimate only, with no later revisions. The JSON resolutionDate of 2026-07-21 is the expected first-print publication date from the official next-release schedule. The registered ledger URL points to the June 2026 bulletin, which ONS has already used for May 2026 data; this discrepancy is preserved for audit rather than silently changing the target.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.ons-pusf-j5ii-public-sector-net-borrowing-ex-banks-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.ons-pusf-j5ii-public-sector-net-borrowing-ex-banks-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"ons-pusf-j5ii-public-sector-net-borrowing-ex-banks-june-2026","forecastSlug":"ons-pusf-j5ii-public-sector-net-borrowing-ex-banks-june-2026","targetFactRef":"ons.pusf.j5ii.public_sector_net_borrowing_ex_banks.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve on the first ONS print for June 2026 public sector net borrowing excluding public sector banks. Use the Public sector finances June 2026 bulletin/table value for code -J5II, or equivalently convert raw J5II time-series £m to £ billions with the bulletin borrowing sign convention, where positive means borrowing/deficit. Do not use later revisions, superseded versions, or same-day corrections unless the first-print bulletin itself is replaced before release publication is complete.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-new-home-sales-saar-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-new-home-sales-saar-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-new-home-sales-saar-june-2026","forecastSlug":"us-new-home-sales-saar-june-2026","targetFactRef":"census.new_residential_sales.new_single_family_houses_sold_saar.2026_06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first public June 2026 value in Census/HUD Monthly New Residential Sales, Table 1, New Houses Sold and For Sale, for Sold during period, United States, seasonally adjusted annual rate. Record the published value in thousands of houses at an annual rate; do not apply later revisions or same-day corrections unless the Census first-print release itself republishes the table before the initial public value is captured.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-goods-services-trade-deficit-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-goods-services-trade-deficit-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-goods-services-trade-deficit-june-2026","forecastSlug":"us-goods-services-trade-deficit-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bea.trade.goods_services_deficit.2026_06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve on the first official August 4, 2026 print for June 2026 from U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, Exhibit 1. Use the seasonally adjusted, not price adjusted total goods and services balance; convert the balance to a positive deficit in USD billions, rounded to one decimal from the first release. Ignore later revisions.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-real-avg-hourly-earnings-mom-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-real-avg-hourly-earnings-mom-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-real-avg-hourly-earnings-mom-july-2026","forecastSlug":"us-real-avg-hourly-earnings-mom-july-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.real_earnings.avg_hourly_mom.2026-07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first BLS Real Earnings Table A-1 value for July 2026, seasonally adjusted over-the-month percent change in real average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls, as first printed on the official release page; use the one-decimal percent value shown by BLS and do not revise for later updates.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.wic-participation-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.wic-participation-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"wic-participation-may-2026","forecastSlug":"wic-participation-may-2026","targetFactRef":"fns.wic.total_participation.2026-05.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the national WIC Total Participants value for May 2026 in the first official USDA FNS WIC monthly program-data posting or latest-month table that first includes May 2026. The expected displayed FNS monthly table value is a whole participant count, as in 6,894,610 for May 2025; convert that displayed person count to millions by dividing by 1,000,000 and round to 0.001 million for the cell. If the ledger adapter instead extracts an intermediate value expressed in thousands of participants, its listed factor 0.001 produces the same final unit of millions. Use the first posted May 2026 value only; ignore later preliminary/final revisions or annual-summary revisions.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-mts-deficit-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-mts-deficit-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-mts-deficit-july-2026","forecastSlug":"us-mts-deficit-july-2026","targetFactRef":"treasury.mts.monthly_deficit.july_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve from the first official Monthly Treasury Statement print for July 2026, Table 1, monthly Deficit/Surplus (-) for July 2026. Use the Table 1 value in $ millions, convert to usd_billions by dividing by 1000, and keep deficits positive and surpluses negative. Do not revise for later MTS revisions or corrected historical tables.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.canada-ei-regular-beneficiaries-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.canada-ei-regular-beneficiaries-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"canada-ei-regular-beneficiaries-june-2026","forecastSlug":"canada-ei-regular-beneficiaries-june-2026","targetFactRef":"statcan.employment_insurance.regular_beneficiaries.canada.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first Statistics Canada publication for June 2026 regular Employment Insurance beneficiaries for Canada, seasonally adjusted, beneficiary detail total, sex total, age group total, from Table 14-10-0011-01 or the same first-print The Daily release. Convert persons to thousands by multiplying by 0.001. Use the first print only; ignore later revisions or table corrections unless the first-print rule itself is changed by Statistics Canada before release.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-core-pce-mom-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-core-pce-mom-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-core-pce-mom-july-2026","forecastSlug":"us-core-pce-mom-july-2026","targetFactRef":"us.bea.core_pce.mom_sa.2026-07","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first BEA publication of the seasonally adjusted monthly percent change from the preceding month for the PCE price index excluding food and energy for July 2026, as published in Personal Income and Outlays / NIPA Table 2.8.7 or its linked official BEA release table. Use the first print only; do not revise for later annual, benchmark, or routine revisions. Record in percent growth, matching BEA rounding where the first print is displayed.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.australia-cpi-annual-rate-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.australia-cpi-annual-rate-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"australia-cpi-annual-rate-july-2026","forecastSlug":"australia-cpi-annual-rate-july-2026","targetFactRef":"abs.cpi.all_groups.yoy.2026-07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first ABS-published July 2026 Monthly Consumer Price Index Indicator All groups CPI annual movement, in percent, rounded to one decimal as printed by ABS. Use the original first print only; ignore later revisions, corrections, or quarterly-CPI replacement values. The registered ledger sourceBinding URL appears to point to the ABS Consumer Price Index, Australia, June 2026 page rather than the July 2026 Monthly CPI Indicator page; this forecast remains tied to dataPointId abs.cpi.all_groups.yoy.2026-07.first_print and documents that discrepancy rather than changing the target identity.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.canada-monthly-gdp-growth-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.canada-monthly-gdp-growth-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"canada-monthly-gdp-growth-june-2026","forecastSlug":"canada-monthly-gdp-growth-june-2026","targetFactRef":"statcan.36-10-0434-01.all_industries.month_to_month_percent_change.2026-06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first Statistics Canada The Daily/Table 36-10-0434-01 print for seasonally adjusted real GDP by industry, all industries, June 2026 month-to-month percent change; use the value first published on 2026-08-28, rounded to the one-decimal percentage-point precision used in the release/table, and ignore later revisions. The target remains tied to the ledger's Table 36-10-0434-01 resolver even if Statistics Canada's related Table 36-10-0434-02 displays the month-to-month growth-rate view more directly.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.jolts-openings-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.jolts-openings-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"jolts-openings-july-2026","forecastSlug":"jolts-openings-july-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.jolts.job_openings.july_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey news-release print for total nonfarm job openings, seasonally adjusted, for July 2026, reported in thousands and converted to millions by multiplying by 0.001. Use the value first published in the September 1, 2026 10:00 AM ET release; ignore later revisions and database updates after the first print.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.jolts-quits-rate-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.jolts-quits-rate-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"jolts-quits-rate-july-2026","forecastSlug":"jolts-quits-rate-july-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.jolts.quits_rate.2026-07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first-print July 2026 seasonally adjusted Total quits rate in BLS JOLTS Table 4, 'Quits levels and rates by industry and region, seasonally adjusted', using the rate value in percent as published at the September 1, 2026 10:00 AM ET release. BLS reports the target rate in percent, normally to one decimal; this forecast interval is expressed on the underlying percent scale. Do not use later revisions or annual benchmark updates.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.euro-area-unemployment-rate-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.euro-area-unemployment-rate-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"euro-area-unemployment-rate-july-2026","forecastSlug":"euro-area-unemployment-rate-july-2026","targetFactRef":"eurostat.unemployment_rate.euro_area.july_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to Eurostat's first published July 2026 euro area seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in table une_rt_m / the monthly unemployment euro-indicators release, for total sex and age 15-74, reported in percent to one decimal. Use the first print only and ignore later revisions.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.belgium-unemployment-rate-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.belgium-unemployment-rate-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"belgium-unemployment-rate-july-2026","forecastSlug":"belgium-unemployment-rate-july-2026","targetFactRef":"eurostat.une_rt_m.unemployment_rate.belgium.2026_07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first Eurostat print in table une_rt_m for geo=BE, s_adj=SA, sex=T, age=Y15-74, unit=PC_ACT, time=2026-07, reported in percent to one decimal. Use the first official value published for that monthly observation; do not substitute later revisions.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-participation-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.snap-participation-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-participation-may-2026","forecastSlug":"snap-participation-may-2026","targetFactRef":"usda.fns.snap.persons.may_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first official USDA FNS SNAP data-table print for national monthly participation, table Persons, May 2026. Use the reported national Persons value in thousands and multiply by 0.001 to express millions. Do not use later revisions or same-day corrected files unless the first print itself is withdrawn before publication as an official file.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.belgium-gdp-flash-q3-2026","specVersionId":"spec.belgium-gdp-flash-q3-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"belgium-gdp-flash-q3-2026","forecastSlug":"belgium-gdp-flash-q3-2026","targetFactRef":"nbb.gdp.flash_qoq.2026_q3.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first National Bank of Belgium flash estimate for 2026-Q3 real GDP quarter-on-quarter growth, seasonally and calendar adjusted chain-linked volume, reported in percentage points and rounded to the agency's published one-decimal precision. Do not use later quarterly-account revisions or same-day corrections unless the first-print release itself is replaced before publication as the official first print.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-nonfarm-productivity-q3-2026-prelim","specVersionId":"spec.us-nonfarm-productivity-q3-2026-prelim.v20260609","predictionId":"us-nonfarm-productivity-q3-2026-prelim","forecastSlug":"us-nonfarm-productivity-q3-2026-prelim","targetFactRef":"bls.productivity.nonfarm_qoq_prelim.2026_q3.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first BLS Productivity and Costs preliminary release for Third Quarter 2026, Table 2, Nonfarm business sector, row 2026 III, Labor productivity, seasonally adjusted percent change from previous quarter at annual rate. Use the one-decimal value printed in the first official release on 2026-11-05 and do not apply later revised releases.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.initial-claims-week-2026-07-11","specVersionId":"spec.initial-claims-week-2026-07-11.v20260609","predictionId":"initial-claims-week-2026-07-11","forecastSlug":"initial-claims-week-2026-07-11","targetFactRef":"us.dol.initial_claims.sa.week_2026-07-11","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the advance seasonally adjusted Initial Claims figure for the week ending July 11, 2026 in the first U.S. Department of Labor Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims release published July 16, 2026 at 8:30 a.m. ET. Convert persons to thousands and ignore later revisions. The canonical ledger mirror is ALFRED/FRED series ICSA advance vintage, but the official agency release controls resolution.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.continued-claims-week-2026-07-11","specVersionId":"spec.continued-claims-week-2026-07-11.v20260609","predictionId":"continued-claims-week-2026-07-11","forecastSlug":"continued-claims-week-2026-07-11","targetFactRef":"dol.eta.continued_claims.sa.week_2026-07-11.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first published seasonally adjusted continued claims, also labeled insured unemployment, for the week ending July 11, 2026, in the Department of Labor ETA Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims release scheduled for July 23, 2026. Convert the reported count to millions by multiplying by 1e-6. Use the first official DOL print only; later revisions or ALFRED/FRED vintage updates after the first release do not change resolution, and DOL controls if any mirror differs.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.ssdi-initial-applications-april-2027-work-req-deadline-holds","specVersionId":"spec.ssdi-initial-applications-april-2027-work-req-deadline-holds.v20260609","predictionId":"ssdi-initial-applications-april-2027-work-req-deadline-holds","forecastSlug":"ssdi-initial-applications-april-2027-work-req-deadline-holds","targetFactRef":"ssa.dds.initial_disability_receipts.2027_04.first_print.work_req_deadline_holds","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first official SSA State Agency Monthly Workload Data CSV print for Date Type MO and Formatted Date 2027-04, using Field I, Receipts (All Initial), summed as whole claims across all state-agency and federal-component rows because SSA states no summary row is provided. Convert whole claims to thousands and round to one decimal thousand. Use the first replacement CSV file that adds 2027-04; later replacements, retroactive corrections, or revised files do not change the resolved value. The resolutionDate is the 2027-05-30 within-30-days availability by-date from SSA's update policy after the April 2027 SSA month closes on Friday 2027-04-30, not a guarantee of earlier publication. The forecast resolves only if no federal statutory or regulatory delay of the Medicaid community-engagement compliance deadline is announced by 2027-03-31.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.ssdi-initial-applications-april-2027-work-req-deadline-delayed","specVersionId":"spec.ssdi-initial-applications-april-2027-work-req-deadline-delayed.v20260609","predictionId":"ssdi-initial-applications-april-2027-work-req-deadline-delayed","forecastSlug":"ssdi-initial-applications-april-2027-work-req-deadline-delayed","targetFactRef":"ssa.dds.initial_disability_receipts.2027_04.first_print.work_req_deadline_delayed","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first official SSA State Agency Monthly Workload Data CSV print for Date Type MO and Formatted Date 2027-04, using Field I, Receipts (All Initial), summed as whole claims across all state-agency and federal-component rows because SSA states no summary row is provided. Convert whole claims to thousands and round to one decimal thousand. Use the first replacement CSV file that adds 2027-04; later replacements, retroactive corrections, or revised files do not change the resolved value. The resolutionDate is the 2027-05-30 within-30-days availability by-date from SSA's update policy after the April 2027 SSA month closes on Friday 2027-04-30. The forecast resolves only if a federal statutory or regulatory delay of the 2025 reconciliation law's Medicaid community-engagement compliance deadline is announced on or before 2027-03-31 and pushes the effective date beyond April 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.ca-medicaid-enrollment-50-64-april-2027-work-req-deadline-holds","specVersionId":"spec.ca-medicaid-enrollment-50-64-april-2027-work-req-deadline-holds.v20260609","predictionId":"ca-medicaid-enrollment-50-64-april-2027-work-req-deadline-holds","forecastSlug":"ca-medicaid-enrollment-50-64-april-2027-work-req-deadline-holds","targetFactRef":"ca.dhcs.medi_cal_certified_eligibles.ages_50_64.2027_04.first_print.work_req_deadline_holds","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first DHCS/CHHS-published April 2027 statewide Medi-Cal certified eligibles count for age group 50-64 in the Medi-Cal certified eligibles monthly data, using the agency's first posted dataset vintage even if DHCS/CHHS later revises the same April 2027 observation. Convert persons to thousands by dividing by 1,000 and report in thousands using the agency's published precision. Do not use later revisions, county subtotals, FRED mirrors, CMS national enrollment, managed-care-only enrollment, or a different age band. The numeric forecast is evaluated only if the stated federal community-engagement deadline condition is satisfied.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.ca-medicaid-enrollment-50-64-april-2027-work-req-deadline-delayed","specVersionId":"spec.ca-medicaid-enrollment-50-64-april-2027-work-req-deadline-delayed.v20260609","predictionId":"ca-medicaid-enrollment-50-64-april-2027-work-req-deadline-delayed","forecastSlug":"ca-medicaid-enrollment-50-64-april-2027-work-req-deadline-delayed","targetFactRef":"ca.dhcs.medi_cal_certified_eligibles.ages_50_64.2027_04.first_print.work_req_deadline_delayed","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first DHCS/CHHS-published April 2027 statewide Medi-Cal certified eligibles count for age group 50-64 in the Medi-Cal Certified Eligibles Recent Trends monthly data, using the first posted dataset vintage even if DHCS/CHHS later revises April 2027. Convert persons to thousands by dividing by 1,000 and report using the agency's published precision. Do not use later revisions, county subtotals, FRED mirrors, CMS national enrollment, managed-care-only enrollment, or a different age band. The numeric forecast is evaluated only if the stated federal community-engagement deadline-delay condition is satisfied.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.va-pending-disability-claims-2026-07-13","specVersionId":"spec.va-pending-disability-claims-2026-07-13.v20260609","predictionId":"va-pending-disability-claims-2026-07-13","forecastSlug":"va-pending-disability-claims-2026-07-13","targetFactRef":"va.vba.mmwr.claims_inventory.week_2026-07-13.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first official VA VBA Monday Morning Workload Report claims inventory value for the 07/13/2026 report date, using the agency's published whole-claim first print converted to thousands and rounded to three decimals; ignore later revisions or display refreshes after the first posted report.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.ssi-recipients-aged-65-plus-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.ssi-recipients-aged-65-plus-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"ssi-recipients-aged-65-plus-june-2026","forecastSlug":"ssi-recipients-aged-65-plus-june-2026","targetFactRef":"ssa.ssi.recipients_aged_65_plus.2026_06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first published June 2026 value in SSA SSI Monthly Statistics Table 1, All Federally Administered Payments, Number of recipients, row Total, column Age 65 or older. SSA publishes whole recipient counts; convert to thousands by dividing by 1,000 and report to the same 0.001-thousand precision implied by whole recipients. Use the first official print only and ignore later revisions or returned-check adjustments after the first June 2026 table is posted. SSA's public schedule provides month-level monthly timing rather than a specific day; 2026-07-31 is the catalog latest expected resolution by-date for the June 2026 monthly publication, not a claimed exact release day.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.ssdi-disabled-worker-beneficiaries-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.ssdi-disabled-worker-beneficiaries-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"ssdi-disabled-worker-beneficiaries-june-2026","forecastSlug":"ssdi-disabled-worker-beneficiaries-june-2026","targetFactRef":"ssa.oasdi.disabled_worker_beneficiaries.2026-06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first published SSA Monthly Statistical Snapshot for June 2026, Table 2 Social Security benefits, Disability Insurance, Disabled workers, Beneficiaries Number (thousands). Use the whole-thousands value exactly as first printed and ignore later revisions or corrections unless SSA replaces the first-print page before archival capture. The 2026-06 URL is the expected stable resolver page until SSA publishes the first print.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.ssa-hearings-average-processing-time-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.ssa-hearings-average-processing-time-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"ssa-hearings-average-processing-time-june-2026","forecastSlug":"ssa-hearings-average-processing-time-june-2026","targetFactRef":"ssa.hearings.average_processing_time_days.2026-06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the national fiscal-year-to-date Average Processing Time in calendar days (the DSPN_AVGPT concept: average days from hearing request date to disposition date) as first published in SSA's Hearing Office Workload Data for the FY2026 reporting period ending in late June 2026; later revisions do not count. Match SSA's integer-day published rounding precision.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-lfpr-55-plus-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-lfpr-55-plus-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-lfpr-55-plus-july-2026","forecastSlug":"us-lfpr-55-plus-july-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cps.lfpr_55_plus.2026-07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first BLS-published July 2026 value for CPS series LNS11324230, Labor Force Participation Rate - 55 Yrs. & over, seasonally adjusted, in percent, as released in the Employment Situation at 8:30 a.m. ET on August 7, 2026. Use the initially published value rounded to the BLS displayed 0.1 percentage point; ignore later revisions.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-disability-employment-population-ratio-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-disability-employment-population-ratio-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-disability-employment-population-ratio-july-2026","forecastSlug":"us-disability-employment-population-ratio-july-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cps.LNU02374597.2026-07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first BLS Employment Situation Table A-6 print released on Aug. 7, 2026 for July 2026, employment-population ratio for people with a disability, total 16 years and over, not seasonally adjusted, in percent, rounded to one decimal. The rolling BLS Table A-6 URL is the official table location; resolution should capture the Aug. 7, 2026 first-print artifact when released. Later revisions or historical database updates do not change resolution.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.spm-senior-poverty-2025","specVersionId":"spec.spm-senior-poverty-2025.v20260609","predictionId":"spm-senior-poverty-2025","forecastSlug":"spm-senior-poverty-2025","targetFactRef":"census.spm.poverty_rate_65_plus.2025.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first Census Bureau published calendar-year 2025 Supplemental Poverty Measure poverty rate for people age 65 years and older, reported in percent, normally Table B-2 of Poverty in the United States: 2025. Use the initially released value rounded to one decimal percentage point; ignore later errata, benchmark updates, revised CPS ASEC files, or later table revisions unless Census labels the original first print as withdrawn before public release.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.social-security-cola-2027","specVersionId":"spec.social-security-cola-2027.v20260609","predictionId":"social-security-cola-2027","forecastSlug":"social-security-cola-2027","targetFactRef":"ssa.cola.annual_adjustment.2027.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to SSA's first official published COLA for Social Security benefits beginning with December 2026 benefits payable in January 2027. Use the percent adjustment rounded to the nearest tenth of one percent under the SSA CPI-W formula comparing the average CPI-W for July, August, and September 2026 with the average CPI-W for July, August, and September 2025. Ignore later revisions or corrections unless the official resolver policy explicitly treats the first print as invalid.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.nursing-home-staffing-hprd-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.nursing-home-staffing-hprd-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"nursing-home-staffing-hprd-july-2026","forecastSlug":"nursing-home-staffing-hprd-july-2026","targetFactRef":"cms.nursing_home_compare.reported_total_nurse_staffing_hprd_us.2026-07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the NATION row value of 'Reported Total Nurse Staffing Hours per Resident per Day' in the first NH_StateUSAverages file CMS posts at the Care Compare refresh scheduled for 2026-07-29 (the July 2026 quarterly staffing update; schedule per the dataset metastore next-update field), rounded to three decimals. The refresh carries nurse staffing measures onto the next Payroll-Based Journal quarter. If CMS posts the refresh on a different calendar day, resolve to the first file posted at that refresh; ignore later monthly refreshes and revisions.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.home-health-services-employment-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.home-health-services-employment-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"home-health-services-employment-july-2026","forecastSlug":"home-health-services-employment-july-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.ces.home_health_care_services.employment.2026-07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first-print BLS Current Employment Statistics value for CES6562160001, All employees, home health care services, seasonally adjusted, July 2026, as published with the Employment Situation release on 2026-08-07 at 08:30 ET, in thousands of persons and rounded to one decimal. Ignore later revisions, benchmark revisions, and subsequent data-file updates.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.ssi-recipients-colorado-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.ssi-recipients-colorado-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"ssi-recipients-colorado-july-2026","forecastSlug":"ssi-recipients-colorado-july-2026","targetFactRef":"ssa.ssi.recipients.colorado.2026-07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first published July 2026 value in SSA SSI Monthly Statistics Table 4, row Colorado, column Total number of recipients for all federally administered payments. SSA publishes whole recipient counts; convert to thousands by dividing by 1,000 and report to the same 0.001-thousand precision implied by whole recipients. Use the first official print only and ignore later revisions after the first July 2026 table is posted. SSA's public schedule and archive give month-level monthly timing rather than a specific day; 2026-08-31 is the latest expected by-date for the July 2026 monthly publication.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.broadband-subscription-65-plus-2025","specVersionId":"spec.broadband-subscription-65-plus-2025.v20260609","predictionId":"broadband-subscription-65-plus-2025","forecastSlug":"broadband-subscription-65-plus-2025","targetFactRef":"census.acs.broadband_subscription_65_plus.share.2025.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to 100 * B28005_017E / B28005_014E for geography United States in the first public 2025 ACS 1-Year Estimates Detailed Table B28005 print, rounded to one decimal percentage point. Use the original Census first-posted estimate and ignore later revisions or corrections unless Census replaces the first public file before the public release completes.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.retired-worker-awards-claimed-at-62-share-2025","specVersionId":"spec.retired-worker-awards-claimed-at-62-share-2025.v20260609","predictionId":"retired-worker-awards-claimed-at-62-share-2025","forecastSlug":"retired-worker-awards-claimed-at-62-share-2025","targetFactRef":"ssa.annual_statistical_supplement.table_6b5.retired_worker_awards.share_claimed_age_62.2025.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the all-sexes weighted percentage of retired-worker awardees at age 62 in SSA Annual Statistical Supplement 2026 Table 6.B5 for year of award action 2025, computed from the first official men and women rows as sum(number thousands * age-62 percent) / sum(number thousands), rounded to one decimal percentage point to match the agency table. Use the first posted 2026 Supplement Table 6.B5 print and ignore later revisions unless SSA explicitly replaces the first print before the section release is complete.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.va-pension-aid-attendance-recipients-fy2026","specVersionId":"spec.va-pension-aid-attendance-recipients-fy2026.v20260609","predictionId":"va-pension-aid-attendance-recipients-fy2026","forecastSlug":"va-pension-aid-attendance-recipients-fy2026","targetFactRef":"va.vba.pension.aid_attendance_recipients.FY2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first public FY2026 VBA Annual Benefits Report Pension and Fiduciary PDF table 'All Veterans Pension recipients and estimated annual payments by type of special monthly pension', row 'With aid and attendance (A&A)', column 'Number of Veterans', divided by 1,000 and rounded to three decimals in thousands. Use the original first-posted FY2026 ABR print and ignore later revisions or rehosted corrected PDFs unless VA withdraws the first public file before the release completes. The 2027-05-12 resolutionDate is the ledger deadline for the first-print target; VA publication timing is grounded in the official FY2025 ABR page's May 12, 2026 update and the public annual-report metadata, not a guaranteed FY2026 calendar posting.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-participants-60-plus-share-fy2025","specVersionId":"spec.snap-participants-60-plus-share-fy2025.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-participants-60-plus-share-fy2025","forecastSlug":"snap-participants-60-plus-share-fy2025","targetFactRef":"usda.fns.snap.participants_age_60_plus.share.fy2025.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to 100 times Appendix Table A.29 elderly individuals age 60 or older divided by total participants in the first USDA FNS Characteristics of SNAP Households: Fiscal Year 2025 report, rounded to one decimal percentage point. Use the first public FY2025 report print tied to the ledger-specified 2027-05-20 annual Characteristics release date; ignore later revised PDFs, addenda, or corrected tables unless USDA explicitly withdraws and replaces the first public report on the same posting date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.colorado-labor-force-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.colorado-labor-force-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"colorado-labor-force-july-2026","forecastSlug":"colorado-labor-force-july-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.laus.colorado.labor_force.2026-07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first BLS State Employment and Unemployment Table 1 print for July 2026, Colorado row, seasonally adjusted civilian labor force, as released on August 21, 2026. Use the BLS-published persons value for the July 2026 preliminary print, convert to thousands by dividing by 1,000, and round to one decimal thousand. The Table 1 URL is mutable, so use the first July 2026 print captured or released on August 21, 2026, not later revised content at the same URL. Ignore later LAUS revisions, annual benchmark revisions, FRED mirror updates, and later archived revised tables.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.colorado-income-tax-collections-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.colorado-income-tax-collections-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"colorado-income-tax-collections-july-2026","forecastSlug":"colorado-income-tax-collections-july-2026","targetFactRef":"co.dor.individual_income_tax.net_collections.2026_07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first Colorado Department of Revenue General Fund Collections Report value for July 2026 net individual income tax collections, cash basis, as posted in the Colorado state accounting system. Convert the agency-published dollar figure to USD billions and round to the agency's published precision; ignore later revisions or subsequent restatements after the first print.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.colorado-medicaid-caseload-august-2026","specVersionId":"spec.colorado-medicaid-caseload-august-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"colorado-medicaid-caseload-august-2026","forecastSlug":"colorado-medicaid-caseload-august-2026","targetFactRef":"co.hcpf.medicaid.total_caseload.2026-08.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first HCPF FY 2026-27 Medical Premiums Expenditure and Caseload Report entry for August 2026, using the statewide Health First Colorado Medicaid TOTAL caseload row in whole members, converted to thousands. Use the first posted print available for the August activity report dated September 2026 and ignore later restatements or revised monthly reports. If HCPF publishes both PDF and XLS for the same first print, use the XLS/PDF value for the same TOTAL row; if they disagree on the first posting, use the PDF report value as the citable released table.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-qcew-aircraft-manufacturing-establishments-q1-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-qcew-aircraft-manufacturing-establishments-q1-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-qcew-aircraft-manufacturing-establishments-q1-2026","forecastSlug":"us-qcew-aircraft-manufacturing-establishments-q1-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.qcew.aircraft_manufacturing.establishments.2026_q1.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first BLS QCEW NAICS-based quarterly CSV print for 2026 Q1, area_fips=US000, own_code=5 private, industry_code=336411 Aircraft manufacturing, size_code=0, field qtrly_estabs, in count units. Use the value as first published for the 2026 Q1 full data update; do not substitute later revisions or mirrors.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-nursing-home-occupancy-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-nursing-home-occupancy-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-nursing-home-occupancy-july-2026","forecastSlug":"us-nursing-home-occupancy-july-2026","targetFactRef":"cms.care_compare.nursing_home_occupancy_pct.2026-07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to national nursing-home occupancy computed from the first NH_ProviderInfo file CMS posts at the Care Compare refresh scheduled for 2026-07-29, per the dataset metastore next-update field: the sum of 'Average Number of Residents per Day' divided by the sum of 'Number of Certified Beds' across all rows with both fields populated, expressed as a percent rounded to two decimals. If CMS posts the refresh on a different calendar day, use the first file posted at that refresh; ignore later monthly refreshes. June 2026 file reference computation: 1,247,110 residents / 1,563,726 beds = 79.75 percent.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.colorado-ssi-recipients-65-plus-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.colorado-ssi-recipients-65-plus-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"colorado-ssi-recipients-65-plus-july-2026","forecastSlug":"colorado-ssi-recipients-65-plus-july-2026","targetFactRef":"ssa.ssi.recipients.colorado.aged_65_plus.2026-07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first posted July 2026 SSA SSI Monthly Statistics Table 4 value for Colorado in the Age 65 or older column under All Federally Administered Payments. Use the whole-count first print as published by SSA from the Supplemental Security Record, 100 percent data; do not revise for later table changes.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.uk-construction-output-growth-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.uk-construction-output-growth-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"uk-construction-output-growth-may-2026","forecastSlug":"uk-construction-output-growth-may-2026","targetFactRef":"ons.outputintheconstructionindustryallworksummary.total_construction_output_mom_sa.2026-05.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first ONS-published estimate for May 2026 monthly total construction output in Great Britain, seasonally adjusted chained volume measure, all work, month-on-month percentage growth, rounded to one decimal place. Use the value in the first Construction output in Great Britain: May 2026 release or its associated Output in the construction industry all-work summary dataset on 16 July 2026; ignore later revisions.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.fed-g17-capacity-utilization-total-industry-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.fed-g17-capacity-utilization-total-industry-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"fed-g17-capacity-utilization-total-industry-june-2026","forecastSlug":"fed-g17-capacity-utilization-total-industry-june-2026","targetFactRef":"fed.g17.capacity_utilization.total_industry.2026-06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first-print June 2026 value, in percent of capacity and seasonally adjusted, for the G.17 Capacity utilization table row 'Total industry' as first published in the Federal Reserve's July 17, 2026 monthly G.17 release. Use the displayed one-decimal percent value; ignore later revisions, annual benchmark revisions, and later FRED updates.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.fed-g17-industrial-production-total-index-mom-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.fed-g17-industrial-production-total-index-mom-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"fed-g17-industrial-production-total-index-mom-june-2026","forecastSlug":"fed-g17-industrial-production-total-index-mom-june-2026","targetFactRef":"fed.g17.industrial_production.total_index_mom.2026-06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the preliminary first-print June 2026 value for Total index, seasonally adjusted, Percent change, in the Federal Reserve G.17 Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization: Summary table first issued on July 17, 2026. Use the displayed one-decimal percent value; ignore later revisions and annual benchmark revisions.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.cms-medicaid-pi-beneficiaries-renewed-ex-parte-california-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.cms-medicaid-pi-beneficiaries-renewed-ex-parte-california-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"cms-medicaid-pi-beneficiaries-renewed-ex-parte-california-june-2026","forecastSlug":"cms-medicaid-pi-beneficiaries-renewed-ex-parte-california-june-2026","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.beneficiaries_renewed_ex_parte.california.2026-06.preliminary_first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the California state row count for beneficiaries renewed on an ex parte basis in the first official preliminary June 2026 Applications, Eligibility, and Enrollment Performance Indicator data release. Use the unrounded person count shown by CMS/Data.Medicaid.gov; do not use later updated-vintage rows or subsequent revisions.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.cms-medicaid-pi-beneficiaries-renewed-total-california-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.cms-medicaid-pi-beneficiaries-renewed-total-california-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"cms-medicaid-pi-beneficiaries-renewed-total-california-june-2026","forecastSlug":"cms-medicaid-pi-beneficiaries-renewed-total-california-june-2026","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.beneficiaries_renewed_total.california.2026-06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first official CMS preliminary June 2026 California state-row value for total individuals renewed in Medicaid/CHIP coverage in the Eligibility Processing Data / Medicaid and CHIP Eligibility Operations and Enrollment Snapshot Data. Use the person count as published by CMS; ignore later updated quarterly vintages or subsequent revisions. If the public table exposes only component counts, sum ex parte renewals and form-based renewals for the California row. Round to whole beneficiaries.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.bls-ppi-final-demand-monthly-change-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.bls-ppi-final-demand-monthly-change-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"bls-ppi-final-demand-monthly-change-june-2026","forecastSlug":"bls-ppi-final-demand-monthly-change-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.wp.WPSFD4.2026-06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first-print seasonally adjusted month-over-month percent change for the Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 as reported in the BLS Producer Price Indexes news release released on July 15, 2026. Use the rounded one-decimal percent value in the release text or Table A; ignore later revisions.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.uk-manufacturing-output-index-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.uk-manufacturing-output-index-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"uk-manufacturing-output-index-may-2026","forecastSlug":"uk-manufacturing-output-index-may-2026","targetFactRef":"ons.iop.manufacturing_cvmsa_index.2026-05.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first ONS-published value for 2026 MAY in time series K22A, IOP: C:MANUFACTURING: CVMSA, index base year 2023=100, rounded to one decimal as published in the first Index of Production, UK: May 2026 release. Ignore later revisions or corrections unless the first release itself is withdrawn before publication.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.uk-index-of-services-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.uk-index-of-services-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"uk-index-of-services-may-2026","forecastSlug":"uk-index-of-services-may-2026","targetFactRef":"ons.ios.total_services_cvmsa_index.2026-05.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first ONS print for May 2026 in the Index of Services time series IOS1 or the ONS Index of Services main components and sectors table, using the Total Services chained-volume seasonally adjusted index, 2022=100, in index points. Use the first value published in the 16 July 2026 Index of Services, UK: May 2026 release and ignore later revisions.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.census-marts-adv44x72-monthly-change-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.census-marts-adv44x72-monthly-change-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"census-marts-adv44x72-monthly-change-june-2026","forecastSlug":"census-marts-adv44x72-monthly-change-june-2026","targetFactRef":"census.marts.adv44x72.monthly_change.2026-06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first Census Bureau Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services PDF released for June 2026, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET, Table 2, Retail & food services total, percent change for June 2026 Advance from May 2026, seasonally adjusted and not price-adjusted. Use the printed value rounded to 0.1 percentage point and ignore all later revisions or benchmark updates.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.bls-import-price-index-all-imports-mom-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.bls-import-price-index-all-imports-mom-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"bls-import-price-index-all-imports-mom-june-2026","forecastSlug":"bls-import-price-index-all-imports-mom-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.import_price_index.all_imports_mom.2026-06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the July 17, 2026 first-published BLS U.S. Import Price Indexes Table 1 value for All commodities, monthly percent change from May 2026 to June 2026, in percent rounded to one decimal as published. Use the first-print June 2026 BLS Table 1 snapshot, archive, or captured first-print artifact rather than a later mutable ximpim.t01.htm page; ignore later revisions. If Table 1 and the release summary disagree, use the first-print Table 1 All commodities monthly percent change.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.census-housing-starts-saar-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.census-housing-starts-saar-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"census-housing-starts-saar-june-2026","forecastSlug":"census-housing-starts-saar-june-2026","targetFactRef":"census.housing_starts.saar.2026-06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first Census/HUD Monthly New Residential Construction print for June 2026, Table 3a, New Privately-Owned Housing Units Started, United States total, seasonally adjusted annual rate. Use the preliminary first-print value in thousands divided by 1,000 to convert to millions; ignore subsequent revisions or historical-table backfills.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.cms-medicaid-pi-beneficiaries-disenrolled-procedural-california-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.cms-medicaid-pi-beneficiaries-disenrolled-procedural-california-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"cms-medicaid-pi-beneficiaries-disenrolled-procedural-california-june-2026","forecastSlug":"cms-medicaid-pi-beneficiaries-disenrolled-procedural-california-june-2026","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.beneficiaries_disenrolled_procedural.california.2026-06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the California state row for the June 2026 reporting month in CMS Medicaid and CHIP Eligibility Operations and Enrollment Snapshot Data, Eligibility Processing Data, original/preliminary first print, for beneficiaries disenrolled for a procedural or administrative reason. Use the first posted CMS monthly snapshot/Data.Medicaid.gov value only; do not revise to later quarterly updated renewal outcomes or later corrections. Unit is persons, as an official integer count.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.cms-medicaid-pi-beneficiaries-disenrolled-total-california-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.cms-medicaid-pi-beneficiaries-disenrolled-total-california-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"cms-medicaid-pi-beneficiaries-disenrolled-total-california-june-2026","forecastSlug":"cms-medicaid-pi-beneficiaries-disenrolled-total-california-june-2026","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.beneficiaries_disenrolled_total.california.2026-06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first official CMS preliminary/original print for the California state row in the Medicaid and CHIP Eligibility Processing Data for reporting period June 2026, field total beneficiaries/individuals disenrolled from Medicaid/CHIP coverage, in persons. Use the first posted value only; ignore later updated quarterly renewal-outcome revisions or corrections unless CMS replaces the first-print file before publication is complete on the release date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.continued-claims-week-2026-07-04","specVersionId":"spec.continued-claims-week-2026-07-04.v20260609","predictionId":"continued-claims-week-2026-07-04","forecastSlug":"continued-claims-week-2026-07-04","targetFactRef":"dol.eta.continued_claims.sa.week_2026-07-04.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the advance first-print seasonally adjusted insured unemployment number for the week ending July 4, 2026 in the DOL ETA Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims release scheduled for July 16, 2026. Use the regular state programs Seasonally Adjusted Insured Unemployment / Continued Claims variant, convert persons or thousands to millions as needed, and ignore later revisions or historical restatements.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.average-hourly-earnings-mom-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.average-hourly-earnings-mom-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"average-hourly-earnings-mom-may-2026","forecastSlug":"average-hourly-earnings-mom-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.ces.average_hourly_earnings_private.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published percent change from April to May 2026 in average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls in the BLS Employment Situation release. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.core-cpi-mom-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.core-cpi-mom-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"core-cpi-mom-may-2026","forecastSlug":"core-cpi-mom-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cpi.u.core_mom.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published May 2026 seasonally adjusted month-over-month percent change in CPI-U less food and energy in the BLS CPI release. Later seasonal-adjustment revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.jolts-job-openings-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.jolts-job-openings-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"jolts-job-openings-may-2026","forecastSlug":"jolts-job-openings-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.jolts.job_openings_total.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published seasonally adjusted total nonfarm job openings estimate for May 2026 in the BLS JOLTS release. Later monthly revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-max-allotment-four-person-fy2027","specVersionId":"spec.snap-max-allotment-four-person-fy2027.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-max-allotment-four-person-fy2027","forecastSlug":"snap-max-allotment-four-person-fy2027","targetFactRef":"usda.fns.snap.maximum_allotment.household_size_4.48dc.fy2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first USDA FNS FY2027 SNAP COLA table for maximum monthly allotments, using household size 4 in the 48 contiguous states and DC. If USDA later revises the table, the first posted FY2027 table governs.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.hhs-poverty-guideline-family-four-2027","specVersionId":"spec.hhs-poverty-guideline-family-four-2027.v20260609","predictionId":"hhs-poverty-guideline-family-four-2027","forecastSlug":"hhs-poverty-guideline-family-four-2027","targetFactRef":"hhs.aspe.poverty_guideline.household_size_4.48dc.2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to ASPE's first posted 2027 poverty guideline table for four-person households in the 48 contiguous states and DC. Later errata do not change the resolved value unless ASPE withdraws the first table before it takes effect.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.ctc-maximum-per-child-ty2027","specVersionId":"spec.ctc-maximum-per-child-ty2027.v20260609","predictionId":"ctc-maximum-per-child-ty2027","forecastSlug":"ctc-maximum-per-child-ty2027","targetFactRef":"irs.irc24.child_tax_credit.maximum.ty2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first official IRS tax year 2027 inflation-adjustment guidance for the IRC section 24 maximum Child Tax Credit per qualifying child. If Congress changes the statutory amount before the guidance takes effect, the first IRS guidance implementing that law governs.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-participation-march-2026","specVersionId":"spec.snap-participation-march-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-participation-march-2026","forecastSlug":"snap-participation-march-2026","targetFactRef":"usda.fns.snap.participation.march_2026.fixed_vintage","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the national March 2026 SNAP persons count in the USDA FNS FY2026 National View Summary, using the first table update available by July 31, 2026. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.wic-total-participation-march-2026","specVersionId":"spec.wic-total-participation-march-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"wic-total-participation-march-2026","forecastSlug":"wic-total-participation-march-2026","targetFactRef":"usda.fns.wic.total_participants.march_2026.fixed_vintage","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the national March 2026 WIC total participants value in USDA FNS monthly program data, using the first table update available by July 31, 2026. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-chip-enrollment-march-2026","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-chip-enrollment-march-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-chip-enrollment-march-2026","forecastSlug":"medicaid-chip-enrollment-march-2026","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_chip.total_enrollment.march_2026.fixed_vintage","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to CMS preliminary March 2026 total Medicaid and CHIP enrollment for the 50 states and DC, using the first monthly enrollment update available by July 31, 2026. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.irs-total-refunds-october-2026","specVersionId":"spec.irs-total-refunds-october-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"irs-total-refunds-october-2026","forecastSlug":"irs-total-refunds-october-2026","targetFactRef":"irs.filing_season.total_amount_refunded.october_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to IRS Filing Season Statistics total amount refunded for current-year individual returns in the first October 2026 snapshot. If IRS publishes multiple October snapshots, the earliest October table governs.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.uk-monthly-gdp-growth-april-2026","specVersionId":"spec.uk-monthly-gdp-growth-april-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"uk-monthly-gdp-growth-april-2026","forecastSlug":"uk-monthly-gdp-growth-april-2026","targetFactRef":"ons.gdp.monthly_growth.april_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published ONS monthly real GDP growth estimate for April 2026 in the GDP monthly estimate release. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.uk-cpi-annual-rate-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.uk-cpi-annual-rate-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"uk-cpi-annual-rate-may-2026","forecastSlug":"uk-cpi-annual-rate-may-2026","targetFactRef":"ons.cpi.annual_rate.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published ONS CPI 12-month rate for May 2026 in the consumer price inflation release. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.uk-unemployment-rate-feb-apr-2026","specVersionId":"spec.uk-unemployment-rate-feb-apr-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"uk-unemployment-rate-feb-apr-2026","forecastSlug":"uk-unemployment-rate-feb-apr-2026","targetFactRef":"ons.labour.unemployment_rate.february_to_april_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published ONS LFS unemployment rate for people aged 16 and over for February to April 2026 in the UK Labour Market June 2026 release. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.uk-unemployment-rate-apr-jun-2026","specVersionId":"spec.uk-unemployment-rate-apr-jun-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"uk-unemployment-rate-apr-jun-2026","forecastSlug":"uk-unemployment-rate-apr-jun-2026","targetFactRef":"ons.labour.unemployment_rate.april_to_june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published seasonally adjusted ONS LFS unemployment rate for people aged 16 and over for April to June 2026 in the Employment in the UK or UK labour market bulletin. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.uk-unemployment-rate-jul-sep-2026","specVersionId":"spec.uk-unemployment-rate-jul-sep-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"uk-unemployment-rate-jul-sep-2026","forecastSlug":"uk-unemployment-rate-jul-sep-2026","targetFactRef":"ons.labour.unemployment_rate.july_to_september_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published seasonally adjusted ONS LFS unemployment rate for people aged 16 and over for July to September 2026 in the Employment in the UK or UK labour market bulletin. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.uk-unemployment-rate-oct-dec-2026","specVersionId":"spec.uk-unemployment-rate-oct-dec-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"uk-unemployment-rate-oct-dec-2026","forecastSlug":"uk-unemployment-rate-oct-dec-2026","targetFactRef":"ons.labour.unemployment_rate.october_to_december_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published seasonally adjusted ONS LFS unemployment rate for people aged 16 and over for October to December 2026 in the Employment in the UK or UK labour market bulletin expected in early 2027. The published one-decimal rate is the resolution value; later revisions do not change it.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.uk-paye-payrolled-employees-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.uk-paye-payrolled-employees-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"uk-paye-payrolled-employees-may-2026","forecastSlug":"uk-paye-payrolled-employees-may-2026","targetFactRef":"ons.hmrc.paye_payrolled_employees.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published early estimate of seasonally adjusted UK payrolled employees for May 2026 in the ONS/HMRC PAYE RTI release. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.uk-retail-sales-volume-mom-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.uk-retail-sales-volume-mom-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"uk-retail-sales-volume-mom-may-2026","forecastSlug":"uk-retail-sales-volume-mom-may-2026","targetFactRef":"ons.retail_sales.volume_mom.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published ONS monthly percent change in the quantity bought in all retailing for May 2026. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.uk-public-sector-net-borrowing-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.uk-public-sector-net-borrowing-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"uk-public-sector-net-borrowing-may-2026","forecastSlug":"uk-public-sector-net-borrowing-may-2026","targetFactRef":"ons.pusf.j5ii.public_sector_net_borrowing_ex_banks.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first official ONS value for May 2026 in Public Sector Finances time series J5II, transformed as -J5II / 1000 so borrowing is positive in GBP billions. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.uk-bank-rate-june-2026-mpc","specVersionId":"spec.uk-bank-rate-june-2026-mpc.v20260609","predictionId":"uk-bank-rate-june-2026-mpc","forecastSlug":"uk-bank-rate-june-2026-mpc","targetFactRef":"boe.bank_rate.after_mpc_june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the Bank Rate stated in the Bank of England Monetary Policy Summary and minutes published on June 18, 2026. If the Bank publishes a correction the same day before market close, the corrected value governs.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.canada-unemployment-rate-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.canada-unemployment-rate-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"canada-unemployment-rate-may-2026","forecastSlug":"canada-unemployment-rate-may-2026","targetFactRef":"statcan.lfs.unemployment_rate.canada.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published seasonally adjusted Canada unemployment rate in the Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey for May 2026. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.canada-employment-change-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.canada-employment-change-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"canada-employment-change-may-2026","forecastSlug":"canada-employment-change-may-2026","targetFactRef":"statcan.lfs.employment_change.canada.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published monthly change in seasonally adjusted total employment for Canada in the May 2026 Labour Force Survey. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.canada-cpi-annual-rate-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.canada-cpi-annual-rate-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"canada-cpi-annual-rate-may-2026","forecastSlug":"canada-cpi-annual-rate-may-2026","targetFactRef":"statcan.cpi.all_items_annual_rate.canada.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published all-items CPI 12-month change for Canada in the May 2026 Consumer Price Index release. Later revisions or table updates do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.canada-monthly-gdp-growth-april-2026","specVersionId":"spec.canada-monthly-gdp-growth-april-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"canada-monthly-gdp-growth-april-2026","forecastSlug":"canada-monthly-gdp-growth-april-2026","targetFactRef":"statcan.gdp_by_industry.monthly_growth.april_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first official Statistics Canada real GDP by industry monthly percent change for April 2026. The May 29 advance estimate is treated as input, not the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.canada-overnight-rate-june-2026-boc","specVersionId":"spec.canada-overnight-rate-june-2026-boc.v20260609","predictionId":"canada-overnight-rate-june-2026-boc","forecastSlug":"canada-overnight-rate-june-2026-boc","targetFactRef":"bank_of_canada.overnight_rate.after_june_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the target for the overnight rate stated in the Bank of Canada interest rate announcement on June 10, 2026. If the Bank posts a same-day correction before market close, the corrected value governs.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.australia-unemployment-rate-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.australia-unemployment-rate-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"australia-unemployment-rate-may-2026","forecastSlug":"australia-unemployment-rate-may-2026","targetFactRef":"abs.labour.unemployment_rate.australia.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in Labour Force, Australia for May 2026. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.australia-employment-change-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.australia-employment-change-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"australia-employment-change-may-2026","forecastSlug":"australia-employment-change-may-2026","targetFactRef":"abs.labour.employment_change.australia.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published monthly change in seasonally adjusted employment in Labour Force, Australia for May 2026. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.australia-cpi-annual-rate-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.australia-cpi-annual-rate-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"australia-cpi-annual-rate-may-2026","forecastSlug":"australia-cpi-annual-rate-may-2026","targetFactRef":"abs.cpi.all_groups_annual_rate.australia.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published all-groups annual CPI movement in Consumer Price Index, Australia for May 2026. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.australia-cash-rate-june-2026-rba","specVersionId":"spec.australia-cash-rate-june-2026-rba.v20260609","predictionId":"australia-cash-rate-june-2026-rba","forecastSlug":"australia-cash-rate-june-2026-rba","targetFactRef":"rba.cash_rate_target.after_june_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the RBA cash rate target shown in the Reserve Bank of Australia cash rate target update on June 16, 2026. If the RBA posts a same-day correction before market close, the corrected value governs.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.euro-area-ecb-deposit-facility-rate-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.euro-area-ecb-deposit-facility-rate-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"euro-area-ecb-deposit-facility-rate-june-2026","forecastSlug":"euro-area-ecb-deposit-facility-rate-june-2026","targetFactRef":"ecb.deposit_facility_rate.after_june_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the deposit facility rate stated in the ECB monetary policy decisions published on June 11, 2026. If the ECB posts a same-day correction before market close, the corrected value governs.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.euro-area-hicp-annual-rate-may-2026-final","specVersionId":"spec.euro-area-hicp-annual-rate-may-2026-final.v20260609","predictionId":"euro-area-hicp-annual-rate-may-2026-final","forecastSlug":"euro-area-hicp-annual-rate-may-2026-final","targetFactRef":"eurostat.hicp.all_items_annual_rate.euro_area.may_2026.final_first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Eurostat's first final all-items HICP annual inflation rate for the euro area for May 2026. The flash estimate is input context; later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.euro-area-hicp-annual-rate-june-2026-flash","specVersionId":"spec.euro-area-hicp-annual-rate-june-2026-flash.v20260609","predictionId":"euro-area-hicp-annual-rate-june-2026-flash","forecastSlug":"euro-area-hicp-annual-rate-june-2026-flash","targetFactRef":"eurostat.hicp.all_items_annual_rate.euro_area.june_2026.flash","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Eurostat's first flash estimate of the euro area all-items HICP annual inflation rate for June 2026. The later final HICP release does not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.euro-area-unemployment-rate-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.euro-area-unemployment-rate-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"euro-area-unemployment-rate-may-2026","forecastSlug":"euro-area-unemployment-rate-may-2026","targetFactRef":"eurostat.unemployment_rate.euro_area.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published seasonally adjusted euro area unemployment rate for May 2026 in Eurostat's monthly unemployment release. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.japan-boj-policy-rate-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.japan-boj-policy-rate-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"japan-boj-policy-rate-june-2026","forecastSlug":"japan-boj-policy-rate-june-2026","targetFactRef":"boj.policy_rate_guideline.after_june_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the guideline for money market operations stated in the Bank of Japan Statement on Monetary Policy released after the June 15-16, 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting. If the Bank posts a same-day correction before market close, the corrected value governs.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.japan-cpi-annual-rate-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.japan-cpi-annual-rate-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"japan-cpi-annual-rate-may-2026","forecastSlug":"japan-cpi-annual-rate-may-2026","targetFactRef":"statjp.cpi.all_items_annual_rate.japan.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published national all-items CPI annual rate for May 2026 in the Statistics Bureau of Japan Consumer Price Index release. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.japan-tokyo-cpi-annual-rate-june-2026-prelim","specVersionId":"spec.japan-tokyo-cpi-annual-rate-june-2026-prelim.v20260609","predictionId":"japan-tokyo-cpi-annual-rate-june-2026-prelim","forecastSlug":"japan-tokyo-cpi-annual-rate-june-2026-prelim","targetFactRef":"statjp.cpi.tokyo_all_items_annual_rate.june_2026.preliminary","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published Ku-area of Tokyo preliminary all-items CPI annual inflation rate for June 2026 in the Statistics Bureau of Japan Consumer Price Index release. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.japan-unemployment-rate-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.japan-unemployment-rate-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"japan-unemployment-rate-may-2026","forecastSlug":"japan-unemployment-rate-may-2026","targetFactRef":"statjp.lfs.unemployment_rate.japan.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for May 2026 in the Statistics Bureau of Japan Labour Force Survey basic tabulation. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-ppi-final-demand-mom-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-ppi-final-demand-mom-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-ppi-final-demand-mom-may-2026","forecastSlug":"us-ppi-final-demand-mom-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.ppi.final_demand_monthly_change.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published BLS seasonally adjusted percent change from April 2026 to May 2026 for the PPI final demand index. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-industrial-production-mom-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-industrial-production-mom-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-industrial-production-mom-may-2026","forecastSlug":"us-industrial-production-mom-may-2026","targetFactRef":"fed.g17.industrial_production.total_index_mom.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published monthly percent change in the Federal Reserve G.17 total industrial production index for May 2026. Later revisions and the autumn 2026 annual revision do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-capacity-utilization-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-capacity-utilization-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-capacity-utilization-may-2026","forecastSlug":"us-capacity-utilization-may-2026","targetFactRef":"fed.g17.capacity_utilization.total_industry.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published May 2026 value for total industry capacity utilization in the Federal Reserve G.17 release, expressed as percent of capacity and seasonally adjusted. Later revisions and the autumn 2026 annual revision do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-import-price-index-mom-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-import-price-index-mom-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-import-price-index-mom-may-2026","forecastSlug":"us-import-price-index-mom-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.import_price_index.all_imports_mom.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published BLS monthly percent change in the all-import price index for May 2026. Later revisions within the three-month revision window do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-housing-starts-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-housing-starts-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-housing-starts-may-2026","forecastSlug":"us-housing-starts-may-2026","targetFactRef":"census.housing_starts.saar.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published seasonally adjusted annual rate of privately owned housing starts for May 2026 in the New Residential Construction release. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-total-business-inventories-april-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-total-business-inventories-april-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-total-business-inventories-april-2026","forecastSlug":"us-total-business-inventories-april-2026","targetFactRef":"census.mtis.total_business_inventories_level.april_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published preliminary April 2026 value for adjusted total business inventories in Census Manufacturing and Trade Inventories and Sales Table 1, expressed in billions of dollars. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-government-social-benefits-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-government-social-benefits-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-government-social-benefits-may-2026","forecastSlug":"us-government-social-benefits-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bea.government_social_benefits.level.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published May 2026 value for government social benefits to persons in BEA NIPA Table 2.6, line 17, converted from millions to billions of current dollars at a seasonally adjusted annual rate. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-social-security-benefits-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-social-security-benefits-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-social-security-benefits-may-2026","forecastSlug":"us-social-security-benefits-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bea.government_social_benefits.social_security.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published May 2026 value for Social Security in BEA NIPA Table 2.6, line 18, converted from millions to billions of current dollars at a seasonally adjusted annual rate. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-medicare-benefits-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-medicare-benefits-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-medicare-benefits-may-2026","forecastSlug":"us-medicare-benefits-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bea.government_social_benefits.medicare.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published May 2026 value for Medicare in BEA NIPA Table 2.6, line 19, converted from millions to billions of current dollars at a seasonally adjusted annual rate. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-medicaid-benefits-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-medicaid-benefits-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-medicaid-benefits-may-2026","forecastSlug":"us-medicaid-benefits-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bea.government_social_benefits.medicaid.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published May 2026 value for Medicaid in BEA NIPA Table 2.6, line 20, converted from millions to billions of current dollars at a seasonally adjusted annual rate. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-wages-and-salaries-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-wages-and-salaries-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-wages-and-salaries-may-2026","forecastSlug":"us-wages-and-salaries-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bea.wages_and_salaries.level.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published May 2026 value for wages and salaries in BEA NIPA Table 2.6, line 3, converted from millions to billions of current dollars at a seasonally adjusted annual rate. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-personal-current-taxes-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-personal-current-taxes-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-personal-current-taxes-may-2026","forecastSlug":"us-personal-current-taxes-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bea.personal_current_taxes.level.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published May 2026 value for less personal current taxes in BEA NIPA Table 2.6, line 26, converted from millions to billions of current dollars at a seasonally adjusted annual rate. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-disposable-personal-income-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-disposable-personal-income-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-disposable-personal-income-may-2026","forecastSlug":"us-disposable-personal-income-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bea.disposable_personal_income.level.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published May 2026 value for disposable personal income in BEA NIPA Table 2.6, line 27, converted from millions to billions of current dollars at a seasonally adjusted annual rate. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-pce-price-index-mom-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-pce-price-index-mom-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-pce-price-index-mom-may-2026","forecastSlug":"us-pce-price-index-mom-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bea.pce_price_index.monthly_change.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published BEA monthly percent change in the PCE price index for May 2026 in the Personal Income and Outlays release. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-real-gdp-q1-2026-third-estimate","specVersionId":"spec.us-real-gdp-q1-2026-third-estimate.v20260609","predictionId":"us-real-gdp-q1-2026-third-estimate","forecastSlug":"us-real-gdp-q1-2026-third-estimate","targetFactRef":"bea.real_gdp.saar.q1_2026.third_estimate","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published BEA third estimate of real GDP percent change for Q1 2026, seasonally adjusted annual rate. Later annual-update or benchmark revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-mts-deficit-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-mts-deficit-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-mts-deficit-may-2026","forecastSlug":"us-mts-deficit-may-2026","targetFactRef":"treasury.mts.monthly_deficit.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the May 2026 current-month deficit/surplus amount in Monthly Treasury Statement table 1, divided by 1 billion dollars, with deficits positive and surpluses negative. The first published MTS table governs.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-defense-aerospace-employment-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-defense-aerospace-employment-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-defense-aerospace-employment-june-2026","forecastSlug":"us-defense-aerospace-employment-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.ces.aerospace_product_and_parts_employment.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published June 2026 BLS CES all-employees value for CES3133640001 (Aerospace product and parts manufacturing), seasonally adjusted, in thousands of workers. Later benchmark revisions, seasonal-factor updates, or database refreshes do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first July 2, 2026 release on that publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-defense-shipbuilding-employment-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-defense-shipbuilding-employment-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-defense-shipbuilding-employment-june-2026","forecastSlug":"us-defense-shipbuilding-employment-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.ces.ship_and_boat_building_employment.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published June 2026 BLS CES all-employees value for CES3133660001 (Ship and boat building), seasonally adjusted, in thousands of workers. Later benchmark revisions, seasonal-factor updates, or database refreshes do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first July 2, 2026 release on that publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-defense-dod-employment-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-defense-dod-employment-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-defense-dod-employment-june-2026","forecastSlug":"us-defense-dod-employment-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.ces.federal_department_of_defense_employment.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published June 2026 BLS CES all-employees value for CES9091911001 (Federal government, Department of Defense), seasonally adjusted, in thousands of workers. Later benchmark revisions, seasonal-factor updates, or database refreshes do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first July 2, 2026 release on that publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-defense-dod-military-outlays-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-defense-dod-military-outlays-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-defense-dod-military-outlays-june-2026","forecastSlug":"us-defense-dod-military-outlays-june-2026","targetFactRef":"treasury.mts.dod_military_programs_gross_outlays.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Monthly Treasury Statement table 5 line 5.12, Total--Department of Defense--Military Programs, current-month gross outlays for June 2026, divided by 1 billion dollars. The first published MTS table governs; later revisions or database refreshes do not change the resolved value unless Treasury replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-defense-dod-contract-obligations-fy2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-defense-dod-contract-obligations-fy2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-defense-dod-contract-obligations-fy2026","forecastSlug":"us-defense-dod-contract-obligations-fy2026","targetFactRef":"usaspending.dod.contract_obligations.fy2026.fixed_vintage_2026_12_31","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to USAspending agency 097 obligations_by_award_category for fiscal_year=2026, category=contracts, aggregated_amount divided by 1 billion dollars, using a data pull on December 31, 2026. This fixed-vintage rule avoids treating later FPDS or DATA Act refreshes as forecast revisions.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-business-financial-employment-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-business-financial-employment-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-business-financial-employment-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-business-financial-employment-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_employment.soc_13_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS employment estimate for SOC 13-0000 Business and Financial Operations Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, divided by 1,000 and rounded to the nearest thousand workers. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-computer-math-employment-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-computer-math-employment-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-computer-math-employment-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-computer-math-employment-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_employment.soc_15_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS employment estimate for SOC 15-0000 Computer and Mathematical Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, divided by 1,000 and rounded to the nearest thousand workers. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-healthcare-support-employment-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-healthcare-support-employment-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-healthcare-support-employment-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-healthcare-support-employment-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_employment.soc_31_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS employment estimate for SOC 31-0000 Healthcare Support Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, divided by 1,000 and rounded to the nearest thousand workers. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-office-admin-employment-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-office-admin-employment-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-office-admin-employment-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-office-admin-employment-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_employment.soc_43_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS employment estimate for SOC 43-0000 Office and Administrative Support Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, divided by 1,000 and rounded to the nearest thousand workers. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-production-employment-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-production-employment-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-production-employment-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-production-employment-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_employment.soc_51_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS employment estimate for SOC 51-0000 Production Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, divided by 1,000 and rounded to the nearest thousand workers. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-transport-material-moving-employment-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-transport-material-moving-employment-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-transport-material-moving-employment-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-transport-material-moving-employment-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_employment.soc_53_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS employment estimate for SOC 53-0000 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, divided by 1,000 and rounded to the nearest thousand workers. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.cps-business-financial-employment-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.cps-business-financial-employment-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"cps-business-financial-employment-june-2026","forecastSlug":"cps-business-financial-employment-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cps.employed_people_by_occupation.business_financial_operations.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published June 2026 Employment Situation household-survey Table A-19 count of employed people, not seasonally adjusted, for Business and financial operations occupations, in thousands. Later revisions, database refreshes, or monthly table replacements do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first July 2, 2026 table on the same publication date.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.cps-computer-math-employment-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.cps-computer-math-employment-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"cps-computer-math-employment-june-2026","forecastSlug":"cps-computer-math-employment-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cps.employed_people_by_occupation.computer_mathematical.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published June 2026 Employment Situation household-survey Table A-19 count of employed people, not seasonally adjusted, for Computer and mathematical occupations, in thousands. Later revisions, database refreshes, or monthly table replacements do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first July 2, 2026 table on the same publication date.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.cps-healthcare-support-employment-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.cps-healthcare-support-employment-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"cps-healthcare-support-employment-june-2026","forecastSlug":"cps-healthcare-support-employment-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cps.employed_people_by_occupation.healthcare_support.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published June 2026 Employment Situation household-survey Table A-19 count of employed people, not seasonally adjusted, for Healthcare support occupations, in thousands. Later revisions, database refreshes, or monthly table replacements do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first July 2, 2026 table on the same publication date.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.cps-office-admin-employment-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.cps-office-admin-employment-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"cps-office-admin-employment-june-2026","forecastSlug":"cps-office-admin-employment-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cps.employed_people_by_occupation.office_administrative_support.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published June 2026 Employment Situation household-survey Table A-19 count of employed people, not seasonally adjusted, for Office and administrative support occupations, in thousands. Later revisions, database refreshes, or monthly table replacements do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first July 2, 2026 table on the same publication date.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.cps-production-employment-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.cps-production-employment-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"cps-production-employment-june-2026","forecastSlug":"cps-production-employment-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cps.employed_people_by_occupation.production.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published June 2026 Employment Situation household-survey Table A-19 count of employed people, not seasonally adjusted, for Production occupations, in thousands. Later revisions, database refreshes, or monthly table replacements do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first July 2, 2026 table on the same publication date.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.cps-transport-material-moving-employment-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.cps-transport-material-moving-employment-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"cps-transport-material-moving-employment-june-2026","forecastSlug":"cps-transport-material-moving-employment-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cps.employed_people_by_occupation.transportation_material_moving.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published June 2026 Employment Situation household-survey Table A-19 count of employed people, not seasonally adjusted, for Transportation and material moving occupations, in thousands. Later revisions, database refreshes, or monthly table replacements do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first July 2, 2026 table on the same publication date.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.bls-business-financial-employment-2034","specVersionId":"spec.bls-business-financial-employment-2034.v20260609","predictionId":"bls-business-financial-employment-2034","forecastSlug":"bls-business-financial-employment-2034","targetFactRef":"bls.employment_projections.national_occupation_employment.soc_13_0000.2034.actual_first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first BLS Employment Projections/National Employment Matrix table that uses 2034 as the base year, for SOC 13-0000 Business and Financial Operations Occupations, measured as employment in thousands. The published 2024-2034 projection is only a comparison forecast; the resolved value is the first official 2034 base-year employment estimate in that later BLS projection vintage or successor table.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.bls-computer-math-employment-2034","specVersionId":"spec.bls-computer-math-employment-2034.v20260609","predictionId":"bls-computer-math-employment-2034","forecastSlug":"bls-computer-math-employment-2034","targetFactRef":"bls.employment_projections.national_occupation_employment.soc_15_0000.2034.actual_first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first BLS Employment Projections/National Employment Matrix table that uses 2034 as the base year, for SOC 15-0000 Computer and Mathematical Occupations, measured as employment in thousands. The published 2024-2034 projection is only a comparison forecast; the resolved value is the first official 2034 base-year employment estimate in that later BLS projection vintage or successor table.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.bls-healthcare-support-employment-2034","specVersionId":"spec.bls-healthcare-support-employment-2034.v20260609","predictionId":"bls-healthcare-support-employment-2034","forecastSlug":"bls-healthcare-support-employment-2034","targetFactRef":"bls.employment_projections.national_occupation_employment.soc_31_0000.2034.actual_first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first BLS Employment Projections/National Employment Matrix table that uses 2034 as the base year, for SOC 31-0000 Healthcare Support Occupations, measured as employment in thousands. The published 2024-2034 projection is only a comparison forecast; the resolved value is the first official 2034 base-year employment estimate in that later BLS projection vintage or successor table.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.bls-office-admin-employment-2034","specVersionId":"spec.bls-office-admin-employment-2034.v20260609","predictionId":"bls-office-admin-employment-2034","forecastSlug":"bls-office-admin-employment-2034","targetFactRef":"bls.employment_projections.national_occupation_employment.soc_43_0000.2034.actual_first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first BLS Employment Projections/National Employment Matrix table that uses 2034 as the base year, for SOC 43-0000 Office and Administrative Support Occupations, measured as employment in thousands. The published 2024-2034 projection is only a comparison forecast; the resolved value is the first official 2034 base-year employment estimate in that later BLS projection vintage or successor table.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.bls-production-employment-2034","specVersionId":"spec.bls-production-employment-2034.v20260609","predictionId":"bls-production-employment-2034","forecastSlug":"bls-production-employment-2034","targetFactRef":"bls.employment_projections.national_occupation_employment.soc_51_0000.2034.actual_first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first BLS Employment Projections/National Employment Matrix table that uses 2034 as the base year, for SOC 51-0000 Production Occupations, measured as employment in thousands. The published 2024-2034 projection is only a comparison forecast; the resolved value is the first official 2034 base-year employment estimate in that later BLS projection vintage or successor table.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.bls-transport-material-moving-employment-2034","specVersionId":"spec.bls-transport-material-moving-employment-2034.v20260609","predictionId":"bls-transport-material-moving-employment-2034","forecastSlug":"bls-transport-material-moving-employment-2034","targetFactRef":"bls.employment_projections.national_occupation_employment.soc_53_0000.2034.actual_first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first BLS Employment Projections/National Employment Matrix table that uses 2034 as the base year, for SOC 53-0000 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations, measured as employment in thousands. The published 2024-2034 projection is only a comparison forecast; the resolved value is the first official 2034 base-year employment estimate in that later BLS projection vintage or successor table.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-management-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-management-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-management-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-management-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_10th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_11_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 10th percentile wage estimate for SOC 11-0000 Management Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT10/annual 10th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-management-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-management-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-management-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-management-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_25th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_11_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 25th percentile wage estimate for SOC 11-0000 Management Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT25/annual 25th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-management-median-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-management-median-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-management-median-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-management-median-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_median_annual_wage.soc_11_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual median wage estimate for SOC 11-0000 Management Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEDIAN/annual median wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-management-mean-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-management-mean-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-management-mean-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-management-mean-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_mean_annual_wage.soc_11_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual mean wage estimate for SOC 11-0000 Management Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEAN/annual mean wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-management-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-management-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-management-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-management-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_75th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_11_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 75th percentile wage estimate for SOC 11-0000 Management Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT75/annual 75th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-management-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-management-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-management-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-management-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_90th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_11_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 90th percentile wage estimate for SOC 11-0000 Management Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT90/annual 90th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-business-financial-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-business-financial-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-business-financial-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-business-financial-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_10th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_13_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 10th percentile wage estimate for SOC 13-0000 Business and Financial Operations Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT10/annual 10th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-business-financial-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-business-financial-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-business-financial-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-business-financial-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_25th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_13_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 25th percentile wage estimate for SOC 13-0000 Business and Financial Operations Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT25/annual 25th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-business-financial-median-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-business-financial-median-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-business-financial-median-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-business-financial-median-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_median_annual_wage.soc_13_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual median wage estimate for SOC 13-0000 Business and Financial Operations Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEDIAN/annual median wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-business-financial-mean-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-business-financial-mean-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-business-financial-mean-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-business-financial-mean-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_mean_annual_wage.soc_13_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual mean wage estimate for SOC 13-0000 Business and Financial Operations Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEAN/annual mean wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-business-financial-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-business-financial-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-business-financial-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-business-financial-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_75th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_13_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 75th percentile wage estimate for SOC 13-0000 Business and Financial Operations Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT75/annual 75th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-business-financial-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-business-financial-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-business-financial-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-business-financial-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_90th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_13_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 90th percentile wage estimate for SOC 13-0000 Business and Financial Operations Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT90/annual 90th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-computer-math-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-computer-math-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-computer-math-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-computer-math-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_10th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_15_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 10th percentile wage estimate for SOC 15-0000 Computer and Mathematical Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT10/annual 10th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-computer-math-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-computer-math-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-computer-math-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-computer-math-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_25th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_15_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 25th percentile wage estimate for SOC 15-0000 Computer and Mathematical Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT25/annual 25th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-computer-math-median-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-computer-math-median-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-computer-math-median-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-computer-math-median-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_median_annual_wage.soc_15_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual median wage estimate for SOC 15-0000 Computer and Mathematical Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEDIAN/annual median wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-computer-math-mean-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-computer-math-mean-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-computer-math-mean-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-computer-math-mean-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_mean_annual_wage.soc_15_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual mean wage estimate for SOC 15-0000 Computer and Mathematical Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEAN/annual mean wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-computer-math-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-computer-math-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-computer-math-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-computer-math-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_75th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_15_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 75th percentile wage estimate for SOC 15-0000 Computer and Mathematical Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT75/annual 75th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-computer-math-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-computer-math-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-computer-math-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-computer-math-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_90th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_15_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 90th percentile wage estimate for SOC 15-0000 Computer and Mathematical Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT90/annual 90th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-architecture-engineering-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-architecture-engineering-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-architecture-engineering-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-architecture-engineering-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_10th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_17_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 10th percentile wage estimate for SOC 17-0000 Architecture and Engineering Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT10/annual 10th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-architecture-engineering-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-architecture-engineering-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-architecture-engineering-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-architecture-engineering-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_25th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_17_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 25th percentile wage estimate for SOC 17-0000 Architecture and Engineering Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT25/annual 25th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-architecture-engineering-median-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-architecture-engineering-median-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-architecture-engineering-median-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-architecture-engineering-median-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_median_annual_wage.soc_17_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual median wage estimate for SOC 17-0000 Architecture and Engineering Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEDIAN/annual median wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-architecture-engineering-mean-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-architecture-engineering-mean-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-architecture-engineering-mean-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-architecture-engineering-mean-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_mean_annual_wage.soc_17_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual mean wage estimate for SOC 17-0000 Architecture and Engineering Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEAN/annual mean wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-architecture-engineering-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-architecture-engineering-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-architecture-engineering-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-architecture-engineering-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_75th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_17_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 75th percentile wage estimate for SOC 17-0000 Architecture and Engineering Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT75/annual 75th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-architecture-engineering-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-architecture-engineering-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-architecture-engineering-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-architecture-engineering-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_90th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_17_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 90th percentile wage estimate for SOC 17-0000 Architecture and Engineering Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT90/annual 90th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-life-physical-social-science-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-life-physical-social-science-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-life-physical-social-science-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-life-physical-social-science-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_10th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_19_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 10th percentile wage estimate for SOC 19-0000 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT10/annual 10th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-life-physical-social-science-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-life-physical-social-science-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-life-physical-social-science-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-life-physical-social-science-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_25th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_19_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 25th percentile wage estimate for SOC 19-0000 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT25/annual 25th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-life-physical-social-science-median-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-life-physical-social-science-median-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-life-physical-social-science-median-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-life-physical-social-science-median-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_median_annual_wage.soc_19_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual median wage estimate for SOC 19-0000 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEDIAN/annual median wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-life-physical-social-science-mean-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-life-physical-social-science-mean-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-life-physical-social-science-mean-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-life-physical-social-science-mean-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_mean_annual_wage.soc_19_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual mean wage estimate for SOC 19-0000 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEAN/annual mean wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-life-physical-social-science-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-life-physical-social-science-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-life-physical-social-science-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-life-physical-social-science-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_75th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_19_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 75th percentile wage estimate for SOC 19-0000 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT75/annual 75th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-life-physical-social-science-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-life-physical-social-science-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-life-physical-social-science-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-life-physical-social-science-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_90th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_19_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 90th percentile wage estimate for SOC 19-0000 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT90/annual 90th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-community-social-service-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-community-social-service-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-community-social-service-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-community-social-service-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_10th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_21_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 10th percentile wage estimate for SOC 21-0000 Community and Social Service Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT10/annual 10th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-community-social-service-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-community-social-service-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-community-social-service-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-community-social-service-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_25th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_21_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 25th percentile wage estimate for SOC 21-0000 Community and Social Service Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT25/annual 25th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-community-social-service-median-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-community-social-service-median-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-community-social-service-median-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-community-social-service-median-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_median_annual_wage.soc_21_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual median wage estimate for SOC 21-0000 Community and Social Service Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEDIAN/annual median wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-community-social-service-mean-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-community-social-service-mean-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-community-social-service-mean-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-community-social-service-mean-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_mean_annual_wage.soc_21_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual mean wage estimate for SOC 21-0000 Community and Social Service Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEAN/annual mean wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-community-social-service-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-community-social-service-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-community-social-service-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-community-social-service-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_75th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_21_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 75th percentile wage estimate for SOC 21-0000 Community and Social Service Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT75/annual 75th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-community-social-service-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-community-social-service-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-community-social-service-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-community-social-service-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_90th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_21_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 90th percentile wage estimate for SOC 21-0000 Community and Social Service Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT90/annual 90th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-legal-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-legal-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-legal-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-legal-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_10th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_23_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 10th percentile wage estimate for SOC 23-0000 Legal Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT10/annual 10th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-legal-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-legal-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-legal-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-legal-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_25th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_23_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 25th percentile wage estimate for SOC 23-0000 Legal Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT25/annual 25th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-legal-median-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-legal-median-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-legal-median-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-legal-median-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_median_annual_wage.soc_23_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual median wage estimate for SOC 23-0000 Legal Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEDIAN/annual median wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-legal-mean-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-legal-mean-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-legal-mean-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-legal-mean-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_mean_annual_wage.soc_23_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual mean wage estimate for SOC 23-0000 Legal Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEAN/annual mean wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-legal-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-legal-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-legal-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-legal-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_75th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_23_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 75th percentile wage estimate for SOC 23-0000 Legal Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT75/annual 75th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-legal-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-legal-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-legal-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-legal-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_90th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_23_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 90th percentile wage estimate for SOC 23-0000 Legal Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT90/annual 90th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-education-library-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-education-library-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-education-library-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-education-library-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_10th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_25_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 10th percentile wage estimate for SOC 25-0000 Educational Instruction and Library Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT10/annual 10th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-education-library-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-education-library-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-education-library-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-education-library-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_25th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_25_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 25th percentile wage estimate for SOC 25-0000 Educational Instruction and Library Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT25/annual 25th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-education-library-median-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-education-library-median-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-education-library-median-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-education-library-median-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_median_annual_wage.soc_25_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual median wage estimate for SOC 25-0000 Educational Instruction and Library Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEDIAN/annual median wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-education-library-mean-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-education-library-mean-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-education-library-mean-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-education-library-mean-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_mean_annual_wage.soc_25_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual mean wage estimate for SOC 25-0000 Educational Instruction and Library Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEAN/annual mean wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-education-library-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-education-library-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-education-library-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-education-library-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_75th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_25_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 75th percentile wage estimate for SOC 25-0000 Educational Instruction and Library Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT75/annual 75th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-education-library-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-education-library-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-education-library-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-education-library-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_90th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_25_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 90th percentile wage estimate for SOC 25-0000 Educational Instruction and Library Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT90/annual 90th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-arts-media-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-arts-media-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-arts-media-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-arts-media-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_10th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_27_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 10th percentile wage estimate for SOC 27-0000 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT10/annual 10th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-arts-media-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-arts-media-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-arts-media-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-arts-media-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_25th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_27_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 25th percentile wage estimate for SOC 27-0000 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT25/annual 25th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-arts-media-median-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-arts-media-median-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-arts-media-median-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-arts-media-median-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_median_annual_wage.soc_27_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual median wage estimate for SOC 27-0000 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEDIAN/annual median wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-arts-media-mean-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-arts-media-mean-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-arts-media-mean-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-arts-media-mean-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_mean_annual_wage.soc_27_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual mean wage estimate for SOC 27-0000 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEAN/annual mean wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-arts-media-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-arts-media-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-arts-media-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-arts-media-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_75th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_27_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 75th percentile wage estimate for SOC 27-0000 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT75/annual 75th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-arts-media-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-arts-media-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-arts-media-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-arts-media-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_90th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_27_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 90th percentile wage estimate for SOC 27-0000 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT90/annual 90th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-healthcare-practitioners-technical-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-healthcare-practitioners-technical-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-healthcare-practitioners-technical-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-healthcare-practitioners-technical-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_10th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_29_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 10th percentile wage estimate for SOC 29-0000 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT10/annual 10th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-healthcare-practitioners-technical-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-healthcare-practitioners-technical-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-healthcare-practitioners-technical-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-healthcare-practitioners-technical-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_25th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_29_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 25th percentile wage estimate for SOC 29-0000 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT25/annual 25th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-healthcare-practitioners-technical-median-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-healthcare-practitioners-technical-median-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-healthcare-practitioners-technical-median-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-healthcare-practitioners-technical-median-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_median_annual_wage.soc_29_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual median wage estimate for SOC 29-0000 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEDIAN/annual median wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-healthcare-practitioners-technical-mean-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-healthcare-practitioners-technical-mean-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-healthcare-practitioners-technical-mean-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-healthcare-practitioners-technical-mean-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_mean_annual_wage.soc_29_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual mean wage estimate for SOC 29-0000 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEAN/annual mean wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-healthcare-practitioners-technical-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-healthcare-practitioners-technical-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-healthcare-practitioners-technical-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-healthcare-practitioners-technical-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_75th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_29_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 75th percentile wage estimate for SOC 29-0000 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT75/annual 75th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-healthcare-practitioners-technical-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-healthcare-practitioners-technical-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-healthcare-practitioners-technical-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-healthcare-practitioners-technical-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_90th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_29_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 90th percentile wage estimate for SOC 29-0000 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT90/annual 90th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-healthcare-support-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-healthcare-support-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-healthcare-support-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-healthcare-support-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_10th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_31_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 10th percentile wage estimate for SOC 31-0000 Healthcare Support Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT10/annual 10th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-healthcare-support-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-healthcare-support-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-healthcare-support-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-healthcare-support-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_25th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_31_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 25th percentile wage estimate for SOC 31-0000 Healthcare Support Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT25/annual 25th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-healthcare-support-median-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-healthcare-support-median-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-healthcare-support-median-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-healthcare-support-median-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_median_annual_wage.soc_31_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual median wage estimate for SOC 31-0000 Healthcare Support Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEDIAN/annual median wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-healthcare-support-mean-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-healthcare-support-mean-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-healthcare-support-mean-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-healthcare-support-mean-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_mean_annual_wage.soc_31_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual mean wage estimate for SOC 31-0000 Healthcare Support Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEAN/annual mean wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-healthcare-support-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-healthcare-support-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-healthcare-support-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-healthcare-support-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_75th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_31_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 75th percentile wage estimate for SOC 31-0000 Healthcare Support Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT75/annual 75th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-healthcare-support-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-healthcare-support-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-healthcare-support-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-healthcare-support-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_90th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_31_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 90th percentile wage estimate for SOC 31-0000 Healthcare Support Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT90/annual 90th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-protective-service-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-protective-service-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-protective-service-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-protective-service-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_10th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_33_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 10th percentile wage estimate for SOC 33-0000 Protective Service Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT10/annual 10th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-protective-service-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-protective-service-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-protective-service-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-protective-service-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_25th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_33_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 25th percentile wage estimate for SOC 33-0000 Protective Service Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT25/annual 25th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-protective-service-median-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-protective-service-median-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-protective-service-median-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-protective-service-median-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_median_annual_wage.soc_33_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual median wage estimate for SOC 33-0000 Protective Service Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEDIAN/annual median wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-protective-service-mean-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-protective-service-mean-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-protective-service-mean-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-protective-service-mean-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_mean_annual_wage.soc_33_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual mean wage estimate for SOC 33-0000 Protective Service Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEAN/annual mean wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-protective-service-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-protective-service-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-protective-service-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-protective-service-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_75th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_33_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 75th percentile wage estimate for SOC 33-0000 Protective Service Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT75/annual 75th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-protective-service-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-protective-service-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-protective-service-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-protective-service-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_90th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_33_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 90th percentile wage estimate for SOC 33-0000 Protective Service Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT90/annual 90th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-food-prep-serving-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-food-prep-serving-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-food-prep-serving-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-food-prep-serving-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_10th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_35_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 10th percentile wage estimate for SOC 35-0000 Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT10/annual 10th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-food-prep-serving-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-food-prep-serving-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-food-prep-serving-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-food-prep-serving-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_25th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_35_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 25th percentile wage estimate for SOC 35-0000 Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT25/annual 25th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-food-prep-serving-median-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-food-prep-serving-median-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-food-prep-serving-median-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-food-prep-serving-median-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_median_annual_wage.soc_35_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual median wage estimate for SOC 35-0000 Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEDIAN/annual median wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-food-prep-serving-mean-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-food-prep-serving-mean-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-food-prep-serving-mean-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-food-prep-serving-mean-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_mean_annual_wage.soc_35_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual mean wage estimate for SOC 35-0000 Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEAN/annual mean wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-food-prep-serving-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-food-prep-serving-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-food-prep-serving-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-food-prep-serving-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_75th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_35_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 75th percentile wage estimate for SOC 35-0000 Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT75/annual 75th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-food-prep-serving-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-food-prep-serving-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-food-prep-serving-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-food-prep-serving-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_90th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_35_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 90th percentile wage estimate for SOC 35-0000 Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT90/annual 90th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-building-grounds-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-building-grounds-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-building-grounds-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-building-grounds-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_10th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_37_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 10th percentile wage estimate for SOC 37-0000 Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT10/annual 10th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-building-grounds-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-building-grounds-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-building-grounds-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-building-grounds-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_25th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_37_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 25th percentile wage estimate for SOC 37-0000 Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT25/annual 25th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-building-grounds-median-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-building-grounds-median-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-building-grounds-median-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-building-grounds-median-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_median_annual_wage.soc_37_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual median wage estimate for SOC 37-0000 Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEDIAN/annual median wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-building-grounds-mean-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-building-grounds-mean-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-building-grounds-mean-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-building-grounds-mean-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_mean_annual_wage.soc_37_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual mean wage estimate for SOC 37-0000 Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEAN/annual mean wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-building-grounds-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-building-grounds-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-building-grounds-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-building-grounds-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_75th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_37_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 75th percentile wage estimate for SOC 37-0000 Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT75/annual 75th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-building-grounds-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-building-grounds-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-building-grounds-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-building-grounds-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_90th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_37_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 90th percentile wage estimate for SOC 37-0000 Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT90/annual 90th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-personal-care-service-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-personal-care-service-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-personal-care-service-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-personal-care-service-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_10th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_39_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 10th percentile wage estimate for SOC 39-0000 Personal Care and Service Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT10/annual 10th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-personal-care-service-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-personal-care-service-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-personal-care-service-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-personal-care-service-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_25th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_39_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 25th percentile wage estimate for SOC 39-0000 Personal Care and Service Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT25/annual 25th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-personal-care-service-median-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-personal-care-service-median-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-personal-care-service-median-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-personal-care-service-median-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_median_annual_wage.soc_39_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual median wage estimate for SOC 39-0000 Personal Care and Service Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEDIAN/annual median wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-personal-care-service-mean-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-personal-care-service-mean-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-personal-care-service-mean-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-personal-care-service-mean-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_mean_annual_wage.soc_39_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual mean wage estimate for SOC 39-0000 Personal Care and Service Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEAN/annual mean wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-personal-care-service-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-personal-care-service-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-personal-care-service-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-personal-care-service-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_75th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_39_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 75th percentile wage estimate for SOC 39-0000 Personal Care and Service Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT75/annual 75th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-personal-care-service-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-personal-care-service-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-personal-care-service-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-personal-care-service-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_90th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_39_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 90th percentile wage estimate for SOC 39-0000 Personal Care and Service Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT90/annual 90th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-sales-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-sales-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-sales-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-sales-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_10th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_41_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 10th percentile wage estimate for SOC 41-0000 Sales and Related Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT10/annual 10th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-sales-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-sales-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-sales-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-sales-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_25th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_41_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 25th percentile wage estimate for SOC 41-0000 Sales and Related Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT25/annual 25th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-sales-median-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-sales-median-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-sales-median-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-sales-median-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_median_annual_wage.soc_41_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual median wage estimate for SOC 41-0000 Sales and Related Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEDIAN/annual median wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-sales-mean-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-sales-mean-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-sales-mean-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-sales-mean-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_mean_annual_wage.soc_41_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual mean wage estimate for SOC 41-0000 Sales and Related Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEAN/annual mean wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-sales-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-sales-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-sales-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-sales-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_75th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_41_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 75th percentile wage estimate for SOC 41-0000 Sales and Related Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT75/annual 75th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-sales-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-sales-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-sales-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-sales-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_90th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_41_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 90th percentile wage estimate for SOC 41-0000 Sales and Related Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT90/annual 90th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-office-admin-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-office-admin-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-office-admin-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-office-admin-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_10th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_43_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 10th percentile wage estimate for SOC 43-0000 Office and Administrative Support Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT10/annual 10th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-office-admin-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-office-admin-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-office-admin-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-office-admin-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_25th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_43_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 25th percentile wage estimate for SOC 43-0000 Office and Administrative Support Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT25/annual 25th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-office-admin-median-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-office-admin-median-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-office-admin-median-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-office-admin-median-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_median_annual_wage.soc_43_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual median wage estimate for SOC 43-0000 Office and Administrative Support Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEDIAN/annual median wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-office-admin-mean-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-office-admin-mean-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-office-admin-mean-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-office-admin-mean-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_mean_annual_wage.soc_43_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual mean wage estimate for SOC 43-0000 Office and Administrative Support Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEAN/annual mean wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-office-admin-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-office-admin-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-office-admin-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-office-admin-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_75th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_43_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 75th percentile wage estimate for SOC 43-0000 Office and Administrative Support Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT75/annual 75th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-office-admin-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-office-admin-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-office-admin-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-office-admin-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_90th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_43_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 90th percentile wage estimate for SOC 43-0000 Office and Administrative Support Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT90/annual 90th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-farming-fishing-forestry-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-farming-fishing-forestry-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-farming-fishing-forestry-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-farming-fishing-forestry-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_10th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_45_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 10th percentile wage estimate for SOC 45-0000 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT10/annual 10th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-farming-fishing-forestry-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-farming-fishing-forestry-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-farming-fishing-forestry-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-farming-fishing-forestry-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_25th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_45_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 25th percentile wage estimate for SOC 45-0000 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT25/annual 25th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-farming-fishing-forestry-median-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-farming-fishing-forestry-median-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-farming-fishing-forestry-median-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-farming-fishing-forestry-median-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_median_annual_wage.soc_45_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual median wage estimate for SOC 45-0000 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEDIAN/annual median wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-farming-fishing-forestry-mean-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-farming-fishing-forestry-mean-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-farming-fishing-forestry-mean-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-farming-fishing-forestry-mean-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_mean_annual_wage.soc_45_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual mean wage estimate for SOC 45-0000 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEAN/annual mean wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-farming-fishing-forestry-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-farming-fishing-forestry-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-farming-fishing-forestry-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-farming-fishing-forestry-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_75th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_45_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 75th percentile wage estimate for SOC 45-0000 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT75/annual 75th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-farming-fishing-forestry-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-farming-fishing-forestry-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-farming-fishing-forestry-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-farming-fishing-forestry-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_90th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_45_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 90th percentile wage estimate for SOC 45-0000 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT90/annual 90th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-construction-extraction-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-construction-extraction-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-construction-extraction-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-construction-extraction-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_10th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_47_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 10th percentile wage estimate for SOC 47-0000 Construction and Extraction Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT10/annual 10th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-construction-extraction-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-construction-extraction-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-construction-extraction-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-construction-extraction-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_25th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_47_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 25th percentile wage estimate for SOC 47-0000 Construction and Extraction Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT25/annual 25th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-construction-extraction-median-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-construction-extraction-median-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-construction-extraction-median-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-construction-extraction-median-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_median_annual_wage.soc_47_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual median wage estimate for SOC 47-0000 Construction and Extraction Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEDIAN/annual median wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-construction-extraction-mean-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-construction-extraction-mean-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-construction-extraction-mean-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-construction-extraction-mean-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_mean_annual_wage.soc_47_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual mean wage estimate for SOC 47-0000 Construction and Extraction Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEAN/annual mean wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-construction-extraction-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-construction-extraction-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-construction-extraction-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-construction-extraction-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_75th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_47_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 75th percentile wage estimate for SOC 47-0000 Construction and Extraction Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT75/annual 75th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-construction-extraction-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-construction-extraction-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-construction-extraction-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-construction-extraction-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_90th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_47_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 90th percentile wage estimate for SOC 47-0000 Construction and Extraction Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT90/annual 90th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-installation-maintenance-repair-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-installation-maintenance-repair-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-installation-maintenance-repair-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-installation-maintenance-repair-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_10th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_49_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 10th percentile wage estimate for SOC 49-0000 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT10/annual 10th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-installation-maintenance-repair-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-installation-maintenance-repair-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-installation-maintenance-repair-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-installation-maintenance-repair-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_25th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_49_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 25th percentile wage estimate for SOC 49-0000 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT25/annual 25th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-installation-maintenance-repair-median-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-installation-maintenance-repair-median-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-installation-maintenance-repair-median-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-installation-maintenance-repair-median-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_median_annual_wage.soc_49_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual median wage estimate for SOC 49-0000 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEDIAN/annual median wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-installation-maintenance-repair-mean-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-installation-maintenance-repair-mean-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-installation-maintenance-repair-mean-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-installation-maintenance-repair-mean-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_mean_annual_wage.soc_49_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual mean wage estimate for SOC 49-0000 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEAN/annual mean wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-installation-maintenance-repair-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-installation-maintenance-repair-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-installation-maintenance-repair-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-installation-maintenance-repair-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_75th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_49_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 75th percentile wage estimate for SOC 49-0000 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT75/annual 75th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-installation-maintenance-repair-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-installation-maintenance-repair-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-installation-maintenance-repair-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-installation-maintenance-repair-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_90th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_49_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 90th percentile wage estimate for SOC 49-0000 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT90/annual 90th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-production-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-production-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-production-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-production-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_10th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_51_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 10th percentile wage estimate for SOC 51-0000 Production Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT10/annual 10th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-production-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-production-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-production-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-production-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_25th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_51_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 25th percentile wage estimate for SOC 51-0000 Production Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT25/annual 25th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-production-median-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-production-median-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-production-median-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-production-median-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_median_annual_wage.soc_51_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual median wage estimate for SOC 51-0000 Production Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEDIAN/annual median wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-production-mean-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-production-mean-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-production-mean-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-production-mean-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_mean_annual_wage.soc_51_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual mean wage estimate for SOC 51-0000 Production Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEAN/annual mean wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-production-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-production-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-production-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-production-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_75th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_51_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 75th percentile wage estimate for SOC 51-0000 Production Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT75/annual 75th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-production-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-production-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-production-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-production-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_90th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_51_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 90th percentile wage estimate for SOC 51-0000 Production Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT90/annual 90th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-transport-material-moving-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-transport-material-moving-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-transport-material-moving-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-transport-material-moving-10th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_10th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_53_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 10th percentile wage estimate for SOC 53-0000 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT10/annual 10th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-transport-material-moving-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-transport-material-moving-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-transport-material-moving-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-transport-material-moving-25th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_25th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_53_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 25th percentile wage estimate for SOC 53-0000 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT25/annual 25th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-transport-material-moving-median-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-transport-material-moving-median-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-transport-material-moving-median-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-transport-material-moving-median-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_median_annual_wage.soc_53_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual median wage estimate for SOC 53-0000 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEDIAN/annual median wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-transport-material-moving-mean-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-transport-material-moving-mean-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-transport-material-moving-mean-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-transport-material-moving-mean-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_mean_annual_wage.soc_53_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual mean wage estimate for SOC 53-0000 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_MEAN/annual mean wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-transport-material-moving-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-transport-material-moving-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-transport-material-moving-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-transport-material-moving-75th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_75th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_53_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 75th percentile wage estimate for SOC 53-0000 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT75/annual 75th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.oews-transport-material-moving-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.oews-transport-material-moving-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"oews-transport-material-moving-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","forecastSlug":"oews-transport-material-moving-90th-percentile-wage-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.oews.national_occupation_90th_percentile_annual_wage.soc_53_0000.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national OEWS annual 90th percentile wage estimate for SOC 53-0000 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations in the BLS May 2026 National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates table, in nominal dollars. This uses the A_PCT90/annual 90th percentile wage field for the national, cross-industry row. Later revisions or table corrections do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first table on the same publication date.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.canada-retail-sales-growth-april-2026","specVersionId":"spec.canada-retail-sales-growth-april-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"canada-retail-sales-growth-april-2026","forecastSlug":"canada-retail-sales-growth-april-2026","targetFactRef":"statcan.retail_trade.sales_mom.canada.april_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published monthly percent change in seasonally adjusted Canadian retail sales for April 2026 in Statistics Canada's Retail trade release. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.canada-wholesale-sales-growth-april-2026","specVersionId":"spec.canada-wholesale-sales-growth-april-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"canada-wholesale-sales-growth-april-2026","forecastSlug":"canada-wholesale-sales-growth-april-2026","targetFactRef":"statcan.wholesale_trade.sales_mom_exclusions.canada.april_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published monthly percent change in seasonally adjusted wholesale sales excluding petroleum, petroleum products, other hydrocarbons, oilseed, and grain in Statistics Canada's April 2026 Wholesale trade release. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.canada-ei-regular-beneficiaries-april-2026","specVersionId":"spec.canada-ei-regular-beneficiaries-april-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"canada-ei-regular-beneficiaries-april-2026","forecastSlug":"canada-ei-regular-beneficiaries-april-2026","targetFactRef":"statcan.employment_insurance.regular_beneficiaries.canada.april_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published seasonally adjusted number of regular Employment Insurance beneficiaries for Canada in Statistics Canada's April 2026 Employment Insurance release, expressed in thousands. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.canada-building-permit-value-growth-april-2026","specVersionId":"spec.canada-building-permit-value-growth-april-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"canada-building-permit-value-growth-april-2026","forecastSlug":"canada-building-permit-value-growth-april-2026","targetFactRef":"statcan.building_permits.total_value_mom.canada.april_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published monthly percent change in the seasonally adjusted total value of Canadian building permits for April 2026 in Statistics Canada's Building permits release. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.euro-area-industrial-production-growth-april-2026","specVersionId":"spec.euro-area-industrial-production-growth-april-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"euro-area-industrial-production-growth-april-2026","forecastSlug":"euro-area-industrial-production-growth-april-2026","targetFactRef":"eurostat.industrial_production.euro_area.april_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Eurostat's first estimate of the calendar and seasonally adjusted monthly percent change in total euro area industrial production for April 2026. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.euro-area-retail-trade-volume-growth-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.euro-area-retail-trade-volume-growth-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"euro-area-retail-trade-volume-growth-may-2026","forecastSlug":"euro-area-retail-trade-volume-growth-may-2026","targetFactRef":"eurostat.retail_trade.volume_mom.euro_area.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Eurostat's first estimate of the seasonally adjusted monthly percent change in euro area retail trade volume for May 2026. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.australia-dwelling-approvals-growth-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.australia-dwelling-approvals-growth-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"australia-dwelling-approvals-growth-may-2026","forecastSlug":"australia-dwelling-approvals-growth-may-2026","targetFactRef":"abs.building_approvals.total_dwellings_mom.australia.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published monthly percent change in seasonally adjusted total dwelling units approved for May 2026 in ABS Building Approvals, Australia. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.japan-real-household-spending-growth-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.japan-real-household-spending-growth-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"japan-real-household-spending-growth-may-2026","forecastSlug":"japan-real-household-spending-growth-may-2026","targetFactRef":"statjp.household_spending.real_yoy.two_or_more_person_households.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first published real year-over-year change in consumption expenditures for two-or-more-person households for May 2026 in the Statistics Bureau of Japan Family Income and Expenditure Survey. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.individual-income-tax-refunds-fy2026","specVersionId":"spec.individual-income-tax-refunds-fy2026.v20260609","predictionId":"individual-income-tax-refunds-fy2026","forecastSlug":"individual-income-tax-refunds-fy2026","targetFactRef":"treasury.mts.individual_income_tax_refunds.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to total individual income tax refunds for fiscal year 2026 in the final Monthly Treasury Statement for September 2026. If Treasury revises the table after the initial final MTS release, the first final fiscal-year table governs.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.net-premium-tax-credit-reconciliation-ty2025","specVersionId":"spec.net-premium-tax-credit-reconciliation-ty2025.v20260609","predictionId":"net-premium-tax-credit-reconciliation-ty2025","forecastSlug":"net-premium-tax-credit-reconciliation-ty2025","targetFactRef":"irs.soi.net_premium_tax_credit_reconciliation.ty2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the IRS SOI tax-year 2025 estimate for net premium tax credit reconciliation on individual income tax returns, defined as additional net PTC claimed minus excess advance PTC repaid. If IRS publishes separate line-item and ACA-statistics estimates, the ACA-statistics table governs.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.savers-credit-claimant-returns-ty2025","specVersionId":"spec.savers-credit-claimant-returns-ty2025.v20260609","predictionId":"savers-credit-claimant-returns-ty2025","forecastSlug":"savers-credit-claimant-returns-ty2025","targetFactRef":"irs.soi.savers_credit_claimant_returns.ty2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the IRS SOI tax-year 2025 estimate of the number of returns claiming the Retirement Savings Contributions Credit. If IRS reports both preliminary and complete-report values, the complete-report line-item estimate governs.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-chip-enrollment-dec-2026","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-chip-enrollment-dec-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-chip-enrollment-dec-2026","forecastSlug":"medicaid-chip-enrollment-dec-2026","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_chip.enrollment.dec_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the national Medicaid and CHIP enrollment total for December 2026 in CMS monthly enrollment data. If CMS publishes preliminary and updated files, the first updated national file posted by June 30, 2027 governs.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.direct-purchase-health-coverage-rate-2025","specVersionId":"spec.direct-purchase-health-coverage-rate-2025.v20260609","predictionId":"direct-purchase-health-coverage-rate-2025","forecastSlug":"direct-purchase-health-coverage-rate-2025","targetFactRef":"census.asec.direct_purchase_coverage_rate.2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the direct-purchase health insurance coverage rate for all people in the Census health insurance report covering calendar year 2025. The headline direct-purchase category governs, including marketplace and non-marketplace nongroup coverage.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.marketplace-new-consumers-oep-2027","specVersionId":"spec.marketplace-new-consumers-oep-2027.v20260609","predictionId":"marketplace-new-consumers-oep-2027","forecastSlug":"marketplace-new-consumers-oep-2027","targetFactRef":"cms.marketplace.new_consumers.oep_2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the CMS national count of new consumers selecting Marketplace plans during the 2027 open enrollment period. If CMS reports HealthCare.gov and state-based marketplace totals separately, the national total combining both governs.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.infant-mortality-rate-2026-current-law","specVersionId":"spec.infant-mortality-rate-2026-current-law.v20260609","predictionId":"infant-mortality-rate-2026-current-law","forecastSlug":"infant-mortality-rate-2026-current-law","targetFactRef":"cdc.nchs.nvss.infant_mortality_rate.2026.current_law.final","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the final U.S. infant mortality rate for calendar year 2026, in infant deaths per 1,000 live births, from CDC/NCHS NVSS linked birth/infant death records, conditional on no materially equivalent $3,000 fully refundable Child Tax Credit being in effect for TY2026. If such a policy is in effect, this baseline scenario is marked unresolved.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.infant-mortality-rate-2026-ctc-3000-refundable","specVersionId":"spec.infant-mortality-rate-2026-ctc-3000-refundable.v20260609","predictionId":"infant-mortality-rate-2026-ctc-3000-refundable","forecastSlug":"infant-mortality-rate-2026-ctc-3000-refundable","targetFactRef":"cdc.nchs.nvss.infant_mortality_rate.2026.ctc_3000_refundable.final","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the final U.S. infant mortality rate for calendar year 2026, in infant deaths per 1,000 live births, from CDC/NCHS NVSS linked birth/infant death records, conditional on a materially equivalent $3,000 fully refundable Child Tax Credit being in effect for TY2026. If the policy is not in effect, this scenario is marked unresolved.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-cumulative-benefit-redemptions-fy2026","specVersionId":"spec.snap-cumulative-benefit-redemptions-fy2026.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-cumulative-benefit-redemptions-fy2026","forecastSlug":"snap-cumulative-benefit-redemptions-fy2026","targetFactRef":"usda.fns.snap.benefit_redemptions.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the fiscal year 2026 total SNAP benefit redemption amount in USDA FNS national-level annual summary data. If USDA reports issuance and redemption separately, the redemption amount governs.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.wic-child-participation-fy2026","specVersionId":"spec.wic-child-participation-fy2026.v20260609","predictionId":"wic-child-participation-fy2026","forecastSlug":"wic-child-participation-fy2026","targetFactRef":"usda.fns.wic.child_participation.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the average monthly number of child participants in WIC during fiscal year 2026 in USDA FNS program data. Infant and pregnant/postpartum/breastfeeding participant categories are excluded.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.ccdf-average-monthly-payment-per-child-fy2026","specVersionId":"spec.ccdf-average-monthly-payment-per-child-fy2026.v20260609","predictionId":"ccdf-average-monthly-payment-per-child-fy2026","forecastSlug":"ccdf-average-monthly-payment-per-child-fy2026","targetFactRef":"hhs.acf.ccdf.average_monthly_payment_per_child.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to average monthly CCDF subsidy payments per child served in fiscal year 2026, computed from ACF CCDF administrative data as total subsidy payments divided by average monthly children served and months. If ACF publishes the metric directly, the direct metric governs.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-payment-error-rate-fy2025","specVersionId":"spec.snap-payment-error-rate-fy2025.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-payment-error-rate-fy2025","forecastSlug":"snap-payment-error-rate-fy2025","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.us.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the national combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released the FY 2024 rate on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around June 2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.ca-medicaid-procedural-disenrollment-share-aug-2026","specVersionId":"spec.ca-medicaid-procedural-disenrollment-share-aug-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"ca-medicaid-procedural-disenrollment-share-aug-2026","forecastSlug":"ca-medicaid-procedural-disenrollment-share-aug-2026","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.california.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to beneficiaries disenrolled for procedural reasons divided by total beneficiaries disenrolled at renewal, California, August 2026 reporting period, original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c, computed when CMS first publishes the row (expected roughly three to four months after the period).","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ak","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ak.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ak","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ak","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ak.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Alaska's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-al","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-al.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-al","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-al","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.al.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Alabama's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ar","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ar.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ar","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ar","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ar.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Arkansas's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-az","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-az.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-az","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-az","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.az.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Arizona's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ca","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ca.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ca","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ca","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ca.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to California's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-co","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-co.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-co","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-co","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.co.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Colorado's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ct","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ct.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ct","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ct","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ct.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Connecticut's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-dc","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-dc.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-dc","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-dc","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.dc.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to District of Columbia's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-de","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-de.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-de","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-de","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.de.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Delaware's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-fl","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-fl.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-fl","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-fl","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.fl.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Florida's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ga","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ga.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ga","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ga","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ga.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Georgia's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-gu","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-gu.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-gu","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-gu","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.gu.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Guam's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-hi","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-hi.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-hi","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-hi","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.hi.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Hawaii's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ia","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ia.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ia","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ia","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ia.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Iowa's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-id","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-id.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-id","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-id","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.id.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Idaho's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-il","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-il.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-il","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-il","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.il.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Illinois's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-in","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-in.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-in","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-in","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.in.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Indiana's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ks","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ks.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ks","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ks","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ks.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Kansas's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ky","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ky.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ky","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ky","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ky.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Kentucky's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-la","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-la.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-la","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-la","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.la.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Louisiana's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ma","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ma.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ma","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ma","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ma.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Massachusetts's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-md","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-md.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-md","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-md","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.md.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Maryland's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-me","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-me.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-me","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-me","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.me.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Maine's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-mi","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-mi.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-mi","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-mi","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.mi.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Michigan's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-mn","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-mn.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-mn","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-mn","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.mn.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Minnesota's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-mo","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-mo.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-mo","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-mo","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.mo.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Missouri's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ms","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ms.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ms","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ms","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ms.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Mississippi's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-mt","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-mt.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-mt","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-mt","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.mt.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Montana's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-nc","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-nc.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-nc","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-nc","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.nc.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to North Carolina's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-nd","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-nd.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-nd","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-nd","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.nd.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to North Dakota's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ne","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ne.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ne","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ne","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ne.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Nebraska's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-nh","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-nh.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-nh","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-nh","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.nh.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to New Hampshire's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-nj","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-nj.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-nj","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-nj","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.nj.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to New Jersey's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-nm","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-nm.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-nm","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-nm","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.nm.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to New Mexico's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-nv","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-nv.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-nv","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-nv","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.nv.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Nevada's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ny","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ny.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ny","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ny","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ny.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to New York's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-oh","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-oh.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-oh","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-oh","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.oh.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Ohio's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ok","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ok.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ok","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ok","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ok.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Oklahoma's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-or","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-or.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-or","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-or","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.or.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Oregon's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-pa","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-pa.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-pa","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-pa","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.pa.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Pennsylvania's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ri","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ri.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ri","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ri","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ri.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Rhode Island's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-sc","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-sc.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-sc","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-sc","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.sc.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to South Carolina's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-sd","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-sd.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-sd","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-sd","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.sd.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to South Dakota's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-tn","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-tn.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-tn","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-tn","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.tn.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Tennessee's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-tx","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-tx.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-tx","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-tx","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.tx.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Texas's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ut","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-ut.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ut","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-ut","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ut.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Utah's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-va","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-va.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-va","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-va","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.va.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Virginia's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-vi","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-vi.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-vi","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-vi","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.vi.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Virgin Islands's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-vt","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-vt.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-vt","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-vt","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.vt.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Vermont's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-wa","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-wa.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-wa","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-wa","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.wa.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Washington's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-wi","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-wi.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-wi","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-wi","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.wi.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Wisconsin's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-wv","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-wv.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-wv","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-wv","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.wv.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to West Virginia's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2025-wy","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2025-wy.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-wy","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2025-wy","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.wy.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Wyoming's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2025 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2024 rates on June 30, 2025; the FY 2025 release is expected around mid-2026.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-ak","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-ak.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-ak","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-ak","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.ak.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Alaska's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-al","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-al.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-al","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-al","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.al.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Alabama's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-ar","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-ar.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-ar","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-ar","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.ar.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Arkansas's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-az","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-az.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-az","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-az","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.az.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Arizona's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-ca","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-ca.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-ca","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-ca","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.ca.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to California's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-co","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-co.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-co","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-co","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.co.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Colorado's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-ct","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-ct.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-ct","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-ct","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.ct.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine 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2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-de","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-de.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-de","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-de","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.de.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Delaware's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-fl","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-fl.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-fl","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-fl","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.fl.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Florida's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-ga","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-ga.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-ga","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-ga","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.ga.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Georgia's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-gu","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-gu.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-gu","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-gu","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.gu.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine 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2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-ia","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-ia.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-ia","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-ia","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.ia.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Iowa's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-id","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-id.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-id","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-id","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.id.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Idaho's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-il","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-il.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-il","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-il","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.il.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Illinois's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-in","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-in.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-in","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-in","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.in.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine 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2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-ky","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-ky.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-ky","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-ky","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.ky.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Kentucky's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-la","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-la.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-la","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-la","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.la.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Louisiana's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-ma","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-ma.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-ma","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-ma","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.ma.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Massachusetts's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-md","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-md.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-md","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-md","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.md.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine 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2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-mi","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-mi.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-mi","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-mi","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.mi.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Michigan's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-mn","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-mn.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-mn","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-mn","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.mn.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Minnesota's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-mo","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-mo.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-mo","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-mo","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.mo.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Missouri's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-ms","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-ms.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-ms","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-ms","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.ms.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine 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2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-nc","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-nc.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-nc","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-nc","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.nc.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to North Carolina's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-nd","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-nd.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-nd","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-nd","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.nd.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to North Dakota's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-ne","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-ne.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-ne","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-ne","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.ne.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Nebraska's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-nh","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-nh.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-nh","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-nh","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.nh.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine 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2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-nm","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-nm.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-nm","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-nm","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.nm.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to New Mexico's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-nv","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-nv.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-nv","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-nv","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.nv.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Nevada's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-ny","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-ny.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-ny","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-ny","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.ny.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to New York's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-oh","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-oh.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-oh","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-oh","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.oh.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine 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QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-ri","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-ri.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-ri","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-ri","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.ri.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Rhode Island's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-sc","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-sc.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-sc","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-sc","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.sc.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine 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2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-tn","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-tn.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-tn","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-tn","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.tn.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Tennessee's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-tx","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-tx.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-tx","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-tx","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.tx.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Texas's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-ut","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-ut.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-ut","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-ut","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.ut.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Utah's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-va","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-va.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-va","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-va","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.va.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Virginia's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-vt","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-vt.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-vt","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-vt","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.vt.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Vermont's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-wa","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-wa.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-wa","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-wa","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.wa.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Washington's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-wi","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-wi.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-wi","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-wi","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.wi.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Wisconsin's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-wv","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-wv.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-wv","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-wv","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.wv.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to West Virginia's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-apt-fy2025-wy","specVersionId":"spec.snap-apt-fy2025-wy.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-apt-fy2025-wy","forecastSlug":"snap-apt-fy2025-wy","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.application_processing_timeliness.wy.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Wyoming's application processing timeliness rate for fiscal year 2025 as first published on the FNS SNAP QC timeliness page (share of initial applications processed within the 30-day standard, 7-day expedited), expected in 2026.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ak","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ak.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ak","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ak","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.ak.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Alaska's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-al","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-al.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-al","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-al","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.al.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Alabama's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ar","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ar.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ar","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ar","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.ar.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Arkansas's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-az","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-az.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-az","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-az","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.az.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Arizona's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ca","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ca.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ca","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ca","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.ca.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to California's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-co","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-co.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-co","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-co","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.co.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Colorado's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ct","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ct.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ct","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ct","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.ct.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Connecticut's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-dc","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-dc.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-dc","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-dc","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.dc.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to District of Columbia's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-de","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-de.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-de","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-de","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.de.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Delaware's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-fl","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-fl.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-fl","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-fl","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.fl.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Florida's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ga","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ga.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ga","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ga","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.ga.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Georgia's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-hi","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-hi.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-hi","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-hi","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.hi.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Hawaii's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ia","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ia.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ia","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ia","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.ia.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Iowa's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-id","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-id.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-id","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-id","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.id.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Idaho's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-il","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-il.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-il","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-il","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.il.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Illinois's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-in","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-in.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-in","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-in","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.in.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Indiana's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ks","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ks.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ks","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ks","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.ks.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Kansas's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ky","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ky.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ky","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ky","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.ky.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Kentucky's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-la","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-la.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-la","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-la","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.la.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Louisiana's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ma","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ma.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ma","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ma","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.ma.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Massachusetts's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-md","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-md.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-md","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-md","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.md.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Maryland's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-me","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-me.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-me","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-me","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.me.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Maine's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-mi","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-mi.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-mi","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-mi","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.mi.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Michigan's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-mn","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-mn.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-mn","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-mn","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.mn.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Minnesota's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-mo","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-mo.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-mo","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-mo","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.mo.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Missouri's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ms","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ms.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ms","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ms","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.ms.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Mississippi's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-mt","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-mt.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-mt","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-mt","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.mt.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Montana's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-nc","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-nc.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-nc","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-nc","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.nc.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to North Carolina's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-nd","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-nd.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-nd","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-nd","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.nd.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to North Dakota's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ne","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ne.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ne","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ne","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.ne.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Nebraska's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-nh","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-nh.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-nh","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-nh","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.nh.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to New Hampshire's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-nj","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-nj.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-nj","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-nj","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.nj.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to New Jersey's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-nm","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-nm.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-nm","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-nm","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.nm.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to New Mexico's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-nv","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-nv.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-nv","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-nv","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.nv.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Nevada's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ny","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ny.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ny","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ny","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.ny.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to New York's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-oh","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-oh.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-oh","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-oh","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.oh.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Ohio's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ok","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ok.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ok","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ok","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.ok.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Oklahoma's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-or","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-or.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-or","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-or","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.or.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Oregon's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-pa","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-pa.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-pa","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-pa","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.pa.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Pennsylvania's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ri","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ri.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ri","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ri","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.ri.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Rhode Island's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-sc","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-sc.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-sc","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-sc","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.sc.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to South Carolina's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-sd","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-sd.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-sd","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-sd","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.sd.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to South Dakota's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-tn","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-tn.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-tn","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-tn","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.tn.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Tennessee's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-tx","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-tx.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-tx","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-tx","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.tx.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Texas's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ut","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ut.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ut","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-ut","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.ut.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Utah's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-va","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-va.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-va","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-va","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.va.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Virginia's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-vt","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-vt.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-vt","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-vt","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.vt.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Vermont's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-wa","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-wa.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-wa","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-wa","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.wa.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Washington's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-wi","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-wi.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-wi","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-wi","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.wi.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Wisconsin's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-wv","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-wv.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-wv","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-wv","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.wv.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to West Virginia's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-wy","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-wy.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-wy","forecastSlug":"medicaid-ex-parte-share-aug-2026-wy","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.wy.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Wyoming's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ak","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ak.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ak","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ak","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.ak.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Alaska's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-al","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-al.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-al","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-al","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.al.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Alabama's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ar","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ar.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ar","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ar","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.ar.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Arkansas's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-az","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-az.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-az","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-az","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.az.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Arizona's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-co","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-co.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-co","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-co","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.co.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Colorado's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ct","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ct.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ct","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ct","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.ct.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Connecticut's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-dc","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-dc.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-dc","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-dc","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.dc.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to District of Columbia's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-de","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-de.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-de","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-de","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.de.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Delaware's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-fl","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-fl.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-fl","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-fl","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.fl.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Florida's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ga","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ga.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ga","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ga","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.ga.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Georgia's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-hi","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-hi.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-hi","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-hi","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.hi.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Hawaii's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ia","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ia.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ia","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ia","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.ia.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Iowa's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-id","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-id.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-id","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-id","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.id.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Idaho's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-il","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-il.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-il","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-il","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.il.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Illinois's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-in","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-in.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-in","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-in","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.in.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Indiana's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ks","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ks.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ks","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ks","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.ks.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Kansas's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ky","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ky.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ky","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ky","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.ky.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Kentucky's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-la","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-la.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-la","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-la","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.la.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Louisiana's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ma","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ma.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ma","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ma","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.ma.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Massachusetts's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-md","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-md.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-md","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-md","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.md.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Maryland's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-me","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-me.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-me","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-me","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.me.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Maine's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-mi","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-mi.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-mi","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-mi","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.mi.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Michigan's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-mn","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-mn.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-mn","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-mn","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.mn.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Minnesota's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-mo","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-mo.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-mo","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-mo","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.mo.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Missouri's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ms","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ms.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ms","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ms","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.ms.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Mississippi's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-mt","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-mt.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-mt","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-mt","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.mt.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Montana's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-nc","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-nc.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-nc","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-nc","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.nc.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to North Carolina's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-nd","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-nd.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-nd","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-nd","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.nd.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to North Dakota's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ne","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ne.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ne","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ne","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.ne.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Nebraska's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-nh","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-nh.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-nh","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-nh","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.nh.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to New Hampshire's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-nj","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-nj.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-nj","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-nj","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.nj.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to New Jersey's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-nm","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-nm.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-nm","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-nm","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.nm.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to New Mexico's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-nv","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-nv.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-nv","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-nv","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.nv.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Nevada's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ny","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ny.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ny","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ny","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.ny.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to New York's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-oh","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-oh.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-oh","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-oh","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.oh.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Ohio's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ok","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ok.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ok","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ok","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.ok.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Oklahoma's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-or","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-or.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-or","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-or","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.or.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Oregon's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-pa","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-pa.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-pa","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-pa","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.pa.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Pennsylvania's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ri","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ri.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ri","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ri","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.ri.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Rhode Island's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-sc","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-sc.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-sc","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-sc","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.sc.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to South Carolina's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-sd","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-sd.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-sd","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-sd","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.sd.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to South Dakota's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-tn","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-tn.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-tn","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-tn","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.tn.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Tennessee's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-tx","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-tx.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-tx","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-tx","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.tx.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Texas's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ut","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ut.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ut","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-ut","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.ut.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Utah's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-va","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-va.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-va","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-va","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.va.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Virginia's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-vt","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-vt.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-vt","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-vt","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.vt.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Vermont's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-wa","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-wa.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-wa","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-wa","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.wa.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Washington's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-wi","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-wi.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-wi","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-wi","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.wi.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Wisconsin's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-wv","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-wv.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-wv","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-wv","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.wv.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to West Virginia's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-wy","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-wy.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-wy","forecastSlug":"medicaid-procedural-share-aug-2026-wy","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.wy.aug_2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Wyoming's procedural share of disenrollments for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-cost-share-threshold-states-fy2025","specVersionId":"spec.snap-cost-share-threshold-states-fy2025.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-cost-share-threshold-states-fy2025","forecastSlug":"snap-cost-share-threshold-states-fy2025","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.share_jurisdictions_at_or_above_6pct.fy2025","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the count of jurisdictions with FY 2025 combined payment error rates at or above 6.0 percent in the official FNS release, divided by the 53 jurisdictions reported. The release is expected around mid-2026; if it has not been published by 2027-03-31, the cell resolves whenever it is.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-cost-share-in-effect","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-cost-share-in-effect.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-cost-share-in-effect","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-cost-share-in-effect","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.us.fy2026.cost_share_in_effect","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the national combined SNAP payment error rate for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release (first print, expected around June 2027), conditional on the event 'no federal statute enacted on or before 2027-06-30 repeals or delays the SNAP state cost-share provisions of the 2025 reconciliation law.' If the conditioning event fails, the cell is marked unresolved. The conditioning event is a policy state, checkable against the federal bill tracker.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-cost-share-repealed","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-cost-share-repealed.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-cost-share-repealed","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-cost-share-repealed","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.us.fy2026.cost_share_repealed","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the national combined SNAP payment error rate for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release (first print, expected around June 2027), conditional on the event 'a federal statute enacted on or before 2027-06-30 repeals or delays the SNAP state cost-share provisions of the 2025 reconciliation law.' If the conditioning event fails, the cell is marked unresolved. Exactly one cell of the cost-share pair resolves; the gap between the two arms (9.4 vs 10.3) is the forecasted effect of the policy on payment accuracy.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-call-wait-mar-2027-work-req-deadline-holds","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-call-wait-mar-2027-work-req-deadline-holds.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-call-wait-mar-2027-work-req-deadline-holds","forecastSlug":"medicaid-call-wait-mar-2027-work-req-deadline-holds","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.call_center_wait_minutes.us.mar_2027.deadline_holds","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the volume-weighted national average Medicaid call-center wait time in minutes for the March 2027 reporting period, computed across all reporting jurisdictions in CMS dataset 6165f45b-ca93-5bb5-9d06-db29c692a360 (each jurisdiction's average wait weighted by its total call volume, latest submission per jurisdiction), when CMS first publishes the period (expected roughly four months later). Conditional on the event 'no federal statute enacted and no nationwide court stay issued on or before 2027-03-31 delays the community-engagement compliance deadline beyond 2027.' If the conditioning event fails, the cell is marked unresolved.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-call-wait-mar-2027-work-req-deadline-delayed","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-call-wait-mar-2027-work-req-deadline-delayed.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-call-wait-mar-2027-work-req-deadline-delayed","forecastSlug":"medicaid-call-wait-mar-2027-work-req-deadline-delayed","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.call_center_wait_minutes.us.mar_2027.deadline_delayed","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the volume-weighted national average Medicaid call-center wait time in minutes for the March 2027 reporting period, computed across all reporting jurisdictions in CMS dataset 6165f45b-ca93-5bb5-9d06-db29c692a360 (each jurisdiction's average wait weighted by its total call volume, latest submission per jurisdiction), when CMS first publishes the period (expected roughly four months later). Conditional on the event 'a federal statute enacted or nationwide court stay issued on or before 2027-03-31 delays the community-engagement compliance deadline beyond 2027.' If the conditioning event fails, the cell is marked unresolved. Exactly one cell of this pair resolves; the gap between the arms (33 vs 15 minutes) is the forecasted hold-time cost of the policy state.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-work-req-deadline-in-effect-2027q1","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-work-req-deadline-in-effect-2027q1.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-work-req-deadline-in-effect-2027q1","forecastSlug":"medicaid-work-req-deadline-in-effect-2027q1","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to 100 if, as of 2027-03-31, no federal statute has been enacted and no court order of nationwide effect is in force that delays the community-engagement compliance deadline of the 2025 reconciliation law beyond calendar 2027; resolves to 0 otherwise. State-specific good-faith extensions granted by the Secretary do not trigger resolution to 0. The event is machine-checkable against the federal bill tracker and, once the provision is encoded, the rules corpus.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-call-wait-mar-2027","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-call-wait-mar-2027.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-call-wait-mar-2027","forecastSlug":"medicaid-call-wait-mar-2027","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.call_center_wait_minutes.us.mar_2027","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the volume-weighted national average Medicaid call-center wait time in minutes for the March 2027 reporting period, computed across all reporting jurisdictions in CMS dataset 6165f45b-ca93-5bb5-9d06-db29c692a360 (each jurisdiction's average wait weighted by its total call volume, latest submission per jurisdiction), when CMS first publishes the period. Unconditional: this cell resolves regardless of the policy state.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.ca-procedural-share-given-high-ex-parte-aug-2026","specVersionId":"spec.ca-procedural-share-given-high-ex-parte-aug-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"ca-procedural-share-given-high-ex-parte-aug-2026","forecastSlug":"ca-procedural-share-given-high-ex-parte-aug-2026","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_pi.procedural_disenrollment_share.ca.aug_2026.conditional","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to California's procedural disenrollments divided by total disenrollments at renewal for the August 2026 reporting period (original submission row, CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c), conditional on the event 'California ex parte renewals divided by total completed renewals is at least 80.0 percent in the same row.' If the conditioning event does not occur, the cell is marked unresolved.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-payment-error-rate-fy2026","specVersionId":"spec.snap-payment-error-rate-fy2026.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-payment-error-rate-fy2026","forecastSlug":"snap-payment-error-rate-fy2026","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.us.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the national combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ak","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ak.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ak","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ak","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ak.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Alaska's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-al","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-al.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-al","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-al","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.al.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Alabama's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ar","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ar.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ar","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ar","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ar.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Arkansas's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-az","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-az.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-az","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-az","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.az.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Arizona's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ca","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ca.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ca","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ca","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ca.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to California's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-co","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-co.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-co","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-co","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.co.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Colorado's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ct","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ct.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ct","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ct","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ct.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Connecticut's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-dc","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-dc.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-dc","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-dc","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.dc.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to District of Columbia's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-de","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-de.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-de","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-de","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.de.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Delaware's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-fl","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-fl.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-fl","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-fl","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.fl.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Florida's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ga","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ga.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ga","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ga","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ga.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Georgia's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-gu","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-gu.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-gu","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-gu","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.gu.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Guam's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-hi","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-hi.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-hi","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-hi","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.hi.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Hawaii's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ia","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ia.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ia","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ia","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ia.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Iowa's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-id","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-id.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-id","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-id","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.id.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Idaho's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-il","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-il.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-il","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-il","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.il.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Illinois's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-in","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-in.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-in","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-in","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.in.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Indiana's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ks","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ks.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ks","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ks","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ks.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Kansas's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ky","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ky.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ky","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ky","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ky.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Kentucky's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-la","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-la.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-la","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-la","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.la.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Louisiana's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ma","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ma.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ma","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ma","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ma.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Massachusetts's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-md","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-md.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-md","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-md","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.md.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Maryland's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-me","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-me.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-me","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-me","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.me.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Maine's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-mi","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-mi.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-mi","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-mi","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.mi.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Michigan's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-mn","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-mn.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-mn","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-mn","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.mn.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Minnesota's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-mo","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-mo.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-mo","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-mo","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.mo.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Missouri's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ms","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ms.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ms","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ms","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ms.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Mississippi's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-mt","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-mt.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-mt","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-mt","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.mt.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Montana's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-nc","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-nc.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-nc","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-nc","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.nc.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to North Carolina's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-nd","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-nd.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-nd","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-nd","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.nd.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to North Dakota's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ne","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ne.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ne","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ne","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ne.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Nebraska's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-nh","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-nh.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-nh","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-nh","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.nh.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to New Hampshire's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-nj","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-nj.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-nj","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-nj","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.nj.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to New Jersey's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-nm","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-nm.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-nm","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-nm","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.nm.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to New Mexico's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-nv","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-nv.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-nv","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-nv","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.nv.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Nevada's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ny","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ny.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ny","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ny","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ny.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to New York's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-oh","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-oh.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-oh","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-oh","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.oh.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Ohio's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ok","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ok.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ok","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ok","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ok.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Oklahoma's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-or","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-or.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-or","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-or","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.or.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Oregon's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-pa","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-pa.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-pa","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-pa","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.pa.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Pennsylvania's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ri","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ri.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ri","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ri","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ri.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Rhode Island's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-sc","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-sc.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-sc","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-sc","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.sc.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to South Carolina's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-sd","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-sd.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-sd","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-sd","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.sd.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to South Dakota's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-tn","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-tn.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-tn","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-tn","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.tn.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Tennessee's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-tx","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-tx.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-tx","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-tx","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.tx.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Texas's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ut","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-ut.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ut","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-ut","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.ut.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Utah's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-va","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-va.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-va","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-va","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.va.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Virginia's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-vi","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-vi.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-vi","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-vi","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.vi.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Virgin Islands's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-vt","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-vt.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-vt","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-vt","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.vt.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Vermont's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-wa","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-wa.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-wa","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-wa","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.wa.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Washington's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-wi","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-wi.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-wi","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-wi","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.wi.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Wisconsin's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-wv","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-wv.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-wv","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-wv","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.wv.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to West Virginia's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-error-rate-fy2026-wy","specVersionId":"spec.snap-error-rate-fy2026-wy.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-wy","forecastSlug":"snap-error-rate-fy2026-wy","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.total_payment_error_rate.wy.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Wyoming's combined SNAP payment error rate (overpayments plus underpayments) for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-overpayment-error-rate-fy2026","specVersionId":"spec.snap-overpayment-error-rate-fy2026.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-overpayment-error-rate-fy2026","forecastSlug":"snap-overpayment-error-rate-fy2026","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.overpayment_payment_error_rate.us.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the national SNAP overpayment error rate for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.snap-underpayment-error-rate-fy2026","specVersionId":"spec.snap-underpayment-error-rate-fy2026.v20260609","predictionId":"snap-underpayment-error-rate-fy2026","forecastSlug":"snap-underpayment-error-rate-fy2026","targetFactRef":"fns.snap.underpayment_payment_error_rate.us.fy2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the national SNAP underpayment error rate for fiscal year 2026 in the official FNS QC release, first print. FNS released FY 2025 rates on June 24, 2026; the FY 2026 release is expected around June 2027.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.industrial-production-mom-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.industrial-production-mom-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"industrial-production-mom-may-2026","forecastSlug":"industrial-production-mom-may-2026","targetFactRef":"us.frb.industrial_production.total.mom_sa.2026-05","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the total Industrial Production index seasonally adjusted month-over-month percent change for May 2026, as printed in the first G.17 release on 2026-06-15 at 9:15 AM ET, rounded to one decimal place. FRED series INDPRO (first vintage).","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.housing-starts-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.housing-starts-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"housing-starts-may-2026","forecastSlug":"housing-starts-may-2026","targetFactRef":"us.census.housing_starts.total_saar.2026-05","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the total privately-owned housing starts for May 2026, seasonally adjusted annual rate, in millions (e.g. 1500 thousand -> 1.50 million), as printed in the 2026-06-16 8:30 AM ET New Residential Construction release (first/preliminary estimate). FRED series HOUST/1000.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.uk-cpih-yoy-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.uk-cpih-yoy-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"uk-cpih-yoy-may-2026","forecastSlug":"uk-cpih-yoy-may-2026","targetFactRef":"ons.cpih.annual_rate.2026-05","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published ONS CPIH (CPI including owner occupiers' housing costs) 12-month inflation rate for May 2026 in the Consumer price inflation, UK bulletin, headline table, rounded to one decimal place as published. Later revisions do not change the resolved value. This forecast targets CPIH specifically, distinct from the all-items CPI measure.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.fomc-rate-upper-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.fomc-rate-upper-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"fomc-rate-upper-june-2026","forecastSlug":"fomc-rate-upper-june-2026","targetFactRef":"us.fed.fomc.target_range_upper.2026-06","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the upper limit of the target range for the federal funds rate as stated in the FOMC statement / Implementation Note issued at 2:00 PM ET on 2026-06-17, in percent (e.g. 3.75 if range is 3.50-3.75%). FRED series DFEDTARU reflects the same value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.boe-bank-rate-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.boe-bank-rate-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"boe-bank-rate-june-2026","forecastSlug":"boe-bank-rate-june-2026","targetFactRef":"boe.bank_rate.2026-06-18","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the Bank Rate level (percent) stated in the Bank of England Monetary Policy Summary published on 18 June 2026, immediately following the MPC vote. If the Bank issues a same-day correction before market close, the corrected value governs.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.initial-claims-week-2026-06-13","specVersionId":"spec.initial-claims-week-2026-06-13.v20260609","predictionId":"initial-claims-week-2026-06-13","forecastSlug":"initial-claims-week-2026-06-13","targetFactRef":"us.dol.initial_claims.sa.week_2026-06-13","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the seasonally adjusted ADVANCE figure for initial claims for the week ending 2026-06-13, in thousands, as printed in the DOL UI Weekly Claims news release on 2026-06-18 at 8:30 AM ET. FRED series ICSA (advance vintage), value/1000.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.japan-core-cpi-yoy-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.japan-core-cpi-yoy-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"japan-core-cpi-yoy-may-2026","forecastSlug":"japan-core-cpi-yoy-may-2026","targetFactRef":"estat.jp.cpi.core_exfreshfood.yoy.2026-05","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published national 'all items less fresh food' (core) CPI year-over-year rate for the May 2026 reference month in the Statistics Bureau of Japan Consumer Price Index release, rounded to one decimal as published. This targets the ex-fresh-food core measure specifically, distinct from the all-items headline. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.canada-cpi-yoy-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.canada-cpi-yoy-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"canada-cpi-yoy-may-2026","forecastSlug":"canada-cpi-yoy-may-2026","targetFactRef":"statcan.cpi.allitems.yoy.2026-05","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published all-items CPI 12-month percentage change for Canada (not seasonally adjusted) in the Statistics Canada The Daily release for the May 2026 reference month, rounded to one decimal as published. Later revisions or table updates do not change the resolved value. Note: the May 2026 CPI is the first release computed on updated basket weights (effective 15 June 2026).","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.australia-cpi-indicator-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.australia-cpi-indicator-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"australia-cpi-indicator-may-2026","forecastSlug":"australia-cpi-indicator-may-2026","targetFactRef":"abs.cpi_indicator.allgroups.yoy.2026-05","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published all-groups CPI annual (12-month) movement in the ABS Monthly Consumer Price Index Indicator release for the May 2026 reference month, rounded to one decimal as published. Later revisions do not change the resolved value. This targets the all-groups headline monthly indicator (distinct from the trimmed-mean underlying measure).","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.initial-claims-week-2026-06-20","specVersionId":"spec.initial-claims-week-2026-06-20.v20260609","predictionId":"initial-claims-week-2026-06-20","forecastSlug":"initial-claims-week-2026-06-20","targetFactRef":"us.dol.initial_claims.sa.week_2026-06-20","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the seasonally adjusted ADVANCE figure for initial claims for the week ending 2026-06-20, in thousands, as printed in the DOL UI Weekly Claims news release on 2026-06-25 at 8:30 AM ET. FRED series ICSA (advance vintage), value/1000.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-core-pce-mom-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-core-pce-mom-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-core-pce-mom-may-2026","forecastSlug":"us-core-pce-mom-may-2026","targetFactRef":"us.bea.core_pce.mom_sa.2026-05","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the month-over-month percent change in the PCE price index excluding food and energy (core PCE), seasonally adjusted, for May 2026, as printed in the first BEA Personal Income and Outlays release on 2026-06-25 at 8:30 AM ET, rounded to one decimal place at BEA's reported precision (the headline table reports to 0.1; FRED PCEPILFE supports 0.01). FRED series PCEPILFE (first vintage).","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.jolts-openings-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.jolts-openings-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"jolts-openings-may-2026","forecastSlug":"jolts-openings-may-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.jolts.job_openings.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published seasonally adjusted level of total nonfarm job openings for May 2026 (in millions, rounded as BLS reports) stated in the BLS JOLTS news release scheduled for June 30, 2026. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.euro-flash-hicp-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.euro-flash-hicp-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"euro-flash-hicp-june-2026","forecastSlug":"euro-flash-hicp-june-2026","targetFactRef":"eurostat.ea.hicp.flash.yoy.2026-06","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Eurostat's first flash estimate of the euro area (all-items) HICP annual inflation rate for June 2026, published 1 July 2026, rounded to one decimal as released. The later final HICP figure does not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.nonfarm-payrolls-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.nonfarm-payrolls-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"nonfarm-payrolls-june-2026","forecastSlug":"nonfarm-payrolls-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.ces.total_nonfarm_payroll_change.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published seasonally adjusted over-the-month change in total nonfarm payroll employment for June 2026 stated in the BLS Employment Situation news release scheduled for July 2, 2026. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.unemployment-rate-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.unemployment-rate-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"unemployment-rate-june-2026","forecastSlug":"unemployment-rate-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cps.unemployment_rate.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published seasonally adjusted civilian unemployment rate (U-3) for June 2026 stated in the BLS Employment Situation news release scheduled for July 2, 2026. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-mts-deficit-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-mts-deficit-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-mts-deficit-june-2026","forecastSlug":"us-mts-deficit-june-2026","targetFactRef":"treasury.mts.monthly_deficit.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the June 2026 current-month deficit/surplus amount in Monthly Treasury Statement Table 1, divided by 1 billion dollars, with deficits positive and surpluses negative. The first published MTS table governs. Release expected on the 8th workday of July (2026-07-13).","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-cpi-u-mom-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-cpi-u-mom-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-cpi-u-mom-june-2026","forecastSlug":"us-cpi-u-mom-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cpi.u.headline_mom.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published seasonally adjusted month-over-month percent change in the all-items CPI-U for June 2026 stated in the BLS Consumer Price Index news release scheduled for July 14, 2026. Later seasonal-adjustment revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-core-cpi-mom-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-core-cpi-mom-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-core-cpi-mom-june-2026","forecastSlug":"us-core-cpi-mom-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cpi.u.core_mom.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published seasonally adjusted month-over-month percent change in CPI-U less food and energy (core) for June 2026 stated in the BLS Consumer Price Index news release scheduled for July 14, 2026. Later seasonal-adjustment revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.initial-claims-week-2026-07-04","specVersionId":"spec.initial-claims-week-2026-07-04.v20260609","predictionId":"initial-claims-week-2026-07-04","forecastSlug":"initial-claims-week-2026-07-04","targetFactRef":"us.dol.initial_claims.sa.week_2026-07-04","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the advance seasonally adjusted initial claims figure for the week ending July 4, 2026, in the first U.S. Department of Labor UI Weekly Claims news release published on July 9, 2026. Convert the published count to thousands and ignore later revisions to that week or the prior week.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.canada-ei-regular-beneficiaries-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.canada-ei-regular-beneficiaries-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"canada-ei-regular-beneficiaries-may-2026","forecastSlug":"canada-ei-regular-beneficiaries-may-2026","targetFactRef":"statcan.employment_insurance.regular_beneficiaries.canada.may_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first published seasonally adjusted number of regular Employment Insurance beneficiaries for Canada in Statistics Canada's May 2026 Employment Insurance release/table 14-10-0011-01, expressed in thousands by dividing the published person count by 1,000. Use the first official print only; later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.australia-unemployment-rate-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.australia-unemployment-rate-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"australia-unemployment-rate-june-2026","forecastSlug":"australia-unemployment-rate-june-2026","targetFactRef":"abs.labour.unemployment_rate.australia.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first published seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for June 2026 in ABS Labour Force, Australia, reported in percent to one decimal place. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.australia-cpi-annual-rate-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.australia-cpi-annual-rate-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"australia-cpi-annual-rate-june-2026","forecastSlug":"australia-cpi-annual-rate-june-2026","targetFactRef":"abs.cpi.all_groups.yoy.2026-06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first ABS-published All groups CPI annual movement for June 2026 in Consumer Price Index, Australia, original terms, rounded as published to one decimal percentage point. Later revisions, backcasts, or third-party mirrors do not change the resolved value.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.euro-area-unemployment-rate-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.euro-area-unemployment-rate-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"euro-area-unemployment-rate-june-2026","forecastSlug":"euro-area-unemployment-rate-june-2026","targetFactRef":"eurostat.unemployment_rate.euro_area.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first Eurostat-published June 2026 euro area seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in dataset une_rt_m or the corresponding euro-indicators monthly unemployment release, total sex, age 15-74, unit percent of active population, rounded to one decimal. Use the first official print only; later revisions to June 2026 do not change the resolved value.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-core-pce-mom-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-core-pce-mom-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-core-pce-mom-june-2026","forecastSlug":"us-core-pce-mom-june-2026","targetFactRef":"us.bea.core_pce.mom_sa.2026-06","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first BEA Personal Income and Outlays print for June 2026 PCE price index excluding food and energy, seasonally adjusted percent change from the preceding month, released July 30, 2026 at 8:30 a.m. EDT. Use the first published value at BEA's reported precision; ignore later revisions or benchmark updates.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.euro-flash-hicp-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.euro-flash-hicp-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"euro-flash-hicp-july-2026","forecastSlug":"euro-flash-hicp-july-2026","targetFactRef":"eurostat.ea.hicp.flash.yoy.2026-07","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to Eurostat's first flash estimate of the euro area all-items HICP annual inflation rate for July 2026, rounded to one decimal percent as first released in the Euro indicators flash-estimate publication on 31 July 2026. Ignore the later complete HICP release and any revisions.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.canada-monthly-gdp-growth-may-2026","specVersionId":"spec.canada-monthly-gdp-growth-may-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"canada-monthly-gdp-growth-may-2026","forecastSlug":"canada-monthly-gdp-growth-may-2026","targetFactRef":"statcan.36-10-0434-01.all_industries.month_to_month_percent_change.2026-05.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first Statistics Canada publication for May 2026 seasonally adjusted real GDP by industry, all industries, month-to-month percent change, rounded to one decimal percentage point. Use the first value published in the July 31, 2026 The Daily release and Table 36-10-0434-01; if the Daily text and table disagree at first publication, use the table value for all industries month-to-month percent change. Ignore later revisions.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.japan-tokyo-cpi-annual-rate-july-2026-prelim","specVersionId":"spec.japan-tokyo-cpi-annual-rate-july-2026-prelim.v20260609","predictionId":"japan-tokyo-cpi-annual-rate-july-2026-prelim","forecastSlug":"japan-tokyo-cpi-annual-rate-july-2026-prelim","targetFactRef":"statjp.cpi.tokyo_all_items_annual_rate.july_2026.preliminary","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first published Ku-area of Tokyo preliminary all-items CPI change-over-the-year percentage for July 2026 in the Statistics Bureau of Japan/e-Stat Consumer Price Index release, using the agency's one-decimal percent rounding. Later revisions, corrections, or base-change restatements do not change the resolved value unless they are incorporated in the first July 2026 preliminary print itself.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.jolts-openings-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.jolts-openings-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"jolts-openings-june-2026","forecastSlug":"jolts-openings-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.jolts.job_openings.june_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first-published seasonally adjusted total nonfarm job openings level for June 2026 in the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey news release scheduled for 2026-08-04, converted from thousands to millions and rounded to three decimals if necessary. Later monthly revisions or annual updates do not change the resolved value.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.unemployment-rate-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.unemployment-rate-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"unemployment-rate-july-2026","forecastSlug":"unemployment-rate-july-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cps.unemployment_rate.july_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the first-published seasonally adjusted civilian unemployment rate (U-3) for July 2026 stated in the BLS Employment Situation news release scheduled for August 7, 2026 at 08:30 AM ET. Use the rate rounded to one decimal percent as first published by BLS; later revisions or annual population-control changes do not change the resolved value.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.nonfarm-payrolls-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.nonfarm-payrolls-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"nonfarm-payrolls-july-2026","forecastSlug":"nonfarm-payrolls-july-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.ces.total_nonfarm.payroll_employment.change.sa.2026-07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first preliminary July 2026 value for total nonfarm payroll employment over-the-month change, seasonally adjusted, in the BLS Employment Situation news release and Table B-1 released August 7, 2026 at 8:30 a.m. ET. Use the value printed in thousands for the change from June 2026 to July 2026; ignore later monthly revisions, annual benchmark revisions, and subsequent table updates.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-cpi-u-mom-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-cpi-u-mom-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-cpi-u-mom-july-2026","forecastSlug":"us-cpi-u-mom-july-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cpi.u.headline_mom.july_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first BLS-published July 2026 seasonally adjusted percent change from preceding month for CPI-U all items, U.S. city average, as released on 2026-08-12 at 8:30 a.m. ET. Use the one-decimal first print in the BLS CPI news release table; ignore later revisions, annual seasonal-adjustment revisions, errata after the first print, and FRED mirrors.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-core-cpi-mom-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-core-cpi-mom-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-core-cpi-mom-july-2026","forecastSlug":"us-core-cpi-mom-july-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cpi.u.core_mom.july_2026.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first BLS-published July 2026 seasonally adjusted percent change from the preceding month for CPI-U all items less food and energy, as shown in the Consumer Price Index news release scheduled for 2026-08-12 at 08:30 ET. Use the first print rounded to BLS's reported one decimal place; ignore later seasonal-adjustment revisions or corrections.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.belgium-consumer-confidence-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.belgium-consumer-confidence-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"belgium-consumer-confidence-july-2026","forecastSlug":"belgium-consumer-confidence-july-2026","targetFactRef":"nbb.consumer_confidence.indicator.2026-07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first National Bank of Belgium published consumer confidence indicator for 2026-07, seasonally adjusted, reported in signed index points and rounded to the agency's published one-decimal precision. Use the first official NBB print only; ignore later NBB.Stat revisions, corrections after the first release, FRED, and third-party mirrors.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.belgium-nbb-business-barometer-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.belgium-nbb-business-barometer-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"belgium-nbb-business-barometer-july-2026","forecastSlug":"belgium-nbb-business-barometer-july-2026","targetFactRef":"nbb.business_barometer.overall.2026-07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first National Bank of Belgium published overall business barometer synthetic curve for 2026-07, seasonally adjusted, reported in index points and rounded to the agency's published one-decimal precision. Use the first official print only; ignore later NBB.Stat revisions, corrections after the first release, and mirrors.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.belgium-cpi-annual-rate-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.belgium-cpi-annual-rate-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"belgium-cpi-annual-rate-july-2026","forecastSlug":"belgium-cpi-annual-rate-july-2026","targetFactRef":"statbel.cpi.headline_yoy.2026-07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first Statbel-published annual inflation rate for the Belgian headline Consumer Price Index for m-2026-07, reported in percent and rounded to the agency's published precision; do not use later revisions or mirrors.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.belgium-health-index-annual-rate-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.belgium-health-index-annual-rate-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"belgium-health-index-annual-rate-july-2026","forecastSlug":"belgium-health-index-annual-rate-july-2026","targetFactRef":"statbel.health_index.yoy.2026-07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first Statbel-published inflation rate based on the health index for m-2026-07, reported in percent and rounded to the agency's published precision; do not use later revisions or mirrors.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.belgium-gdp-flash-q2-2026","specVersionId":"spec.belgium-gdp-flash-q2-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"belgium-gdp-flash-q2-2026","forecastSlug":"belgium-gdp-flash-q2-2026","targetFactRef":"nbb.gdp.flash_qoq.2026_q2.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first National Bank of Belgium or Institute for National Accounts flash-estimate publication for Belgian real GDP growth in 2026-Q2, seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter percent change, rounded to the agency's published one-decimal precision. Use the first official print only; ignore later detailed national-accounts releases, database revisions, and mirrors such as Eurostat or FRED.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.belgium-unemployment-rate-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.belgium-unemployment-rate-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"belgium-unemployment-rate-june-2026","forecastSlug":"belgium-unemployment-rate-june-2026","targetFactRef":"eurostat.une_rt_m.unemployment_rate.belgium.2026_06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first Eurostat-published June 2026 Belgium seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in dataset une_rt_m or the corresponding euro-indicators monthly unemployment release, total sex, age 15-74, unit percent of active population, rounded to one decimal. Use the first official print only; later revisions to June 2026 do not change the resolved value.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.continued-claims-week-2026-06-27","specVersionId":"spec.continued-claims-week-2026-06-27.v20260609","predictionId":"continued-claims-week-2026-06-27","forecastSlug":"continued-claims-week-2026-06-27","targetFactRef":"dol.eta.continued_claims.sa.week_2026-06-27.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first published seasonally adjusted insured unemployment count for the week ending June 27, 2026, in the U.S. Department of Labor ETA UI Weekly Claims news release published on July 9, 2026. Convert the published count to millions by dividing by 1,000,000 and round to three decimals if needed for display. Use the first official print only; ignore later revisions to that week or later same-series updates.","status":"linked"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.wic-participation-april-2026","specVersionId":"spec.wic-participation-april-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"wic-participation-april-2026","forecastSlug":"wic-participation-april-2026","targetFactRef":"fns.wic.total_participation.2026-04.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first USDA FNS WIC Participation and Costs monthly national-data print that includes April 2026, using the Total Participants column for April 2026 in the preliminary FY2026 national monthly table, even if the website index updates later. Convert the published whole-participant count to millions by dividing by 1,000,000 and round to three decimals. Ignore later revisions, annual-summary updates, FRED, and mirrors.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-real-avg-hourly-earnings-mom-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-real-avg-hourly-earnings-mom-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-real-avg-hourly-earnings-mom-june-2026","forecastSlug":"us-real-avg-hourly-earnings-mom-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.real_earnings.avg_hourly_mom.2026-06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first public BLS Real Earnings Table A-1 print for June 2026 real average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls, seasonally adjusted, over-the-month percent change. Use the published one-decimal percent value for June 2026(p) as released on July 14, 2026; ignore later revisions or benchmark updates.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.jolts-quits-rate-june-2026","specVersionId":"spec.jolts-quits-rate-june-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"jolts-quits-rate-june-2026","forecastSlug":"jolts-quits-rate-june-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.jolts.quits_rate.2026-06.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first BLS-published seasonally adjusted total nonfarm quits rate for June 2026 in JOLTS Table 4, released on 2026-08-04 at 10:00 AM ET. Use the preliminary first-print rate as reported to one decimal percent; capture the August 4, 2026 first-print Table 4 or the BLS archived release/table for that release when available, and ignore later monthly revisions, benchmark updates, or annual seasonal-adjustment updates.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-nonfarm-productivity-q2-2026-prelim","specVersionId":"spec.us-nonfarm-productivity-q2-2026-prelim.v20260609","predictionId":"us-nonfarm-productivity-q2-2026-prelim","forecastSlug":"us-nonfarm-productivity-q2-2026-prelim","targetFactRef":"bls.productivity.nonfarm_qoq_prelim.2026-Q2.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first preliminary BLS Productivity and Costs Table 2 value for nonfarm business sector labor productivity, seasonally adjusted percent change from previous quarter at annual rate, for 2026 Q2, as published on August 6, 2026 at 08:30 ET. Use the printed one-decimal percentage value from Table 2; do not revise for later revised, corrected downloadable-history, or annual benchmark releases unless BLS changes the original Table 2 first print before the release is complete.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.us-telework-rate-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.us-telework-rate-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"us-telework-rate-july-2026","forecastSlug":"us-telework-rate-july-2026","targetFactRef":"bls.cps.telework_share.2026-07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first BLS Employment Situation release for July 2026, Table A-41, not seasonally adjusted, row 'Total, 16 years and over', column 'People who teleworked or worked at home for pay' under percent distribution. Use the one-decimal percentage printed at initial release; do not use later revisions or corrected same-day replacements unless BLS explicitly withdraws the initial table before publication.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.ssi-recipients-july-2026","specVersionId":"spec.ssi-recipients-july-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"ssi-recipients-july-2026","forecastSlug":"ssi-recipients-july-2026","targetFactRef":"ssa.ssi.total_recipients.2026-07.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first published July 2026 value in SSA SSI Monthly Statistics Table 2, row July 2026, column Total number of recipients for all federally administered payments. The resolving observation is the first July 2026 Table 2 print whenever SSA posts it; 2026-08-31 is the catalog latest expected resolution by-date based on SSA's month-level monthly publishing schedule, not a claimed exact release day. The SSA table publishes counts as whole recipients; convert to millions by dividing by 1,000,000 and round forecast display values to three decimals. Use the first official print only and ignore later revisions or adjusted checks after the first July 2026 table is posted.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-enrollment-april-2027-work-req-deadline-delayed","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-enrollment-april-2027-work-req-deadline-delayed.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-enrollment-april-2027-work-req-deadline-delayed","forecastSlug":"medicaid-enrollment-april-2027-work-req-deadline-delayed","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_chip.total_enrollment.2027_04.preliminary.deadline_delayed.first_print","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first official CMS preliminary April 2027 national Total Medicaid and CHIP Enrollment count in the Monthly Medicaid and CHIP Application, Eligibility Determination, and Enrollment Reports and Data / data.Medicaid.gov dataset 6165f45b-ca93-5bb5-9d06-db29c692a360. Use reporting_period = 202704 and preliminary_or_updated = P, not an updated vintage or later revision. Convert whole persons to millions by dividing by 1,000,000 and round the resolved value to two decimals for display. If CMS publishes state rows before a national row, sum official state Total Medicaid and CHIP Enrollment counts for reporting_period 202704 and preliminary_or_updated = P. The conditional event is true only if Congress, CMS, HHS, or another binding federal statutory or regulatory authority announces by 2027-03-31 that the Public Law 119-21 Medicaid community-engagement compliance effective date is delayed beyond April 2027; otherwise the cell is unresolved. Ledger discrepancy note: despite the series label cms.medicaid.total_enrollment, this forecast resolves to CMS Total Medicaid and CHIP Enrollment, not Medicaid-only enrollment, unless the ledger is corrected. This run verified the official monthly release vehicle and current March 2026 release date, but found no future-dated CMS placeholder for 2027-07-31, so that date is retained as the canonical target contract while the substantive resolver remains first official print.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.medicaid-enrollment-april-2027-work-req-deadline-holds","specVersionId":"spec.medicaid-enrollment-april-2027-work-req-deadline-holds.v20260609","predictionId":"medicaid-enrollment-april-2027-work-req-deadline-holds","forecastSlug":"medicaid-enrollment-april-2027-work-req-deadline-holds","targetFactRef":"cms.medicaid_chip.total_enrollment.2027_04.first_print.work_req_deadline_holds","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolve to the first CMS-published national Total Medicaid and CHIP Enrollment count for the April 2027 reporting period in the preliminary Performance Indicator Data monthly snapshot or its underlying Data.Medicaid.gov dataset, using reporting_period 202704 and preliminary_or_updated = P. The ledger target resolves to CMS national Total Medicaid and CHIP Enrollment despite the cms.medicaid.total_enrollment series slug. Use the national total for the 50 states and DC, not a state row, weighted average, BHP count, T-MSIS separate CHIP table, updated vintage, or later revision. Convert whole persons to millions by dividing by 1,000,000 and round the resolved value to one decimal. The condition is satisfied only if the community-engagement compliance deadline is in force on its statutory schedule and no federal statutory or regulatory delay has been announced by 2027-03-31; the numeric forecast is evaluated only if that condition is satisfied. Ledger discrepancy note: this run verified the official monthly release vehicle and recent official snapshot release dates, but did not find a future-dated CMS April 2027 release placeholder; 2027-09-30 is retained as the canonical ledger deadline while the substantive resolver remains the first official print.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.child-poverty-2028-given-tcja-extended-q2-2026","specVersionId":"spec.child-poverty-2028-given-tcja-extended-q2-2026.v20260609","predictionId":"child-poverty-2028-given-tcja-extended-q2-2026","forecastSlug":"child-poverty-2028-given-tcja-extended-q2-2026","targetFactRef":"census.spm.child_poverty_rate.2028","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the official Census SPM child poverty rate for 2028, conditional on the event 'a TCJA extension package matching at least the House-passed framework on CTC and EITC is enacted by 2026-06-30.' If the conditioning event does not occur, the forecast cell is marked unresolved.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.child-poverty-2026-given-ctc-3000-refundable","specVersionId":"spec.child-poverty-2026-given-ctc-3000-refundable.v20260609","predictionId":"child-poverty-2026-given-ctc-3000-refundable","forecastSlug":"child-poverty-2026-given-ctc-3000-refundable","targetFactRef":"census.spm.child_poverty_rate.2026","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the official Census SPM child poverty rate for calendar year 2026, conditional on a materially equivalent $3,000 fully refundable CTC being in effect for TY2026. If the policy is not in effect, the forecast cell is marked unresolved.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.iit-revenue-fy2028-given-salt-fully-repealed","specVersionId":"spec.iit-revenue-fy2028-given-salt-fully-repealed.v20260609","predictionId":"iit-revenue-fy2028-given-salt-fully-repealed","forecastSlug":"iit-revenue-fy2028-given-salt-fully-repealed","targetFactRef":"treasury.mts.individual_income_tax.fy2028","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to total individual income tax receipts for FY2028 as reported in the Monthly Treasury Statement covering September 2028, conditional on the SALT deduction cap under IRC §164(b)(6) being fully eliminated for TY2026 and later. If the cap is not fully eliminated, the forecast cell is marked unresolved.","status":"pending"},{"resolutionRef":"resolution.uninsured-2028-given-ept-expire","specVersionId":"spec.uninsured-2028-given-ept-expire.v20260609","predictionId":"uninsured-2028-given-ept-expire","forecastSlug":"uninsured-2028-given-ept-expire","targetFactRef":"census.asec.uninsured_rate_under_65.2028","factLedger":"PolicyEngine Ledger","resolverRule":"Resolves to the uninsured rate among people under 65 as reported by the Census ASEC for calendar year 2028, conditional on no restoration of the enhanced ACA premium tax credits (above the original ACA-baseline subsidies) through 2028. If subsidies are restored at any point, the forecast cell is marked 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